The Corporation of the TOWN OF MILTON Report to: Mayor G.A. Krantz & Members of Council From: Jennifer Reynolds, Director, Community Services Date: August 13, 2012 Report No. COMS-025-12 Subject: Indoor Turf Study RECOMMENDATION: THAT the Indoor Turf Study (Attached as Schedule A) as prepared by the JF Group in association with Monteith Brown Planning Consultants be approved in principle; AND THAT staff be authorized to commence discussions with the Halton Catholic District School Board (HCDSB) on a partnership agreement for a seasonal Indoor Turf Facility at the Milton Catholic Secondary School located at 1139 Bronte Street South; AND THAT field rates for the potential facility should be developed in accordance with the Town’s user fee model and policies; AND THAT staff be directed through the Community Services Master Plan Update to re-visit the assumptions made for the previously identified location of the Indoor Turf Facility at the Derry Green Community Park. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Indoor Turf Study prepared by the JF Group in association with Monteith Brown Planning Consultants provides a clear direction to the Town of Milton for the provision of an indoor turf facility. Demand analysis, capital and operating financial analysis, facility type analysis and partnership models were studied and recommendations provided. This report recommends approval of the Indoor Turf Study and the implementation of next steps. John Frittenburg from the JF Group will be in attendance to make a presentation to Council. The Corporation of the TOWN OF MILTON Report No.COMS-025-12 Page No. 2 REPORT Background The Community Services Master Plan, completed in 2008, stated the Town of Milton should target the provision of an indoor turf facility between 2011 and 2016. The Master Plan also concluded that a feasibility study would need to be completed for the facility whereby options for potential partnerships on both capital and operating models would be explored. Subsequently, the Milton Sports Centre (MSC) Expansion Study, completed in 2009, found that sufficient demand for indoor turf was present at that time in the community and that a feasibility study and business plan should commence. In response to the recommendation of the MSC Expansion Study, Council approved the development of an Indoor Turf Study in the 2011 Capital Budget. The 2010 Development Charges Background Study identified capital expenditures of $2,447,500 for the construction of a covered artificial turf field. Included in this amount were funds for a full sized artificial turf field, lights for outdoor use of the field and infrastructure for the air-supported structure that would cover approximately 1/3 of the field (grade beam, inflatable fabric cover, mechanical units). An additional $927,200 is allocated to a support building that would connect to the air-supported structure and function as dressing rooms and a lobby for the indoor field. The building would also serve the proposed outdoor park uses that were planned at the same location (proposed location Derry Green Community Park). The full amounts for the indoor facility and the support building are included in the 2013 Capital Budget Forecast approved by Council in December of 2012. Discussion Study Composition The JF Group in association with Monteith Brown Planning Consultants were retained to complete the Indoor Turf Study. The objective of the study was to investigate and make recommendations on the following main categories: • Demand analysis • Capital and operational financial analysis • Facility type and design • Partnership models and opportunities The Technical Advisory Committee for the project was comprised of the following Town staff members: • Jennifer Reynolds, Director, Community Services The Corporation of the TOWN OF MILTON • • • • • Report No.COMS-025-12 Page No. 3 Joy Anderson, Senior Manager, Recreation Services Steve Palmer, Acting Manager, Community Development and Programs Doug Sampano, Manager, Facility Services – Operations Robert Humphrey, Economic Development Officer William Wilson, Investment and Financial Analyst Numerous consultation opportunities were provided for the study including: • Prior to the study commencing, an information and feedback session was held in the spring of 2011with interested stakeholder groups to inform them of the objectives of the study and allow for feedback in developing the Terms of Reference. The following groups were in attendance: o Milton Girls Softball Association o Milton Minor Baseball Association o Milton Soccer Academy o Milton Youth Soccer Club o Milton Minor Lacrosse Association o Urban Sports Club • During the study, interested stakeholder groups were given opportunities to provide input through a web-based survey, individual interviews and a workshop held at the MSC. The table on page 12 of the Indoor Turf Study details the groups who took part in each of the different opportunities. • A draft report was circulated to the stakeholder groups who had participated in the study. A summary of comments submitted and the outcome of the remarks are attached in Schedule B. Recommended Partnership Model The Indoor Turf Study completed an analysis of the potential models for delivery of a facility. The study recommends to proceed with a P2 (Public/Public Partnership) with the HCDSB and details the rationale for this recommendation within the report. The concept of a P2 with the HCDSB is also consistent with previous Council direction related to the staff report on the subject of their Long Term Accommodation Plan. PD-032-12 previously approved by Council detailed the following direction from the Ministry of Education: “One of the goals in the Ministry policy is that with the construction of new schools, major additions and renovations there is an opportunity for Boards to leverage other infrastructure investments by co-building with entities that provide services and programs for children, their families and the broader community.” The Corporation of the TOWN OF MILTON Report No.COMS-025-12 Page No. 4 When Council approved PD-032-12, the report contained a recommendation for Town staff to review any potential opportunities, relating to the sharing of facilities and or optimization of the public assets of the HCDSB. The potential partnership on an indoor turf facility would be a direct example of the Ministry directive and the Council recommendation. The relationship would benefit the school’s student population along with the entire Milton community. Construction on the HCDSB Secondary