MALAYSIA INVESTMENT RESEARCH REPORT KDN PP13226/04/2013 (032022) JF APEX SECURITIES BERHAD (47680-X) Initiating Coverage 14 April 2015 SCH Group Berhad BUY Good proxy to the construction boom Share Price Target Price RM0.295 RM0.34 Investment Highlights SCH Group (SCH) is a well established quarry equipment & machinery and spare parts supplier in Malaysia, having more than 25 years of experience, capabilities and knowledge in the quarry industry. This under-researched counter deserves a re-rating given its strong fundamental, benefiting from a slew of infrastructure works (namely railway and highway projects to be kicked off locally) and its ambitious plan for regional expansion. We initiate coverage on SCH with a target price of RM0.34, based on 13x FY2016F PE. The stock could reward investors with 22% return (inclusive of its attractive dividend yield of 6.8%). Best proxy to the construction sector. We reckon that the Group would benefit from the booming domestic construction sector as it is closely tied with the quarrying industry. Take off of several high profile and sizeable infrastructure works, namely railway (KVMRT 2, LRT 3 and proposed HSR), highway projects (WCE, EKVE, Pan-Borneo highway) and RAPID in Pengerang could benefit SCH significantly. Our study indicates that the Group’s sales growth for the supply of spare parts segment is positively correlated to the GDP growth of the construction sector. Whilst sales growth for the supply of machineries segment is negatively correlated to the construction growth, we believe the inverse relationship is mainly due to capex spending on quarry machineries is traditionally ahead of the start of physical mining works to accommodate the demand of construction aggregate. Better thematic play on construction boom? Investors who aim for thematic and fundamental plays for take-off of infrastructure projects locally should look at SCH due to its impressive margins. We opine that topline growth of construction companies may not necessary translate into their bottomline growth and share price performance could be highly hinged on newsfllows. Construction companies could face the risk of margin squeeze as competitive bidding for the high-profile mega projects would hamper the contractors’ operating margins moving forward whilst building material players, namely cement and steel companies are now facing heightening competition and overcapacity issues. Topline supported by sizeable recurring income whilst bottomline boosted by commendable margin. The majority of SCH’s revenue is derived from supply of spare parts for industrial usage and machinery. We reckon that this segment of income contribution is more resilient and steadier due to wear-and-tear of quarry machinery & equipment which requires regular maintenance and service Company Description SCH Group Berhad, through its subsidiary, imports, distribute and supplies industrial spare parts for quarry equipment. Stock Data Bursa / Bloomberg code Board / Sector Syariah Compliant status Issued shares (m) Par Value (RM) Market cap. (RM’m) 52-week price Range Beta (against KLCI) 3-m Average Daily Volume 3-m Average Daily Value 0161 / SCHG MK Main / Ind-Prod Yes 412.23 0.10 121.61 RM0.20-0.33 N.A 4.18m RM1.16m Share Performance Absolute (%) Relative (%-pts) 1m 9.26 5.68 3m 7.27 16.24 Major Shareholders 12m 25.53 26.18 % 18.2 14.2 14.2 Mong Ling Lau Sin Chin Wong Yoon Hin Yeen Historical Chart Source: Bloomberg The Research Team 03-87361118, ext. 758 / 755 [email protected] Target Price: RM0.34 Please read carefully the important disclosures at end of this publication 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES as compared to supply of machinery which is considered ‘one-off’ and is subject to capex spending of quarry operators. The former has contributed 60-65% to the Group’s topline from FY2011 till FY2014 against the latter’s 16%. Meanwhile, SCH has been enjoying remarkable gross profit margin of 35-38% over the past few years thanks to its direct relationship with end customers and better product mix. Attractive dividend yield and sturdy balance sheet. While SCH does not maintain any dividend policy, we believe the Group will still reward shareholders handsomely. We envisage SCH to declare 2 sen dividend each for FY2015F and FY2016F, which are higher than 1 sen paid out in FY2014. Thus, this will translate into decent dividend yield of 6.8%. Currently, the Group is in net cash position. Earnings Outlook We estimate the Group’s FY2015F and FY2016F net earnings to perform strongly, up 24.4% and 22.1% respectively on the back of higher revenue expected (FY15F: +10.0%; FY16F: +18.6%) and continuous margin expansion pursuant to pick up in construction activities. Valuation/Recommendation We initiate coverage on SCH with a target price of RM0.34, based on 13x FY2016F PE, which is at upcycle PE of small cap stocks in view of anticipated booming construction and quarry industries. Risk Delay in award of infrastructure projects. Termination of distribution rights for machineries supply, either new or reconditioned. Credit risk in relation to credit term extended to clients as the Group normally renders 90-180 days term for its supply of spare parts. 