ANNUAL ROUNDTABLE FOR SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INVESTORS 14 APRIL 2015 ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 1 DEFINITIONS & CAUTIONARY NOTE Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers 2P and 2C definitions. Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing impact. Resources plays: our use of the term ‘resources plays’ refers to tight, shale and coal bed methane oil and gas acreage. The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies in which Royal Dutch Shell either directly or indirectly has control. Companies over which Shell has joint control are generally referred to as “joint ventures” and companies over which Shell has significant influence but neither control nor joint control are referred to as “associates”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest. This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘risks’’, “schedule”, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2014 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward looking statements contained in this presentation and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 14 April, 2015. Neither Royal Dutch Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this presentation that United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330. Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 2 ANNUAL ROUNDTABLE FOR SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INVESTORS BEN VAN BEURDEN CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 3 ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE SRI programme SRI annual roundtable Ongoing engagement + roadshows Learning events – hydraulic fracturing and CCS in 2014 Governance programme Remuneration committee roadshows Chairman roadshows AGM www.shell.com/esg Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 4 SHELL APPROACH TO SUSTAINABILITY Helping to shape a more sustainable energy future Sharing wider benefits where we operate Running a safe, efficient, responsible and profitable business www.shell.com/sustainability Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 5 AGENDA 13:00 – 13:45 Ben van Beurden and Chad Holliday 13:45 – 14:00 Climate change: Harry Brekelmans and Angus Gillespie 14:00 – 14:45 Q+A 14:45 – 15:10 Coffee break 15:15 – 17:30 Panel sessions Q&A (40 min each, 5 minutes to rotate): 17:30 – 18:00 Drinks Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 6 PANELS Panel A: North America and Alaska update: Marvin Odum (Director Upstream Americas) and Ann Pickard (EVP Arctic). Panel B: Upstream International Operated assets and Nigeria: Bart van der Leemput (EVP Upstream International Operated), Osagie Okunbor (Managing Director SPDC), and Rupert Thomas (EVP Environment). Panel C: HSSE & SP Performance, Environmental policy, Water and CO2: Harry Brekelmans (Director Projects and Technology), Lorraine Mitchelmore (EVP Heavy Oil), and Angus Gillespie (VP CO2). Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 7 TRANSPARENCY Sustainability reporting 1997 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Revenue transparency Nigeria spills website Oil sands performance report Nigeria briefing notes CDP Sustainability report Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 8 SHAREHOLDER RESOLUTION: CLIMATE CHANGE DISCLOSURE RESOLUTION INFORMATION REQUEST 2013 2014 2015 Asset portfolio resilience to post-2035 scenarios Low-carbon R&D and investment strategies Ongoing emissions management Strategic KPIs and executive incentives Public policy position Disclosed by Shell Board decision to support shareholder resolution at the 2015 AGM Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 9 ANNUAL ROUNDTABLE FOR SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INVESTORS CHAD HOLLIDAY NON-EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR AND CHAIR OF THE CORPORATE AND SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY COMMITTEE ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 10 CORPORATE AND SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY COMMITTEE CSRC MEMBERS CHARLES HOLLIDAY SIR NIGEL SHEINWALD PATRICIA WOERTZ GERRIT ZALM Chair of CSRC Responsibilities: Review policy and performance for Shell General Business Principles and Code of Conduct. Review management of HSSE and social impacts of projects and operations. Monitor emerging environmental and social issues. Input into the Shell Sustainability Report. Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 11 SITE VISITS 2014 Activity 2015 Plans Western Canada Brazil biofuels Onshore oil and gas GoM operations Oil sands operations Separate visits: Canada LNG potential Kitimat Tight gas, Appalachia Moerdijk, Appalachian tight gas, Peterhead Social and environmental considerations incorporated through all stages of major projects Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 12 STRATEGIC KPIS AND EXECUTIVE INCENTIVES 2015 EXECUTIVE BONUS STRUCTURE 50% weight Operational Excellence 30% weight CFFO 20% weight Sustainable Development 10% weight Safety 5% weight Personal Safety Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10% weight Sustainability 5% weight Process Safety 14 April, 2015 4% weight Energy Intensity 4% weight Oil Spill volumes 2% weight Water use 13 PARTNERSHIPS + ENGAGEMENT Leverage outside expertise Scientific organizations NGOs Governmental bodies Long-term partnerships Strengthened governance Wetlands International Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 IUCN The Nature Conservancy EarthWatch Institute 14 WORKING WITH OTHERS Shell Foundation Center for Sustainable Shale Development $250 million endowment from Shell 3rd party certification Independent charity to support economic development Collaboration with environmental organizations Shell certified in 2015 Example: Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves 100 million households by 2020 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 15 ANNUAL ROUNDTABLE FOR SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INVESTORS BEN VAN BEURDEN CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 16 ENERGY TRANSITIONS Long-term energy supply mix 2050 outlook Million boe per day +50% Population increases from 7 to 9 billion Enabled by cheap and reliable energy Realities +50% Shell activities Gas Oil Biomass Wind Requirement to mitigate climate change Oil supply -70% by 2030 without new investment Key role of gas & CCS Coal Nuclear Other renewables Solar Energy transitions underway Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 17 STRATEGY AND INVESTMENT PRIORITIES Grow cash flow + deliver competitive returns Competitive financial performance Capital efficiency Project delivery Capital allocation by global themes 1 ENGINES: Upstream + Downstream GROWTH PRIORITIES: Integrated gas + Deep water LONGER TERM: Resources plays + Future opportunities1 Restructuring + selective growth Leadership in LNG and deep water Balancing growth & non-technical risks Iraq, Nigeria onshore (SPDC), Kazakhstan, Arctic, heavy oil Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 18 INVESTMENT PRIORITIES Conventional exploration Pre-FID large project options Post-FID large projects 10% Longer term: 25% 50% Growth priorities: 40% Short-cycle projects1 40% Engines: 35% Base 2015 organic capital investment 1 Care and maintain activities form base of capital investment Safe and reliable operations remain our priority 2015 organic capital investment Resources plays, Majnoon, infill drilling Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 19 HSSE + STRATEGY Strategy: balancing growth and returns Competitive financial performance Capital efficiency Project delivery Health, safety, security and environment key to delivery of strategy Goal Zero Opportunity realisation No harm to people No leaks 12 Life saving rules Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 Early identification of SD expertise required Management framework for SD in new projects 20 SUSTAINABILITY IN PROJECT LIFE CYCLE Explore Feasibility study Identify & Assess FEED Select Sustainability objectives Initial HSE risk analysis Baseline surveys Local content strategy FID Define On stream Execute Decommission & restore Environmental, social & health impact assessment e.g. Environmental, social & health management plan Greenhouse gas Biodiversity Water Social performance Safety design and construction studies HSE management system Performance monitoring Decommissioning plan Operate Ceased production Local content plan Stakeholder management Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 