School located at the corner of Louis St. Laurent and Bronte Road has already commenced. A portion of the work to enable an air-supported structure to be incorporated into the initial construction may occur this fall. In order to ensure this work can proceed and the cost efficiencies realized, staff are requesting approval to immediately commence discussions with the HCDSB on a capital and operating partnership agreement. Approval of a mutually agreed upon partnership agreement would be subject to Council approval. The framework of the partnership will consider the following as outlined in the Indoor Turf Study: • design specifications that are agreeable to both partners; • operating specifications that ensure that each partner’s constituents’ needs are realized • a capital cost sharing formula for all aspects of the new facility’s development; • an agreement on the operating approach that considers differences in users needs and the operational and scheduling nuances of indoor and outdoor field environments; • a facility repair, maintenance, replacement strategy and cost sharing formula; • an operating cost sharing formula; and • a monitoring and communications strategy to ensure the relationship meets both partners’ expectations for the life of the agreement. Capital Budget Considerations Staff have endorsed the recommendation in the Indoor Turf Study to proceed with a full (four) field air-supported structure. The HCDSB intends to have the artificial turf field ready for the opening of the school in September 2013. HCDSB staff anticipate the majority of the work on the field to be completed in the spring and summer of 2013. Base condition work on the field may commence in the fall of 2012 depending on a number of variables. To capture cost efficiencies, it is important that the air-supported structure and the required infrastructure be built in unison with the artificial turf field. Should an agreement be reached with the HCDSB and should construction on the project begin this fall, Town staff will bring a future report for Council approval requesting the advancement of a portion of the capital costs into 2012. The Corporation of the TOWN OF MILTON Report No.COMS-025-12 Page No. 5 Operating Budget Considerations Town staff will prepare the proposed 2013 budget assuming the facility will be a municipal operated facility. Staff will continue to monitor and evaluate any potential partnerships for the operating management of the facility. In order to complete a 5 year financial forecast, the study made assumptions on user fees for the facility based on market rates and the feedback attained from the potential user groups. The final field rates for the facility will be subject to the Town’s user fee model and policies. Future of the Derry Green Community Park The Derry Green Community Park is an approximate 20 acre parcel of land to be conveyed to the Town as part of the Derry Green Business Park Secondary Plan (pending Regional approval). The park parcel was identified in the 2013 Capital Budget Forecast as the site for an air-supported indoor facility and support building. The preliminary plan for the park also includes a number of additional sports fields. Should the recommendation to partner with the HCDSB to deliver a facility at the Secondary School location proceed, the need to locate the indoor turf facility at Derry Green Community Park is eliminated. The Community Services Master Plan update will commence in the fall of 2012 and as part of the scope, the plan will review the assumptions for this site and determine the required future impacts on park land needs. Relationship to the Strategic Plan Goal: A safe, liveable and healthy community Direction: To promote and facilitate active and healthy lifestyles and life long learning • Encourage the exploration of all partnership opportunities in the delivery of leisure/community/library services. Goal: Well managed growth, well planned spaces Direction: Encourage well timed service delivery • Encourage the development of public facilities in appropriate locations at the right time to meet the needs of present and future residents. Financial Impact The capital cost estimates detailed in the Indoor Turf Study will be utilized to prepare the 2013 Capital Budget. If Council approves an agreement between the Town and the HCDSB and work commences on the project in the fall of 2012, advancement of partial The Corporation of the TOWN OF MILTON Report No.COMS-025-12 Page No. 6 funding may be required and subsequently a report will be brought forward for Council approval. The operating analysis for the facility completed in the study will provide a basis for preparation of the 2013 Operating Budget. Town staff will further detail and refine these budgets as part of the 2013 budget process. Respectfully submitted, Jennifer Reynolds Director, Community Services If you have any questions on the content of this report: Steve Palmer, Acting Manager, Community Development and Programs 905-878-7252 ext.2581 Attachments: Schedule A – Indoor Turf Study Schedule B – Summary of Stakeholder Group Comments CAO Approval: _________________________ Table of Contents Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 1 Purpose of the Study ................................................................................................................................ 1 This Report................................................................................................................................................ 2 Previous Studies ............................................................................................................................................ 3 Demographic and Activity Trends ................................................................................................................. 4 Growth & Demographic Composition ..................................................................................................... 4 Trends ....................................................................................................................................................... 5 Stakeholder Input ....................................................................................................................................... 12 Overview................................................................................................................................................. 12 Summary of Input................................................................................................................................... 