2nd Feb , 2011 Morning Wealth BP WEALTH Tuesday,19th May, 2015 Nifty Futures Resistance Support Indices (NSE) Level 1 8,420 8,310 Close Level 2 Level 3 8,480 8,550 8,270 8,210 Pts. Chg % Chg Nifty 8,373.7 111.3 1.3 Nifty Future (May 8,372.8 111.6 1.4 Nifty Future (June) 8,399.3 113.0 1.4 18,423.0 239.8 1.3 CNX100 8,542.6 200.3 2.4 CNX500 6,910.9 83.8 1.2 CNX Midcap 13,070.3 98.5 0.8 Indices (BSE) Close Sensex 27,687.3 363.3 1.3 BSE-100 8,511.4 110.6 1.3 BSE-200 3,508.6 43.0 1.2 BSE-500 10,947.0 131.4 1.2 Mid Cap 10,667.1 103.2 1.0 Small Cap 11,147.9 107.1 1.0 Sectoral Indices Close BANKEX 21,166.2 252.3 1.2 CAPITAL GOODS REALTY POWER OIL & GAS METAL 16,431.0 1,538.0 2,055.7 9,516.1 9,951.3 211.3 -3.1 22.0 195.3 67.8 1.3 -0.2 1.1 2.1 0.7 CD 10,396.9 219.9 2.2 AUTO 19,228.2 151.0 0.8 TECK 5,948.8 69.2 1.2 10,679.6 7,898.6 16,792.7 17.9 101.6 106.8 255.2 -1.9 1.0 1.4 1.5 -9.7 Bank Nifty IT FMCG HEALTHCARE VIX Exchange Advance Pts. Chg Pts. Chg Decline % Chg % Chg Unchg BSE 1,662 1,061 121 NSE 990 485 87 Volume Rs (in cr) NSE Cash BSE Cash NSE F&O Net Inflows/ Outflows (Rs in cr) FII DII Buy 4,876.9 2,002.9 % Chg 15,209.3 -1.8 2,817.6 2,23,342.6 18.6 19.3 Sell 5,079.0 1,384.3 Net -202.1 618.5 Intraday Nifty Outlook Index has breached past the resistance offered by the 38.2% retracement resistance of the previous fall from 8874 to the trough of 8021. Index has given upward breakout of Inverted Head & Shoulders a bullish reversal price pattern which suggests the short term trend to turn bullish. Going ahead a sustenance above 8380 will continue the upmove and will open the way for 8480-8550 in short term while support comes at 8310-8270. Corporate News Asian Paints: Near-term catalysts missing Asian Paints’ March quarter results missed Street expectations on all fronts. Weak domestic volume growth (estimated at three-four per cent) was the key culprit for this poor show. Notably, domestic volume growth has fallen from 1012 per cent between March 2014 and September 2014 to three-four per cent in the past two quarters. For the March quarter, consolidated net sales grew 6.9 per cent year-on-year (y-o-y) to Rs 3,490 crore and was 4.2 per cent lower than the Bloomberg consensus estimates of Rs 3,644 crore. Subdued demand across both decorative and industrial segments impacted top line. Consolidated net profit stood at Rs 341 crore, up 18.8 per cent y-o-y, aided by strong 117 basis-point y-o-y expansion in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) margin to 16 per cent. While the profit growth was healthy, it fell short of the Bloomberg expectations of Rs 378 crore by 10 per cent. The scrip fell 2.8 per cent to close at Rs 768 on Monday, reacting to dismal results, compared with the 1.3 per cent gain for the BSE Sensex. The stock currently trades at a rich 37 times FY16 estimated earnings. However, analysts could trim their earnings estimates for the company to factor in the weak show. Continued weakness in performance for the second quarter and the fact that the overall economic environment remains subdued indicates demand revival will be more gradual in nature. This means the stock could remain under pressure in the near term. (Source: Business Standard) Chinese consortium to invest $500 mn in GMR SEZ Kakinada SEZ Pvt Ltd (KSEZ), a subsidiary of Bengaluru-based infrastructure major GMR Infrastructure, has signed an agreement with Guizhou International Investment Corporation (GIIC) to set up an industrial park for high-end Chinese equipment manufacturing companies. According to the agreement, GIIC, a consortium of three leading Chinese manufacturing firms, will invest $500 million in