2 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES Background SCH Group Berhad was listed on the ACE Market of Bursa Malaysia on 13 February 2014. SCH Group is a well-established quarry supplier for the quarry industry, having more than 25 years of experience, capabilities and knowledge in the quarry industry. The Group is principally involved in the business of distribution and supplying of quarry industrial products, quarry machinery and equipment (M&E), and reconditioned quarry machinery as well as supply of spare parts for M&E to the quarry industry in Malaysia and South East Asia. The Group is also involved in the manufacturing and distribution of quarry grill. The Group products are categorized under four (4) main business segments, as illustrated in the diagram below:Figure 1: SCH’s Main Business Segments Source: Company, JF Apex 3 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES The Group’s subsidiaries and branch offices are strategically located in various states in Malaysia with high quarry operations as well as Singapore. SCH Group Berhad has an experienced servicing team to provide value added after-sales service to their customers with immediate response time or a maximum of 24 hours for outside Klang Valley. The Group has in-house expertise to recondition Junjin CSM hydraulic crawler drills. Figure 2: Group’s Distribution Network Source: Company, JF Apex 4 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES Figure 3: Quarry Industrial Products Source: Company, JF Apex 5 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES Figure 4: Quarry Machinery & Quarry Equipment (M&E) Source: Company, JF Apex 6 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES Figure 5: Reconditioned Quarry Machinery Source: Company, JF Apex 7 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES Figure 6: Spare Parts for Quarry Machinery, Quarry Equipment and Reconditioned Machinery SCH Group supplies a full range of spare parts for their quarry machinery and quarry equipment. Source: Company, JF Apex 8 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES Figure 7: Group Factory and Quarry Grills Flat Top grills have longer span (approximately 1.5 times) of conventional Double Wave grills SCH's custom Diamond Shape grills have double the life span of the double wave grills and produce 20% more output. Source: Company, JF Apex 9 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES Figure 8: Full Range of Group Quarry-Based Products Source: Company, JF Apex 10 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES Figure 9: SCH’s Factory, Warehouse & Products Source: Company, JF Apex 11 14 April 2015 JF APEX SECURITIES Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad Investment Merits Integrated quarry service provider. SCH is capable of supplying a wide range of products and services to the whole quarrying process chain of an open-pit mine. Comprehensive range of products range from quarry industrial products, quarry machinery (new and reconditioned from Japan and Korea), spare parts for machinery as well as manufacturing of quarry grill. Besides, the Group also provides its customers with prompt value added after-sale service and technical support in order to minimise their downtime and maintenance costs. Wide geographical coverage with future plan of regional expansion. SCH has a strong presence in local and overseas markets with its wide distribution network strategically located in Selangor, Penang, Pahang, Johor, Sabah, Sarawak and Singapore, which covers overseas markets especially Indonesia. These areas cover the major quarry operators, quarry sites and plants. Moving forward, SCH plans to expand its business further into Indochina particularly in Cambodia and Myanmar to ride on the infrastructure boom there. Best proxy to the construction sector. We reckon that the Group would benefit from the booming domestic construction sector as it is closely tied with the quarrying industry. Take off of several high profile and sizeable infrastructure works, namely railway (KVMRT 2, LRT 3 and proposed HSR), highway projects (WCE, EKVE, Pan-Borneo highway) and RAPID in Pengerang could benefit SCH significantly. Our study indicates that the Group’s sales growth for the supply of spare parts segment is positively correlated to the GDP growth of the construction sector. Whilst the sales growth for the supply of machineries segment is negatively correlated to the construction growth, we believe the inverse relationship is mainly due to capex spending on quarry machineries that is traditionally ahead of the start of physical mining works to accommodate the demand of construction aggregate. Figure 10: Construction Projects (Current & Porposed) Type of Projects Descriptions Infrastructure KVMRT 2, LRT 3, Pan Borneo Highway, WCE, EKVE, SUKE, RAPID in Pengerang, HSR (Proposed), Monorail extension (Proposed) Building TRX, KL118, Bandar Malaysia, Kwasa Land in Sg Buloh Source: Media, JF Apex Figure 11: Relationship Between Local Construction Growth & The Group’s Sales Growth 40.0% 30.0% % 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% -10.