21 2014 SAFETY PERFORMANCE Goal Zero on safety Spills - operational Injuries – TRCF/million working hours TRCF million working hours Volume in thousand tonnes Working hours (RHS) Energy intensity – refineries Process safety Energy Intensity Index (EEITM) Number of incidents HSSE priority Performance + transparency Tier 1 incidents Tier 2 incidents Injuries – TRCF/million working hours Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 22 CONTRACTOR SAFETY + MANAGEMENT Assessment Evaluation Green Technical Amber HSSE Red Commercial Goal Zero Monitor performance and delivery including gap closures agreed in the HSSE plan Number of fatalities Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc Contract Management 14 April, 2015 Contractors represent 75% of working hours 23 ONGOING EMISSIONS MANAGEMENT Energy intensity Emissions Gj/tonne (energy required to produce a tonne of oil equivalent) Upstream excl. Oil sands Refining Flaring performance index Million tonnes CO2 equivalent Chemicals 2015 endorsed the World Bank’s Initiative to Reduce Global Gas Flaring "Zero Routine Flaring by 2030" Million tonnes hydrocarbon flared www.shell.com/ghg * Indirect emissions were not recorded before 2009 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 24 WATER MANAGEMENT Water regulation evolving rapidly Centre of Excellence in Bangalore: Water management plans Integrated project delivery water scarce areas Technical support future water scarce areas Water R&D Shell fresh water withdrawn Million cubic metres Dawson Creek water reclamation, Groundbirch Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 25 REDUCING ONSHORE NIGERIA FOOTPRINT Restructuring onshore footprint Nigeria onshore portfolio 2010 – 2015 divested 11 OMLs OML4 OML40 OML38 OML41 Targeted investments: gas and pipelines Forcados Yokri Integrated Project FID Southern Swamp Associated Gas FID Gbaran Ubie phase 2 FID Trans Niger Pipeline Loopline (TNPL) FID OML43 Forcados Yokri Integrated project OML42 Legend OML34 OML26 OML45 OML27 14 April, 2015 OML21 OML31 OML46 Southern Swamp Associated Gas OML28 OML17 OML22 Gbaran Ubie Phase 2 OML32 OML11 OML23 OML36 OML24 OML33 OML18 TNPL OML29 OML25 OML77 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc OML20 OML30 OML35 OML79 Concessions – SPDC Legal Divested Concessions Major Rivers/Sea FIDs OML72 OML74 OML71 26 NIGERIA: SPDC JOINT VENTURE PERFORMANCE 2014 overview Widespread oil theft remains a challenge 0 fatalities, 19 kidnappings Illegal fitting on NCTL at Opomakri, January 2015 SPDC* spills Production Thousand tonnes # volume of operational spills volume of sabotage spills k boe/day (SPDC) number of operational spills >100kg (RHS) number of sabotage spills >100kg (RHS) *SPDC = 30% Shell, 55% NNPC, 10% Total, 5% Agip; all data on 100% basis unless stated Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 27 ALASKA UPDATE 2015 Chukchi Sea 2 rig programme 28 support vessels Pending Exploration Plan approval & drilling permits 2012 learnings + actions Upgraded contractor management Certified Arctic Containment System (ACS) Improved incident command system and oil spill response Transocean Polar Pioneer Noble Discoverer Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 28 CANADA UPDATE LNG Canada Quest Carbon Capture and Storage 13 mtpa in FEED (100% capacity) Targets oil sands emissions Community advisory group Expected start up 2015 First Nations visit Oman LNG 2014 1mtpa CO2 Environmental Assessment Certificate application Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 29 CLIMATE CHANGE PUBLIC POLICY POSITION Pro-active advocacy A robust price on carbon Government support for early stage low carbon technologies Explore plausible futures in Shell scenarios Work with governments on energy transitions Member of / supported: World Bank Carbon Pricing statement (2014) World Bank Zero routine flaring initiative International Emissions Trading Association Prince of Wales Corporate Leaders Group Zero Emissions Platform WEF Oil & Gas Climate Initiative Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 30 CLIMATE CHANGE + LOW CARBON ACTIVITY Gas Energy Efficiency Biofuels Carbon Capture & Storage Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 31 CLIMATE CHANGE HARRY BREKELMANS DIRECTOR PROJECTS AND TECHNOLOGY ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 32 PROJECTS AND TECHNOLOGY AT SHELL Field development planning Projects and Technology in numbers: Project execution 14,000 staff Technical Services 323 patent applications Research & Development $1.2 billion R&D spend in 2014 Safety & Environment Three dedicated technology centres Contracting & Procurement Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 Amsterdam, Houston, Bangalore 33 SHELL ENERGY SCENARIOS Energy demand by source Exajoules 2000 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 2030 40 years of scenarios Designed to stretch management thinking Testing business models Contrasting plausible views of the future Are not a forecast of likely events 2060 Oil Coal Gas Nuclear Biomass/Biofuels Other Renewables Wind Solar 14 April, 2015 34 ENERGY-RELATED CARBON EMISSIONS: SCENARIOS Shell and IEA scenarios 1 Life-cycle CO2 intensity of electricity generation GtCO2/year CO2 equivalent/ KWh2 50 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2020 Oceans 2040 2080 2100 Mountains Current policies 2060 New policies 450 ppm Shell has to plan in a range of possible futures IEA 2° C scenario is normative 1: The New Lens Scenarios were based on 2011 IEA data, whereas the IEA World Energy Outlook 2014 scenarios are based on 2013 IEA data 2: IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation, 2011 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 35 ENERGY TRANSITIONS Shift to lower carbon energy system Dynamic, policy-driven changes Local and global trends Example: Germany electricity consumption (by source) EJ/Year Oil Coal Biomass Gasified Nuclear Geothermal Wind Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 Natural Gas Biofuels Biomass/Waste Solids Hydro-electricity Solar Other renewables 36 STRANDED ASSETS HYPOTHESIS IGNORES SUPPLY + DEMAND REALITIES Oil demand & supply million barrels of oil per day Transport underpins oil demand, despite electric vehicle growth Oceans IEA current policies Mountains IEA new policies IEA 450 Natural decline Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 Substantial supply gap 70 million barrels per day 80% replacement of today’s production Equivalent to ~6 x Saudi Arabia or ~80 x UKCS ~$15 trillion investment 37 DIRECT EMISSIONS MANAGEMENT Design and operations Future energy technology GHG emissions plans in both design phase and operation of assets Amal steam using renewables for enhanced oil recovery New projects include energy efficient design Glasspoint Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 38 INDIRECT EMISSIONS MANAGEMENT FLNG Clean fuels CCS LNG for transport Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 39 SHELL RESEARCH + DEVELOPMENT Significant R+D spend Total R+D spend $mln Shell >$1bn year since 2007 Averaging ~15% low-carbon R+D Peer group Full size hydraulic test rig, The Netherlands Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 40 LOW CARBON R+D AND INVESTMENT STRATEGIES A Commercial operation* B R&D Gas Technology demonstration/research C Used in Shell operations Exploration FEED FID LNG 7.7mtpa CCS LNG 6.5mtpa Peterhead (1 mtpa) Biofuels Westhollow research centre “cellulosic biofuels” Solar PV Solar Alternative energy carriers Future energy technologies On stream LNG 7.4mtpa Gorgon (3-4 mtpa) Quest (>1 mtpa) Raizen 2G Iogen cellulose ethanol Glasspoint Solar EOR Shell Technology Ventures 2 B Energy LNG 24mtpa GTL Mongstad Cansolv Otway Raizen 1G (sugar cane ethanol) Showa shell PV manufacture H2 network (Germany) Onshore Offshore (50 MW net) (450 MW net) Wind Technology Efforts Define Execute Operate * Volumes in Shell share Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 41 CLIMATE CHANGE ANGUS GILLESPIE VICE PRESIDENT CO2 ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 42 SHELL GROUP CO2 Group CO2 function – what we do Regular assessment of CO2 exposure since 2007 CO2 Competitive research and analysis Policy and advocacy Portfolio Implementation CO2 Includes CCS CO2 emissions, intensity, costs screening value of $40 per tonne base case Long-term assessment of where mitigation or adaptation might be required CO2 strategy CO2 management framework Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc CO2 positioning 14 April, 2015 43 PROJECT ECONOMICS