Optimal Bidding Strategy of a Strategic Wind Power Producer in the Short-term Electricity Market Ting Dai and Wei Qiao Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Nebraska-Lincoln • Upper-level Problem (1) Maximize the total profit of the wind power producer Subject to bid price constraints Case Studies • The proposed model is tested using the IEEE Reliability Test System. • Case 1: the impact of wind penetration level 15 The day-ahead market clearing problem minimize the total cost of the energy offered. The constraints include power balance, energy offer limits of each producer, the transmission constraints and the bus angle limit. 6000 10 4000 2000 Profit in day-ahead market Profit in real-time market Total profit 0 5 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 Penetration Level 0.35 -2000 0.05 0.3 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 Penetration Level 0.3 0.35 The extra wind power is sold into the real-time market, which results in a decline in the real-time price. • Lower-level Problem(3) – Real-time market clearing The real-time market clearing problem minimize the total cost of the redispatching the energy. The constraints include the power balance in the real-time market, energy change limits of each producer, the transmission constraints and the bus angle limit. 8000 Day-ahead LMP Real-time LMP Average Selling Price Profit($) • Lower-level Problem(2) – Day-ahead market clearing Price($/MWh) • The previous researches considered wind power producers as a price-taker in the electricity market. However, wind power producers have nonegligible market power and should be considered as price-makers. • This paper proposes a bilevel stochastic MPEC model for generating the optimal bidding strategies for price-maker wind power producers. • .The upper-level problem of the model represents the profit maximization of the wind power producer while the lower-level problem represents the market clearing processes of both day-ahead and real-time markets. The uncertainties of wind power and demand are managed through the stochastic programming. Bilevel Stochastic Model • Case 2: the impact of transmission constraints 30 Real-time LMP($/MWh) Introduction Model Description Profit in Case day-ahead market ($) Case(a) Case(b) Case(c) 25 20 Day-ahead LMP at bus 8 ($/MWh) Profit in real-time market ($) Total profit ($) a 4136.08 10.66 1834.7191 5970.79 b 3209.34 10.68 2802.2018 6011.54 c 1818.76 11.09 3653.6266 5472.38 d 1885.15 10.68 2230.9775 4116.12 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 Scenario Transmission congestion sometimes can be beneficial to wind power producers and can be used as a strategic mechanism to increase their profits. • Electricity Market Framework 6000 =0 =0.05 Profit($) 5800 =0.1 =0.6 5600 =1.0 =1.5 5400 =2.0 5200 0 • Uncertainty Modeling in the Market Clearing 500 1000 1500 2000 CVaR($) 2500 3000 Power sold in day-ahead market (MW) • Case 3: the impact of risk management 400 350 300 250 200 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 The wind bidding capacity in the day-ahead market decreases when β increases. Conclusion The uncertainties comes from other producers’ bidding strategies, wind production, demand and can be represented via scenarios. The decision process of the wind power producer can be arranged in a two-stage scenario tree. • To facilitate the solution process, the bilevel programming problem is transferred into an equivalent single-level MPEC problem through the KKT conditions of problem (2) and (3). • By linearizing the nonlinear terms, the MPEC problem is converted into a MILP problem, which can be solved effectively. • This paper has proposed a model considering the strategic bidding behavior of a wind power producer in the electricity market. • Results show that as the wind penetration level goes higher, the day-ahead and real-time LMPs decrease. The network congestion has inevitable impact on the bidding strategy and can be used as a strategic mechanism to further increase the profit. The optimal bidding strategy is sensitive to the risk parameters, which should be chosen carefully. • Future work will be done on multiple wind producers.
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