developing the infrastructure and various facilities of the industrial park, which would house leading Chinese manufacturing companies. These firms would additionally invest $2-3 billion in setting up their operations over the next five years. GIIC plans to set up a 2,000-acre industrial park in KSEZ for the Chinese companies. The park, which will be developed by KSEZ and GIIC, will bring development to the entire Kakinada region and generate about 5,000 jobs for both skilled and unskilled workers, GMR Infra said in a filing to the BSE. KSEZ is a port-based multi product special economic zone, spread over 10,500 acres. Situated strategically on the eastern coast in an area rich in oil and natural gas deposits, this has a good logistical linkages to national highways, railway networks, air and sea ports (Source: Business Standard) Sterlite Tech to spin off power biz into unlisted firm Sterlite Technologies Ltd will spin off its power business into a separate unlisted company while retaining its telecom operations in the existing listed entity. The de-merger will be effective April 1, 2015 subject to all necessary approvals. Following the restructuring, approved by the Board at its meeting on Monday, Sterlite will become a pure-play telecom products and solutions company, providing broadband solutions for fully converged networks. The power products and the power transmission grid businesses will be de-merged into Sterlite Power Transmission Ltd (SPTL), an independent, unlisted entity. “Telecom is a high growth, high margins business while power is an asset-heavy business and brings a high load of debt on the balance sheet,” Anand Agarwal, CEO, Sterlite Tech, told BusinessLine. Hence, logically the two should not reside in the same company, he said. To put things in perspective, though each of power and telecom businesses contributed almost equally to Sterlite’s revenue of 3,300 crore in FY-15, 345 crore of the total EBITDA of 386 crore came from the telecom business. According to the terms of the restructuring, the equity shares of the telecom business will continue to be publicly listed, while those of the newly formed power business will remain unlisted. Investors will have the choice to continue to be associated with one or both these businesses. Once the mirror de-merger scheme is effective, investors will retain their equity share (face value 2) in the telecom company. Additionally, for every five equity shares held in Sterlite, shareholders will have an option to receive one equity share of 2 each of SPTL issued at a premium of 110.30, or one redeemable preference share (RPS) of 2 each issued at a premium of 110.30 each, implying a value of 22.46 per equity share of Sterlite. (Source: Business Line) BP WEALTH Morning Wealth Economy Nifty Top 5 Gainers Close GAIL DRREDDY 14.5 3.8 3,622.5 126.0 3.6 311.5 10.5 3.5 2,900.1 94.7 3.4 792.8 25.8 3.4 BPCL Nifty Top 5 Losers % Chg 394.7 ZEEL ULTRACEMCO Pts. Chg Close Pts. Chg % Chg ASIANPAINT 766.8 -23.6 -3.0 TECHM 612.6 -5.8 -0.9 2,520.6 -9.1 -0.4 366.1 -0.8 -0.2 HEROMOTOCO COALINDIA - Int. Indices S&P 500 - Close - - Pts. Chg % Chg 2,129.2 6.5 0.3 18,298.9 26.3 0.1 NASDAQ 5,078.4 30.1 0.6 FTSE 6,968.9 8.4 0.1 DAX 11,594.3 147.3 1.3 CAC 5,012.3 18.5 0.4 Nikkie 19,890.3 157.4 0.8 Hangseng 27,591.3 -231.0 -0.8 3,459.6 -3.5 -0.1 DOW Straits Times ADR Close HDFC Bank ICICI Bank Infosys TATA Motors Wipro 57.7 10.3 31.4 41.7 11.7 Pts. Chg -0.4 -0.2 0.3 -0.7 0.2 % Chg -0.6 -2.0 1.1 -1.7 1.7 Govt mulls linking DBT schemes to one account In a bid to plug subsidy leakage, the finance ministry is planning to link all Direct Benefits Transfer (DBT) schemes