12 Demand Analysis ......................................................................................................................................... 16 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 16 Current Situation .................................................................................................................................... 16 Demand Analysis Methodology ............................................................................................................. 17 Current Demand ..................................................................................................................................... 17 Future Demand....................................................................................................................................... 21 Field Turf Environment ............................................................................................................................... 22 Development Models ............................................................................................................................. 22 Operating Profiles .................................................................................................................................. 22 Rates and Fees ........................................................................................................................................ 23 Comparable Facility Summary ............................................................................................................... 24 Partnership Assessment.............................................................................................................................. 27 Benefits of Partnerships ......................................................................................................................... 27 A General Evaluation of Apparent Partnership Alternatives................................................................ 28 Potential Proponents ............................................................................................................................. 31 Preferred Development Approach ........................................................................................................ 31 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................................. 32 Capital Cost Implications............................................................................................................................. 33 Preferred Facility Type ........................................................................................................................... 33 Facility Size and Assumptions ................................................................................................................ 34 Capital Cost Estimates ............................................................................................................................ 35 Business Plan............................................................................................................................................... 37 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 37 Project Goal and Objectives ................................................................................................................... 37 Operating Profile .................................................................................................................................... 38 Length of Indoor Season and Hours of Operation ................................................................................ 38 Governance and Staffing Plan................................................................................................................ 38 Rates and Fees Strategy ......................................................................................................................... 39 Revenue Assumptions ............................................................................................................................ 39 Cost Assumptions ................................................................................................................................... 41 Financial Projections .............................................................................................................................. 43 Summary of Findings, Conclusions and Recommendations ....................................................................... 46 General Observations............................................................................................................................. 46 Demand for Indoor Turf Fields............................................................................................................... 46 Facility Provision Alternatives ............................................................................................................... 47 Capital Cost Implications........................................................................................................................ 47 Operating Cost Implications................................................................................................................... 48 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................. 48 Recommendations ................................................................................................................................. 49 Appendix One - Summary of Stake Holder Input Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Introduction The Town of Milton’s Community Services Master Plan (2008) identified that population growth and shifts in recreation participation patterns would create the need for an indoor turf facility between 2011 and 2016. The Plan also suggested that prior to making a development decision, the Town should undertake a feasibility study to confirm the need for the facility as well as examine potential capital development and operating alternatives. In 2009, the findings of the Milton Sports Centre Expansion study indicated that sufficient demand for an indoor turf facility had arisen more quickly than originally anticipated and concluded that a feasibility study and business plan should be initiated. Purpose of the Study This study is to establish a rational approach to meeting demonstrated demand for an indoor turf facility. The study is also to provide advice regarding the preferred facility development strategy, operating model and estimated financial performance. To this end, the study’s objectives are: to assess the short and long-term demand for indoor turf facilities to accommodate various community user group requirements and municipal programming needs; to examine various facility provision and operating scenarios including a detailed evaluation of the viability of partnership opportunities; to evaluate and report on the capital and operating cost implications associated with different facility types, development approaches and component options; and to provide recommendations regarding future development strategies including a detailed business plan and partnership analysis for the preferred development approach. The consulting team of The JF Group and Monteith Brown Planning Consultants (“the consultants”) undertook a detailed work plan that focused on the preceding objectives. The work plan involved a trends analysis, an environmental scan of other relevant facility examples, stakeholder and user group consultations, the identification of the need for and potential future uses of a new indoor turf facility, an analysis comparing the capital cost and operational implications of a preferred facility option, a partnership viability analysis and the development of a business plan including operating revenue and cost projections. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~1~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report This Report This report presents the results of the study which include: an overview of the population, demographics and community profile implications germane to the viability of the proposed facility; relevant sport and recreation participation trends as well as changes in consumer preferences that could affect operating and facility scheduling decisions; a discussion of the turf field environment and related factors that will influence the facility’s operations, an analysis of current and future demand as well as projected growth forecasts; an analysis of various facility delivery alternatives including an evaluation of partnership possibilities that arose during the course of the study process; capital cost estimates for the preferred facility type and development approach; and the business plan including the projected operating revenues and expenses for the facility’s first five years of operation. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~2~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Previous Studies The Town of Milton’s 2004 Parks and Facilities Update for the Sherwood Survey Secondary Plan recommended that the Town clarify its willingness to participate in the development of an indoor soccer facility. This Study indicated that there was a high level of confidence that an indoor soccer facility in Milton would be well used, however, there were questions about appropriate service levels and the potential to negotiate an acceptable financing and operating partnership. Subsequently, the Town studied the possibility of converting the John Tonelli Sports Centre into an indoor turf facility. However, the facility’s design and Town-wide need for indoor ice were factors that negated Tonelli as a viable indoor turf alternative. As mentioned in the previous section, the Town’s 2008 Community Services Master Plan examined parks and recreation facility needs and recommended that the Town undertake a feasibility study for an indoor turf facility (between 2011 and 2016) to determine the associated costs and operating structure. At the time, it was projected that Milton could sustain one indoor turf field (approximately 200 by 100 feet), growing to three indoor turf fields by 2016. In 2009, the Town completed a Concept Design & Business Plan for the Milton Sports Centre Expansion. As part of the preliminary analysis, an indoor turf venue was studied along with several other recreation facility components. Although the study determined that there was demand for an indoor turf facility, site constraints led to a decision that an indoor turf venue would not be recommended as part of the Milton Sports Centre expansion. However, the study suggested that the Town should immediately begin the process of developing a strategy to meet the indoor turf field needs of the community. In 2010, the Town completed its Analysis of Parkland & Recreational Facility Needs Within the Boyne Survey Secondary Plan. This study examined the parkland and recreation facility needs created by the new residential development area, as well as other outstanding Town-wide recreational facility requirements. Based on the findings of previous studies, this analysis reiterated the need for an indoor turf facility (one to two fields with partnership potential) and raised the possibility of locating a new turf venue at Derry Green Community Park. In the fall of 2011, the Milton Soccer Centre was opened on Main Street East in Milton. This facility, which is the lone indoor turf facility in Milton, consists of a 130 x 80 foot indoor field that accommodates the needs of the Milton Soccer Academy and other soccer rentals and programs as well as individual and group rentals for rugby, lacrosse, field hockey, football, Ultimate Frisbee, bocce, lawn bowling, golf, fitness, etc. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~3~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Demographic and Activity Trends The Town’s demographic make-up and sport participation profile are important influences that must be considered in determining the current and future needs for an indoor turf facility. Growth & Demographic Composition Milton has been the fastest growing community in Canada for the last ten years – the Town grew by 71% between 2001 and 2006 and by 57% between 2006 and 2011. This rate of growth is expected to continue as the Town expands into new developments and as population intensifies within urban areas. The Town’s population - 84,362 as per the 2011 census - is projected to nearly double within the next ten years, growing to 161,750 in 20211. This forecast fits within the population goal of the Province’s Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe that established a targeted Town population of between 147,000 and 180,000 by 2021. Continued growth is anticipated to the extent that by 2031 Milton will be home to 228,084 citizens. As has been the case over the past decade, population growth will intensify demands for new and expanded recreation services and infrastructure to meet the needs of a larger and more diverse citizenry. Town of Milton Historic and Forecasted Population Growth (1981-2031) Source: Statistics Canada, 1981, 1986, 1991, 1996, 2001, 2006, 2011; Regional Municipality of Halton Best Planning Estimates, 2011. Contrary to the general aging of Ontario’s population, Milton is expected to remain a relatively young community. The Town’s residential and community development will continue to attract 1 Regional Municipality of Halton. Best Planning Estimates. 