EXAMPLE NPV analysis: example NPV sensitivities: example $ cumulative $ /yr 3 12 2 8 1 4 0 0 Oil Price CO2 price Capex 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 -1 -2 -3 -4 Annual cashflow Undiscounted Cumulative cashflow Discounted Cumulative cashflow -4 $40 / tonne CO2e $70-$110 / bbl Brent oil $3-$5 / mmbtu Henry Hub gas -12 -16 Shell project screening values Opex -8 Recovery factor - impact Base NPV (inc $40/t CO2) + impact Future oil, gas and carbon price sensitivities are incorporated in project economics for all Shell projects Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 44 SHELL AND IEA PRICE ASSUMPTIONS Oil price Europe CO2 cost $/barrel $/tonne IEA “Current Policies” Shell base case IEA “New Policies” IEA “450” Shell Planning Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 45 ASSET PORTFOLIO POTENTIAL RESILIENCE TO SCENARIOS Strategic theme Oil price effect CO2 cost effect Combined cost effect % difference in NPV vs Shell $90 scenario % difference in NPV vs Shell $40/ tonne scenario % difference in NPV Future Opportunities Resource Plays Deep Water Integrated Gas Upstream Engine Downstream Engine IEA “Current Policies” IEA “New Policies” IEA “450” *The final outcome will include factors such as actual energy and CO2 prices, and portfolio choices made by Shell Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 46 ANNUAL ROUNDTABLE FOR SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INVESTORS BEN VAN BEURDEN CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 47 Q&A 14 APRIL 2015 ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 48 BACKUP 14 APRIL 2015 ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 49 HUMAN RIGHTS Founding member of UN Global Compact. Collaboration with Danish Institute of Human Rights Implementing Voluntary Principles on Human Rights since 2000 OBJECTIVE Due diligence to avoid infringements of rights Be able to ‘know and show’ systems are effective Access to grievance mechanisms for stakeholders POLICY COMMITMENT Business Principles Shell Code of Conduct HSSE & SP Control Framework Supplier Principles Governance: HSSE SP Exec & Human Rights Working Group SHELL FOCUS AREAS Contracting & Procurement Human Resources Security Social Performance Partnerships: Danish Institute for Human Rights, Consensus Building Institute INDUSTRY COOPERATION Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc Human Rights Due Diligence 14 April, 2015 Human Rights & Impact Assessment Grievance Mechanisms 50 ASSET INTEGRITY AND PROCESS SAFETY PREVENTING AND MITIGATING MAJOR SAFETY INCIDENTS Goal Zero: No Harm, No Leaks 1 Assets are safe and we know it Control barriers 2 Recovery measures THREATS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc CONSEQUENCES Leadership behaviours TOP EVENT 3 4 5 Standards and processes Motivated, competent people Continuous improvement 14 April, 2015 Act Plan Check Do Effective design and application of barriers 51 BRENT FIELD DECOMMISSIONING Brent Delta Topside plan submitted Consultation + resubmission Target date single lift: summer 2016 Full field decommissioning plan to follow 8 year stakeholder engagement ~ 180 bodies Includes environmental groups and NGOs www.shell.co.uk/brentdecomm Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 52 GRONINGEN EARTHQUAKES – NETHERLANDS GAS 2012-2014 Earthquakes Key focus areas Study work and hazard risk assessments Innovative Intensive 0 10 20km collaboration Loppersum stakeholder management and dialogues Government decisions taken Production €1.2bn restriction Mitigation programme force: 0.1–1.0 3.5 and higher www.namplatform.nl Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 53 NIGERIA: SHELL ENVIRONMENTAL PERFORMANCE Remediation # of spills sites* Illegal fitting on 28” TNP at Bodo West, Feb 2015 Number of spills in year (all causes) Sites requiring remediation *includes 125 sites from 1969-1993 in Ogoniland confirmed during decommissioning in 2013 All data on a Shell operated basis Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 54 IRAQ UPSTREAM Basrah Gas Company Majnoon oil development Basrah Gas Company storage tanks Majnoon Shell 44%, started up in 2013 Shell 45%, started up in 2013 Largest flare reduction project in the world Flaring increased with production Avoided 14 million tonnes