into one account. According to sources, the Department of Economic Affairs has written to the Department of Financial Services seeking comments on ways to prevent subsidy leakage. “Allowing all the subsidies an individual is entitled to should be transferred to only one account, as against multiple accounts that are linked to different schemes; this would reduce leakage of subsidy leakage,” said a senior official. Leakages refer to the subsidised goods that do not reach the intended beneficiary. Leakages not only have the direct costs of wastage, but also the opportunity cost of how the government could otherwise have deployed its fiscal resources. This move is part of the JAM (Jan Dhan, Aadhaar and Mobile) trinity, which was proposed in the economic survey for FY16 to prevent subsidy leakage. “If the JAM Number Trinity can be seamlessly linked, and all subsidies rolled into one or a few monthly transfers, real progress in terms of direct income support to the poor may finally be possible,” stated the Economic Survey for 2015-16. The finance ministry believes that transferring all subsidies in one account will reduce the monthly transfer of subsidies substantially in some cases to as low as one monthly transfer. “Our endeavour is to reduce any duplicity while transferring direct benefits to consumers and we are mulling on ways to reduce that. One such step is to transfer all the subsidies in one bank account. However, we want more accounts to be Aadhaarseeded,” said another ministry official. According to the survey, 41 per cent of the subsidies transferred through kerosene sold in ration shops were lost due to leakage. The fiscal cost of excess transfer of subsidy on kerosene led to a loss of Rs 10,044 crore for 2011-12. “Value of the fiscal savings - due to lower leakages is eight times greater than the cost of implementing the programme,” stated the survey. (Source: Business Standard) International News Most Asia Stocks Rise After U.S. Shares Hit Records, Yen Weakens Most Asian stocks rose after U.S. equity gauges climbed to fresh records and the yen weakened, boosting Japanese shares. About three stocks rose for every two that fell on the MSCI Asia Pacific Index, which traded little changed at 153.39 as of 9:03 a.m. in Tokyo. Japan’s Topix index added 0.2 percent after the yen fell 0.6 percent against the dollar on Monday. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.3 percent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.1 percent, both closing at all-time highs. Investors are awaiting this week’s U.S. housing data for clues as to whether the recovery in the world’s largest economy can withstand higher interest rates. “Patchy U.S. data means that the Fed is highly unlikely to begin its policy normalisation process until late in the December quarter,” said Matthew Sherwood, Sydney-based head of investment strategy at Perpetual Ltd., which manages about $21 billion. “There has been a large upward movement in the U.S. dollar in the past ten months and this has clearly weighed on U.S. growth. The Fed could not possibly be convinced that the economy is on the right track until growth is above 3 percent for two consecutive quarters.” Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 0.1 percent and South Korea’s Kospi index was little changed. New Zealand’s NZX 50 Index slipped less than 0.1 percent. Data Monday showed confidence among U.S. homebuilders unexpectedly fell in May, reflecting a cooling off in sales and slower buyer traffic. Mixed economic data from retail sales to the labor market have bolstered speculation the Fed will be in no rush to raise rates. Fed Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans repeated his call for rates to be held near zero until early 2016 at a speech in Stockholm on Monday. E-mini futures on the S&P 500 were little changed today. (Source: Bloomberg) Major Bulk Deal (NSE) Currencies Close Pts. Chg % Chg Dollar Index 93.7 0.1 0.1 USD/INR EURO/INR USD/YEN 63.7 71.9 120.0 0.2 -0.7 0.4 0.3 -0.9 0.3 Scrip Name Qty BALRAMCHIN 2,380,707 Type Client Name Trade Price JP MORGAN INDIAN INVESTMENT COMSELL 43.5 PANY (MAURITIUS) LIMITED Major Bulk Deal (BSE) Commodities Close Gold (spot) Rs 27,617.0 154.0 0.6 Silver (spot) Rs 40,470.0 519.0 1.3 Crude (Brent) $ 66.1 -0.1 -0.2 Crude Oil (WTI) $ 59.5 -0.2 -0.3 Institutional Research Pts. Chg % Chg Scrip Name Qty BALRAMCHIN 1,736,843 VIRTUALG 2,200,000 Type Client Name Trade Price JP MORGAN INDIAN INVESTMENT COMSELL 43.50 PANY (MAURITIUS) LIMITED BUY ASIA INVESTMENT CORPORATION MAU- BP Equities Pvt. Limited (w ww .bpw ealth.com) BP Equities reports are also available on Bloomberg [BPEP <GO>] 05/19/2015 16 2 BP WEALTH Morning Wealth EVENTS CALENDAR Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday 18-May-2015 19-May-2015 20-May-2015 21-May-2015 22-May-2015 Results – ASIANPAINT, GLAXO ,AXISCADES Results –TATAPOWER Results - BAJAJFINSV, Results – BAJAJ-AUTO, BAJFINANCE, TABAJAJHLDNG, ICRA, TASTEEL,WABCOINDIA TIMEX, BRITANNIA, VOLTAS ,ALLCARGO Results – MPHASIS, WONDERLA, TIMKEN,SBI ,KTKBANK, MRPL Economic Indicators– Economic Indicators - Economic Indicators– Economic Indicators– Economic Indicators– US– US–Housing Starts US– FOMC Minutes US– Jobless Claims, Ex- US– Consumer Price isting home Sales Index 26-May-2015 27-May-2015 25-May-2015 Results - JYOTHYLAB, LYCOS ,BANCOINDIA Results – Results - BATAINDIA, DISHTV,TECHM,BANKIN GODREJIND, TADIA,BHEL TACHEM, GAIL Economic Indicators– Economic Indicators – Current account US– US–Durable goods order, US– New home sales 01-June-2015 02-June-2015 Economic Indicators– 03-June-2015 28-May-2015 29-May-2015 Results – 3IINFOTECH, AMARAJABAT, BAJAJELEC, EDUCOMP, ONGC, RECLTD, COALINDIA,TATAGLOBAL Economic Indicators– Results – M&M, RELIGARE, GLENMARK, IOC, SUNPHARMA US– Jobless Claims US– GDP 04-June-2015 Economic Indicators– GDP growth rate YOY, Infrastructure output 05-June-2015 Results - Results –, Results - Results – Results – Economic Indicators– HSBS manufacturing PMI Economic Indicators – RBI Interest Rate Decision Economic Indicators– Economic Indicators– Economic Indicators– US– Personal income and Outlays, ISM Mfg Index US– US– International Trade US– Jobless Claims US– Employment Situation Green: Corporate Event, Red: Economic Events, Dark Blue: US Events/ UK Events (Source: Bloomberg and BSE) Institutional Research BP Equities Pvt. Limited (w ww .bpw ealth.com) BP Equities reports are also available on Bloomberg [BPEP <GO>] 05/19/2015 3 BP WEALTH Research Desk Tel: +91 22 61596406 Institutional Sales Desk Tel: +91 22 61596403/04/05 Disclaimer Appendix Analyst (s) holding in the Stock : Nil Analyst (s) Certification: We analysts and the authors of this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our personal views about any and all of the subject issuer (s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation (s) or view (s) in this report. Analysts aren't registered as research analysts by FINRA and might not be an associated person of the BP Equities Pvt. Ltd. (Institutional Equities). General Disclaimer This report has been prepared by the research department of BP WEALTH MANAGEMENT Pvt. Ltd. and BP EQUITIES Pvt. Ltd, is for information purposes only. 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