2011. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~4~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report a younger adult cohort, many of which will be in prime child-bearing years. Over the next ten years, this will result in a significant increase in the Town’s child and youth population. As a large number of young families move into Milton, the Town will need to keep pace with rising demands for new and expanded recreational services that cater to residents of all ages. The ethnic composition of the GTA is becoming increasingly diverse because the region offers economic and social supports that are attractive to immigrants. In 2006, 24% of Milton’s population was made up of immigrants – just below the provincial average of 28%2. And, as the Town becomes increasingly ethnic diverse, there are greater demands for activities that appeal to multiple cultures including soccer and cricket, which are internationally popular. Milton’s 2005 median household income ($86,604) was well above the provincial average ($60,455)3, which is likely attributable to the Town’s location within the GTA where housing costs are higher, which generally correlates with higher wages. It is noteworthy however, that affordability will continue to be an important issue for a certain segment of Milton’s population. This can be achieved by continuing to offer some form of financial assistance for access to municipal programs and services either through preferential pricing (such as the Town’s current practice of providing a youth fee subsidy) or through assistance programs (i.e. Jump Start). The 2006 Census data reveals that Town residents are generally well educated – 57% of citizens over 15 years of age have a college or technical school education (6% better than the provincial average) and 23% have earned a university diploma or degree compared to the provincial average of 20.5%4. It is likely that university education levels within the community will continue to rise, particularly if the Town becomes home to a post secondary institution. This is germane to this study because well educated, high income earners are most likely to engage in elevated levels of participation in sport and recreation activities. Trends The following is a summary of sport trends that may influence the demand for indoor turf facilities in Milton. Physical Activity Levels In 2011, 52% of residents within the Halton Region were moderately active or active during leisure-time. While this is slightly higher than the provincial average (50.5%), it means that about half of Halton residents are insufficiently active to achieve optimal health benefits. A correspondingly high number of Halton Region’s residents (49%) are overweight or obese. 2 Statistics Canada. (2006). Community Profile. Ibid 4 Ibid 3 The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~5~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report By their nature, recreation activities promote healthy lifestyles. An indoor turf facility is one of several facilities that could help to promote heightened levels of physical activity that can contribute to better health and wellbeing of the Town’s residents. Organized & Unorganized Activity Trends Over the past decade, participation in organized sports has declined throughout Canada. Conversely, self-scheduled, unstructured activities are on the rise and are becoming more popular than traditional forms of sport involvement. The following are some key findings from studies conducted by the Canadian Fitness and Lifestyle Research Institute and Statistics Canada: Male sport participation continues to eclipse levels of female involvement. However in some sports, participation by women and girls is on the rise and is helping to offset declines in certain male-dominated sports (hockey). Soccer is enjoyed by both males and females. Beginning at the age of 12, rates of sport participation begin to decline and drop off considerably after 20 years of age. Participation in physical activity of all types decreases in the teenage years and not surprisingly there is a corresponding reduction in the fitness levels of teenagers. Consumer preferences and the public’s expectations regarding recreation facilities and services are changing over time and it is expected that: people will be increasingly attracted to less physically rigorous activities and will also be drawn to endeavours that offer personal skill development (this trend is already evident in many communities across Ontario); there will be a shift away from participation in certain structured sport and recreation activities towards activities that are more informal, casual and self-scheduled; females will expect a broader spectrum of recreation and sport activities that respond to their particular needs and interests; and older adults will be at the forefront of consumers expecting a higher quality standard for community services and facilities. Soccer Participation Although turf field facilities typically accommodate a variety of sports, soccer is normally the most dominant use. And, while this study focuses on indoor turf facilities, it is appropriate to examine influences of both the outdoor and indoor soccer markets to help better understand the general condition of the sport. Additionally, it is generally accepted that there is a direct correlation between the number of outdoor soccer players in a jurisdiction and the propensity of indoor play. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~6~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Soccer underwent enormous growth in the ‘90s when it replaced baseball and hockey as the most popular team sports among Canada’s youth. Although participation growth rates have been more modest over the past decade, registrations have remained at impressive levels. Ontario Soccer Association – Total Registration (Indoor and Outdoor) Source: Ontario Soccer Association (OSA); Statistics Canada 1996, 2001, 2006, 2011 According to the Ontario Soccer Association (OSA), enrolment in outdoor soccer activities peaked in 2007 and has slightly declined in each year since. While the sport remains popular, participation reductions are most apparent in younger age cohorts. In the past ten years, registrations in the Peel Halton Soccer Association have risen by 6,326 players, representing a 12% increase in the number of outdoor players. Although this rise in registrants is 30% better than the 9% growth in provincial registrations, it falls well short of the 27% increase in Peel Halton’s population over the same time period. Therefore, the regional youth outdoor soccer capture rate – registrations as a percentage of the population - has actually declined, with the most significant reduction occurring over the last five years (20062011). This would suggest that interest in outdoor soccer in Peel Halton may be leveling off among existing residents. However, in high growth communities like Milton that are attracting new residents of all ages, it is likely that the actual number of registrations will continue to increase as populations climb. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~7~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report The Peel Halton Soccer Association (PHSA) reports that in 2011 over 3,000 youth were registered in organized outdoor soccer programs in Milton. However, survey data provided by the Milton Youth Soccer Club and the Milton Soccer Academy indicates that collectively about 4,000 players participated in their 2011 programs - the majority of participants being youth. The difference between the registration numbers of the PHSA and the local organizations may be caused by: competitive players sometimes play in more than one league; youth players may be registered in a league as well as a development program; systemic issues with the on-line registration process; and in certain cases the definition of club age categories do not align with the Association’s age groupings. Note: The following data includes organizations affiliated with the Ontario Soccer Association, including Milton Youth Soccer Club, Milton Soccer Academy, Milton Soccer League, Milton Soccer Club, Milton Gunners, and AC Milton. Excluded are school teams, private sports clubs (e.g. Urban Sports Club, and casual play). Registration in Peel Halton Outdoor Soccer Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Mini/ Youth n/a n/a n/a n/a 49,863 51,848 53,331 50,039 47,293 47,072 Senior n/a n/a n/a n/a 9,292 10,214 11,889 12,502 12,991 13,644 Total 54,390 56,165 55,961 56,591 59,155 62,062 63,220 62,541 60,284 60,716 Change 6.8% 3.3% -0.4% 1.1% 4.5% 4.9% 1.9% -1.1% -3.6% 0.7% Source: Ontario Soccer Association (OSA) While overall soccer registrations in Ontario may have begun to level off, registrations in adult soccer leagues have increased 62% in the past ten years (2002-2011). Likewise, in the past six years (since 2006) Peel Halton Soccer Association experienced a 47% rise in adult/senior outdoor soccer registrations. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~8~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Source: Ontario Soccer Association (OSA) In 2011, the province-wide ratio of youth to adult outdoor soccer players is approximately four to one. This ratio is mirrored in Peel Halton and Milton and represents a proportionate rise in adult players of 5% since 2006. The popularity of adult soccer is on the rise as more active adults take up the sport and as the most active adults continue to play soccer to an older age. The demand for indoor facilities has been driven by soccer’s continued appeal plus an increased emphasis on year-round training and competition. While only a segment of the overall soccer market play indoors, more players are looking for year round soccer opportunities – a trend that is elevating registrations in indoor programs. As of 2011, the ratio of outdoor to indoor soccer players was 4 to 1 in Ontario, with a much higher proportion of indoor play in Peel Halton (2.5 to 1). The proportionate number of indoor players is different than was the case ten years ago when the outdoor to indoor ratio was 6.25 to 1 across Ontario. The number of registered indoor players has continued to rise even as year over year registrations in outdoor soccer have leveled off or declined. Provincially, the number of indoor soccer players registered by the OSA has increased by 68% between 2002 and 2011, a more The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~9~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 significant rise than the 9% growth seen in outdoor soccer. The Peel Halton Soccer Association has experienced a 38% increase in registered indoor players over the past six years. Town of Milton Final Report Many new indoor turf facilities have been built in the GTA in the past five years - including several in the Peel Halton region. The disparity between the growth rates of indoor and outdoor soccer is very likely caused by the many recently developed indoor turf facilities throughout the province. These new venues have improved the availability of sport-specific facilities that are preferred by both youth and adults who are interested in playing indoors. Also, many of the facilities offer a wide variety of program alternatives that appeal to a number of different interests – i.e. organized leagues, drop-in play, team rentals, etc. While indoor soccer is gaining increased traction with youth participants, its popularity is rising even faster among adult registrants. In the past ten years (2002-2011) indoor soccer registration across Ontario has risen 49% in the mini/youth age category and 100% in the senior category. In 2011, the number of senior indoor registrants in Peel Halton soccer programs (11,820) was marginally below the number of mini/youth registrants in outdoor soccer leagues and program (13,644). According to the stakeholder survey, Milton based soccer organizations reported that for the 2011/12 indoor season there were 1,491 players in organized indoor soccer programs. Both the Milton Youth Soccer Club (MTSC) and The Milton Soccer Academy (MSA) report that the primary age range for participants in indoor programs is youth between 4 and 18 years of age. The MSA also organizes programs that target adults – male and female adult leagues and skill development programs – and the Milton Soccer Centre accommodates adult team rentals over and above the Academy’s programming initiatives. Trends in Other Field Sports Most indoor turf facilities are built to accommodate a variety of different sports and activities. Therefore trends relating to other field-based sports are important considerations in determining the overall need for a new field turf venue. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 10 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Tackle Football is a sport with cyclical popularity. There are recent indications that the sport may be again gaining popularity in Ontario, particularly for players in the 7 to 19 age group. The Ontario Tackle Football Association reports that the sport’s largest challenge is the supply of lit fields, as football is an autumn sport when darkness occurs earlier in the afternoon/evening. In that indoor turf facilities offer playing surfaces that are smaller than regulation fields, most football clubs normally use turf facilities for indoor training purposes. However, flag football is often played in indoor turf facilities in jurisdictions where organizations offer this type of sport programming. Field Lacrosse is played by approximately 10% of Canada’s registered lacrosse players with the majority of players preferring box lacrosse – which is largely played in indoor arenas or boarded turf facilities. Field lacrosse is generally played during the spring on football or soccer fields. Ultimate Frisbee is an emerging field sport with excellent growth potential and appeals to both men and women in the 20-39 age brackets, which is a growing segment of Milton’s population. The sport offers excellent “fitness value” and carries a very low entry level cost (limited specialized equipment is required) making it quite appealing to a growing number of enthusiasts. Ultimate Frisbee is a popular sport in Milton as a number of private sports clubs organize leagues at various skill levels. Cricket is a growth-sport in many municipalities in the province that are home to large ethnic populations. People from England, South Asia, and West India, who have grown up in cultures where cricket is popular – even revered – are continuously pursuing opportunities for new or improved cricket facilities. Toronto and other GTA jurisdictions are experiencing increasing demand for competitive cricket venues and practice facilities. Milton has plans to develop its first official outdoor cricket facility and it is reasonable to believe that demand will continue to increase as the Town grows and becomes more ethnically diverse. Similar to football, cricket players prefer a larger field but clubs would likely use an indoor turf facility for training and modified games. Rugby is not seen as a growth-sport in most parts of the province, but remains stable in communities that are home to strong clubs that organize appealing programs. The rugby season typically begins in May and continues through the summer. Rugby leagues in the region may use an indoor turf facility in Milton for off-season training. Field Hockey is a growing sport. While the sport is most often delivered through school athletic programs, it is offered privately in Milton. Field hockey is one of the few field sports where the majority of players are women (about a 3:1 ratio). The sport is becoming a year-round activity and the indoor version has been gaining popularity. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 11 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Stakeholder Input Overview In April and May 2012, several organizations were contacted to complete an online survey. Primary stakeholders were also selected to participate in interviews from which the consulting team hoped to gain an understanding of their organization’s needs and expectations for an indoor turf facility. Both the survey and interviews were constructed to learn more about the activities and programs of each organization, as well as collect input about the facility’s design, users’ preferences for facility management and operations, partnership potential, anticipated amount of field use, programming expectations, etc. Rounding out the consultation activities, a workshop was held on May 2, 2012 to allow stakeholders to collectively discuss matters of demand, design, etc. The following table identifies the organizations that provided input. A number of other organizations declined the Town’s invitation to participate in this study. Listing of Organizations Organizations Milton Youth Soccer Club Milton Soccer Academy Milton Soccer League Urban Sports Club Milton Sports Club Milltown FC Milton Lacrosse Association Milton Girls Softball Association Milton Cricket Ground Halton Minor Football Interviewed Completed Survey Attended Workshop Y Y Summary of Input Informants shared many of the same opinions about the need for an indoor turf facility and have similar thoughts about the type of amenities that should be contemplated for the new facility. The general feeling was that there is significant need for a municipal multi-use indoor turf facility, primarily to serve the local youth soccer market. A summary of the input provided by the various groups and organizations is contained in Appendix A. It is noteworthy that the consultation activities occurred at an early stage in the study process and groups were asked to identify their interest and anticipated use of the indoor turf facility The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 12 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report before parameters of the facility’s design, rental rates or management approach had been determined. From experience, we know that rental cost and the ability of the facility to adequately accommodate certain uses will strongly dictate the degree of utilization. Therefore, as part of the business planning activities, groups’ requests will be interpreted through a lens that takes into account these important use factors. Indoor Field Demand – Soccer The largest user of a municipal indoor turf facility is likely to be the Milton Youth Soccer Club (MYSC). The Club indicated that it could likely use as many as 2 indoor fields during prime time/peak-season exclusively for its programs, which includes both competitive and recreational leagues. A new indoor turf facility would allow the Club to move its existing programs away from school gymnasia which would free up gym time for other community activities. The Club would also expand its programs in order to offer new training and developmental opportunities. According to the Club’s survey response, MYSC experienced 3% - 5% growth in player registrations over the past 2 seasons and in the 2011/12 season had 500 competitive and 450 recreational/house league players involved in indoor soccer programs. At present, the Club uses gymnasia in Milton and indoor turf facilities in nearby communities. According to the study survey, the Milton Soccer Academy had approximately 470 indoor players in 2011/12. The