2015 ICCFSA First International Conference on Climate and Food Security in Asia Linking Climate Change to Food Security 5 June 2015 9am - 5pm Create Theatrette Level 2 Create Tower, UTown National University of Singapore Organisers: Partners: Center for Environmental Sensing and Modelling the event With strong population growth, changes in food consumption, stagnating agriculture yields and impacts of adverse weather conditions, food security in Southeast Asia is increasingly important, particularly for rice importing countries. Weather extremes like droughts and floods can lead to severe production shortfalls and are seen as key contributors to food price volatility and shortages. The latest assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) suggests increases in rainfall extremes in most regions of the world, especially in Southeast Asia. New advances in climate and crop modelling make food security crises more predictable and reveal insights to the impact of extreme events, which in turn can be used as a basis for policy making. This conference brings together experts from the domains of climate change, crop modelling and food security to discuss approaches to manage food security issues in Southeast Asia at early stages. ICCFSA 2015 is organised by the Tropical Marine Science Institute (TMSI) of National University of Singapore (NUS) and Asia Risk Centre (ARC). TMSI has been commissioned to conduct climate change projections for SE Asia and has undertaken various studies to relate these projections to flood and drought occurrence and impacts on agriculture. ARC is the leading provider of agriculture risk quantification models and has been collaborating with the Consultative Group of International Agriculture Research (CGIAR) to develop a yield forecasting tool kit for food security in South Asia. Attendance is by invitation only. conference outline Opening Address Guest of Honour Prof Low Teck Seng, Chief Executive Officer, National Research Foundation, Singapore Session 1: Climate Change and Impacts on Agriculture in Asia This session focuses on trends in precipitation and temperature in Asia and provides an outlook of climate change under different scenarios. Impacts of adverse weather conditions and climate change are specifically discussed for Asia. Chairperson Dr Liong Shie-Yui, Deputy Director, Tropical Marine Science Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore Projecting Climate Responses to Anthropogenic Influences: A Closer Look at Southeast Asia Dr Chien Wang, Senior Research Scientist, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA Climate Change Impact on Water for Agriculture Production Prof Xin-Zhong Liang, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland, USA What do Climate Models Project for Southeast Asia? Dr Srivatsan Raghavan, Senior Research Fellow, Tropical Marine Science Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore Ensuring Food Security in Southeast Asia under Climate Change: CCAFS Agenda Dr Leocadio Sebastian, Regional Program Leader for Southeast Asia, CGIAR Research Program for Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), Hanoi, Vietnam Session 2: Crop Models and Food Security This session looks at the concepts of early warning systems through physical crop models and remote sensing technologies. Examples are shown from different countries. Chairperson Dr Leocadio Sebastian, Regional Program Leader for Southeast Asia, CGIAR Research Program for Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), Hanoi, Vietnam Accessing and Predicting Yield with Physical Crop Models Dr Tom Osborne, Principal Modeller Agriculture, Asia Risk Centre, California, USA Projecting Adaptation Gains in Crop Productivity in Changing Climates in India Dr Soora Naresh Kumar, Principal Scientist, Climate Change & Crop Modelling, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, India Making Sense of Remotely Sensed Crop and Land-Surface Properties in Southeast Asia More Crops, but of Potential Lesser Quality Dr Jason Blake Cohen, Assistant Professor, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore Session 3: Risk Management Strategies for Food Security This session reveals different strategies and approaches to manage food security situations. Future food demand and supply is discussed for Southeast Asia and key considerations for policy making are presented. The case of Singapore as a food importing country is specifically addressed. Chairperson Dr Roman Hohl, Chief Executive, Asia Risk Centre and Adjunct Senior Research Fellow, Tropical Marine Science Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore Field experiments and simulations to evaluate agro-adaptations to climate change for rice production in sub-tropical India Dr Dillip Swain, Associate Professor, Agricultural and Food Engineering Department, Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur, India Risk Management Approaches for Food Security Vijayasekar Kalavakonda, International Finance Corporation (World Bank), Jakarta, Indonesia Key Considerations for Policy Makers in Terms of Food Security Dr Jonatan A. Lassa, Research Fellow, NTS RSIS, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore Panel Discussion The panel discussion brings together the concepts and examples from the Sessions to discuss different approaches and needs to mitigate food security situations. Chairperson Dr Liong Shie-Yui, Deputy Director, Tropical Marine Science Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore Concluding Key Notes Summarizes the key findings, recommendations and next steps towards a mitigation of food security situations using climate and agriculture science. To register for the event, please visit: http://goo.gl/forms/4rwtWddYBV getting here Conference: 9am - 5pm Venue: Create Theatrette Level 2, Create Tower, UTown National University of Singapore Registration: 8:15am Map Credit: National Research Foundation Conference Dinner (Speakers and Panel Members): 7:00pm - 9:00pm Venue: To be advised TMSI/NUS: Dr Liong Shie-Yui Asia Risk Centre: Dr Roman Hohl +65 9277 6493 +65 9451 5635 [email protected] [email protected]
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