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 -20.0% -30.0% GDP growth - Construction Sales growth - supply of spare parts Sales growth - supply of machineries Source: MOF, Company, JF Apex 12 14 April 2015 Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES 11th Malaysian Plan to reassure construction job flows for coming years and hence positive to the quarry industry. 11th MP, to be announced in May/June this year, being the last push to achieve developed nation status by 2020, plays a pivotal role to ensure sustainability of economic growth moving forward. We reckon that construction sector will continue to be the backbone of the future economic growth due to its multiplier effect to the whole economy. Thus, we envisage the announcement of 11th Malaysian Plan (from 2016-2020) will entail a list of infrastructure development for the nation and hence excites share price performance of M&E suppliers, such as SCH, apart from construction and building material companies. Better thematic play on construction boom? Investors who aim for thematic and fundamental plays for take-off of infrastructure projects locally should look at SCH due to its impressive margins. We opine that topline growth of construction companies may not necessary translate into their bottomline growth and share price performance could be highly hinged on newsfllows. Construction companies could face the risk of margin squeeze as competitive bidding for the high-profile mega projects would hamper the contractors’ operating margins moving forward whilst building material players, namely cement and steel companies are now facing heightening competition and overcapacity issues. Topline supported by sizeable recurring income whilst bottomline boosted by commendable margin. The majority of SCH’s revenue is derived from supply of spare parts for industrial usage and machinery. We reckon that this segment of income contribution is more resilient and steadier due to wear-and-tear of quarry machinery & equipment which requires regular maintenance and service as compared to supply of machinery which is considered ‘one-off’ and is subject to capex spending of quarry operator. The former has contributed 60-65% to the Group’s topline from FY2011 till FY2014 against the latter’s 16%. Meanwhile, SCH has been enjoying remarkable gross profit margin of 35-38% over the past few years thanks to its direct relationship with end customers and better product mix. Attractive dividend yield and sturdy balance sheet. While SCH does not maintain any dividend policy, we believe the Group will still reward shareholders handsomely. We envisage SCH to declare 2 sen dividend each for FY2015F and FY2016F, which are higher than 1 sen paid out in FY2014. Thus, this will translate into decent dividend yield of 6.8%. Currently, the Group is in net cash position. 13 14 April 2015 JF APEX SECURITIES Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad Financial Review & Outlook SCH recorded an overwhelming 1QFY15 net profit of RM4.5m, doubled from RM2.2m registered in 1QFY14 mainly attributable to higher revenue achieved under supply of quarry M&E and reconditioned machinery with relatively higher margin and spare parts’ sales. Overall, we expect the Group to chalk up RM72.2m revenue (+10.3% yoy) and RM9.0m net profit (+24.4% yoy) for FY2015F. Moving into FY2016F, we envisage the Group’s revenue and net earnings to grow further by 18.6% yoy to RM85.6m and 22.1% yoy to RM10.9m respectively, continued to be driven by supply of machinery for both new and reconditioned, spare parts as well as manufacturing of grill in view of take-off of several highways and railways projects. Figure 12: Financial Summary FYE 31 Aug FY2014 (RMm) 65.4 24.6 10.3 -3.2 7.2 7.2 37.6% 15.7% -31.1% 6.7% 15.5% -1.9% -6.5% 412.2 1.75 16.9 1.0 57.3% 3.4% -7.6% 11.6% 8.2% FY2015F (RMm) 72.2 27.1 12.3 -3.3 9.0 9.0 37.6% 17.0% -27.0% 10.3% 10.3% 19.1% 24.4% 412.2 2.17 13.6 2.0 92.1% 6.8% -3.9% 12.5% 8.9% FY2016F (RMm) 85.6 32.3 15.0 -4.0 10.9 10.9 37.8% 17.50% -27.0% 18.6% 19.1% 22.1% 22.1% 412.2 2.65 11.1 2.0 75.4% 6.8% -2.3% 13.1% 9.6% Balance Sheet Cash Current assets Non-current assets Total assets 20.9 74.5 13.2 87.7 19.8 85.7 14.5 100.2 19.7 98.5 16.0 114.5 Short term debt Current liabilities Long term debt Non-current liabilities Total liabilities 14.5 23.7 1.7 2 25.7 15.2 26.1 1.8 2.2 28.3 16.0 28.7 1.9 2.4 31.1 Shareholders' equity MI Total equity 62 0 62 71.9 0.0 71.9 83.4 0.0 83.4 87.7 100.2 114.5 Revenue Gross Profit PBT Taxation PAT Net Profit GP margin PBT margin Effective tax rate Revenue growth Gross profit growh PBT growth Net profit growth No. of shares EPS (sen) P/E (x) DPS (sen) Dividend payout Dividend