of CO2 from flaring (100% basis) Flaring reduction programme under construction To provide power for domestic market late 2015 Processing capacity 550mmscf/d associated gas 2 billion scf/d potential Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 55 REVENUE TRANSPARENCY Voluntary country-level tax disclosure since 2012 EITI board position and founder Encourage government transparency Preparation for reporting 2015 payments in 2016 No country exemptions may cause conflict in law Shell is actively engaging with host governments including UK ~$18 bln taxes & royalties paid 2014 ~$73 bln excise tax collected in 2014 Leadership in tax transparency Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 www.shell.com/payments 56 RESTRUCTURING RESOURCES PLAYS + REDUCING EXPOSURE W. Canada gas Russia Germany W. Canada LRS Algeria Appalachia ` China Turkey Tunisia Oman Colombia Permian Arrow CBM Argentina Neuquen Gas Liquids Rich On-stream E&A Capital investment $ billion -30% Americas Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc North America restructured in 2014 International portfolio restructuring underway International 14 April, 2015 57 TIGHT GAS OPERATIONS: EMISSIONS MANAGEMENT IN ACTION Air emissions specifically covered in onshore operating principles Green completions in UA onshore operations Shell conducts its operations in a manner that protects air quality and controls fugitive emissions as reasonably practicable Infrared cameras to identify fugitive methane Studies with University of Texas and EDF Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 58 DEMAND OUTLOOK AND RESERVES New policies scenario 450 Scenario Mtoe/d Shell SEC proved reserves Oil Coal Gas Mtoe/d Resources* Nuclear Hydro Shell SEC proved reserves Bioenergy Resources* Other renewables Shell Reserves life at end 2014: ~11 years Further 2P +2C resources Oil and gas portfolio relevant in IEA 450 scenario Coal demand is most impacted * Resources shown includes only resources in select or define phases (post feasibility study or in FEED) or are under execution or on stream. Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 59 ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT: FUGITIVE METHANE Study by the University of Texas at Austin in collaboration with the Environmental Defense Fund and 9 operators EPA production sector methane emissions Gg/yr Reason for the study: Wide variation in EPA national inventories Limited measured data Data better informs scientifically sound policies and regulations Well completion emissions lower than previously estimated Emissions from pneumatic controllers and equipment leaks higher than EPA national emission projections 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 80 34 Chemical Pumps 225 0 -500 -1000 -636 Pneumatic Controllers Total emissions similar to 2011 EPA national inventory 500 Completions with HF Methane Emissions Difference (Gg/yr) Measurements from 190 onshore natural gas sites in the US Methane Emissions (Gg) Equipment Leaks Key findings: 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2010 EPA (313 bcf) Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 2011 EPA (133 bcf) UT/EDF (119 bcf) 60 ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT: LIFE CYCLE BENEFITS OF GAS OVER COAL Estimate vs. threshold Methane leakage rates (% of gross production) Critical methane leakage gas vs. coal (8%) based on a 100 year time-frame 3.79% 1.4% EPA NG sector total = 1.26% 4.11% 0.34% 1.81% 0.79% 0.47% 0.69% 0.9% 1.3% 1.39% 0.73% 0.87% 0.43% NG Production 2.2% 0.43% 1.2% Other NG Sector Current data supports the policy arguments on climatic benefit of gas over coal; though most research has been based on the 2009-2010 EPA inventories with higher system-wide emissions Definitive answer once EDF series is completed for other segments of the natural gas value chain Source: US EPA, UT/EDF Study, NPC (George et al), NREL (Logal et al), IDA (Weber et al), Cornell (Howarth et al), ANL (Burnham et al), NETL (Skone et al) and IEA Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 61 ANNUAL ROUNDTABLE FOR SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INVESTORS 14 APRIL 2015 ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 14 April, 2015 62
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