Yield Net gearing / (cash) ROE ROA Total liabilities & equity 14 14 April 2015 JF APEX SECURITIES Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad Cash Flow Cash flow from operations Cash flow from investing Cash flow from financing Cash generated Cash at beginning Cash at end of period 0.6 -1 15.1 14.7 2.2 16.9 3.0 -1.1 -3.0 -1.1 16.9 15.8 4.5 -1.2 -3.3 0.0 15.8 15.7 FY2014 (RMm) 15.7 FY2015F (RMm) 18.8 FY2016F (RMm) 23.6 16 0.87 3 18 0.90 4 21 0.92 6 ASP of machinery Other machineries sold ASP of other machineries 0.55 5 0.06 0.58 6 0.07 0.61 8 0.07 b) Supply of spare parts Growth 44.7 25.90% 47.8 7.00% 56.0 17.00% 5.0 -14.40% 5.5 10.00% 6.1 10.00% 24.0% 68.3% 7.6% 26.1% 66.3% 7.6% 27.6% 65.4% 7.1% Assumptions Semental revenue a) Supply of machineries No. of hydraulic crawler drill sold ASP of machinery No. of VSI sold c) Manufacturing (grill) Growth Segmental revenue contribution Supply of machineries Supply of spare parts Manufacturing (grill) Source: Company, JF Apex Risks Delay in award of infrastructure projects. Termination of distribution rights for machineries supply, either new or reconditioned. Credit risk in relation to credit term extended to clients as the Group normally renders 90-180 days term for its supply of spare parts. Valuation & Recommendation We initiate coverage on SCH with a target price of RM0.34, based on 13x FY2016F PE, which is at upcycle PE of small cap stocks in view of anticipated booming construction and quarry industries. The stock could reward investors with 22% return (inclusive of its attractive dividend yield of 6.8%). 15 14 April 2015 JF APEX SECURITIES Initiating Coverage – SCH Group Berhad JF APEX SECURITIES BERHAD – CONTACT LIST JF APEX SECURITIES BHD DEALING TEAM RESEARCH TEAM Head Office: 6th Floor, Menara Apex Off Jalan Semenyih Bukit Mewah 43000 Kajang Selangor Darul Ehsan Malaysia Head Office: Kong Ming Ming (ext 3237) Shirley Chang (ext 3211) Norisam Bojo (ext 3233) Head Office: Lee Chung Cheng (ext 758) Lee Cherng Wee (ext 759) Jessica Low Jze Tieng (ext 756) General Line: (603) 8736 1118 Facsimile: (603) 8737 4532 PJ Office: 15th Floor, Menara Choy Fook On No. 1B, Jalan Yong Shook Lin 46050 Petaling Jaya Selangor Darul Ehsan Malaysia Institutional Dealing Team: Lim Teck Seng Sanusi Bin Mansor (ext 740) Fathul Rahman Buyong (ext 741) Ahmad Mansor (ext 744) Lum Meng Chan (ext 743) Zairul Azman (ext 746) Norsyafina binti Mohamad Zubir (ext 755) Low Zy Jing (ext 754) PJ Office: Mervyn Wong (ext 363) Azfar Bin Abdul Aziz (Ext 822) Tan Heng Cheong (Ext 111) General Line: (603) 7620 1118 Facsimile: (603) 7620 6388 JF APEX SECURITIES - RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION FRAMEWORK STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS BUY : The stock’s total returns* are expected to exceed 10% within the next 12 months. HOLD : The stock’s total returns* are expected to be within +10% to – 10% within the next 12 months. SELL : The stock’s total returns* are expected to be below -10% within the next 12 months. TRADING BUY : The stock’s total returns* are expected to exceed 10% within the next 3 months. TRADING SELL : The stock’s total returns* are expected to be below -10% within the next 3 months. SECTOR RECOMMENDATIONS OVERWEIGHT : The industry as defined by the analyst is expected to exceed 10% within the next 12 months. MARKETWEIGHT : The industry as defined by the analyst is expected to be within +10% to – 10% within the next 12 months. UNDERWEIGHT : The industry as defined by the analyst, is expected to be below -10% within the next 12 months. *capital gain + dividend yield JF APEX SECURITIES BERHAD - DISCLAIMER Disclaimer: The report is for internal and private circulation only and shall not be reproduced either in part or otherwise without the prior written consent of JF Apex Securities Berhad. The opinions and information contained herein are based on available data believed to be reliable. It is not to be construed as an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered by this report. Opinions, estimates and projections in this report constitute the current judgment of the author. They do not necessarily reflect the opinion of JF Apex Securities Berhad and are subject to change without notice. JF Apex Securities Berhad has no obligation to update, modify or amend this report or to otherwise notify a reader thereof in the event that any matter stated herein, or any opinion, projection, forecast or estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. JF Apex Securities Berhad does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against JF Apex Securities Berhad. JF Apex Securities Berhad may from time to time have an interest in the company mentioned by this report. This report may not be reproduced, copied or circulated without the prior written approval of JF Apex Securities Berhad. Published & Printed by: JF Apex Securities Berhad (47680-X) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) 16
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