organization’s needs have been (and will continue to be) served by the Milton Soccer Centre – the Academy is the primary tenant of the Centre that is operated by a company affiliated with the Academy. The MSA representative reports that there is capacity at the Milton Soccer Centre to accommodate the organization’s future growth. However, if another Milton based indoor turf facility was developed, the Academy might use as many as 4 hours per week in peak season. Other potential soccer users include the Milton Soccer League (20 hours per week in peak season) and Urban Sports Club (approximately 4 hours per week). Milltown FC may also be interested in using field time but according to the Club representative, the rental price will be an important determinant in the number of hours that it could practically utilize. Many local teams currently play in the Hershey Centre soccer league (in Mississauga) and groups acknowledged that it will be difficult to entice these teams to relocate to Milton because the Hershey league offers a highly established level of competition. Therefore, it is expected that some local Milton players will continue to participate outside of the community, even if the Town builds its own indoor turf facility. Prime time hours (generally 5pm to 11pm on weekdays and 7am to 11pm on weekends) during peak season are in high demand. Utilization in the off-peak months (generally May to September) and during the daytime (year-round) will be limited. Soccer informants believe that the growing number of locally available outdoor artificial turf fields will not negatively affect demand for an indoor turf facility. This opinion is rooted in the fact that field rental rates are comparable and weather is unpredictable The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 13 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report during the shoulder seasons when overlapping use would most likely occur. There is one existing field at Bishop Reding Secondary School with another field anticipated for the Fall of 2012 at the new Craig Kielburger Secondary School. There is the potential of a third new artificial field (2013) at a new catholic secondary school development. The groups indicated that at present, the existing field at Bishop Reding is not well utilized by the community in large part due to the prevailing rates structure. In recent years, the Town’s soccer organizations have experienced growth in their indoor and outdoor programs. The clubs believe that this growth will continue and therefore suggest that the Town should plan for both current and future requirements. Indoor Field Demand – Other Sports While indoor soccer is expected to be the dominant use for the proposed facility, other sports and users expressed interest as potential facility patrons. This includes (but may not be limited to) Ultimate Frisbee, cricket, flag football, lacrosse, baseball training, etc. The Urban Sports Club expressed interest in using an indoor turf facility for Ultimate Frisbee (approximately 6 to 8 hours per week). The Club currently has about 50 to 60 players and offers its programs at indoor facilities in Brampton and Burlington. The Club representative also indicated that an indoor turf facility may allow them to expand existing programming to include new options such as flag football. The Milton Cricket Ground is interested in an indoor turf facility for practice (would need netting and hard surface for batting practice) and modified games. The group suggested it could use up to 25 hours per week during peak season, although the willingness to pay market rental rates is uncertain. The demand for indoor cricket may become more apparent as this group becomes more established (it began its first outdoor season in 2012). The Milton Lacrosse Association runs a successful box lacrosse program as well as a smaller field lacrosse program. Lacrosse representatives identified demand for 6 to 9 hours per week of prime time usage at an indoor turf facility. One organization from Milton’s baseball community responded to the survey and workshop – Milton Girls Softball Association. Most ball groups use local gymnasiums in the late winter and spring for indoor training purposes. The Girls Softball Association indicated an interest in using an indoor turf facility, possibly for 2 to 10 hours per week during the latter half of the indoor peak season. Halton Minor Football is in immediate need of 6 hours of field time per week during peak season. The representative indicated that the Association is very anxious to access indoor turf field time and as such will be exploring various alternatives including the possibility of developing its own facility if a municipal turf venue was not available for the winter of 2013. Despite this qualification, the Association’s needs have been included in the demand calculation. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 14 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report While Milton Minor Baseball Association (MMBA) did not respond to the survey, in the past representatives from the organization have discussed with staff the group’s interest in using an indoor turf facility. Currently MMBA utilizes school gymnasia for its indoor programs. Facility Design, Management and Location Survey respondents and workshop participants also provided input about design considerations as well as opinions about management and operating approaches for the indoor turf facility. A municipally operated facility is generally the preferred option because groups believe that this would provide greater certainty in terms of field allocation and operational accountability. However, the Milton Youth Soccer Club also indicated an interest in being an active participant in the facility’s operation. Some organizations suggested that demand in the summer could be minimal and that the Town would need to be creative in encouraging off peak season usage. Groups expressed a slight preference for a permanent building rather than an air supported structure based largely on a perception of greater comfort. However, it is very evident that the type of facility and its design is less important to users than are rental costs, availability of prime time hours and quality of the turf. Most organizations expect to run programs that can be accommodated on smaller field templates (e.g. 180 x 100 feet). However, some groups would use a larger 360’ x 200’ field if it were available - i.e. adult soccer groups may prefer the occasional full field game. Additionally, Ultimate Frisbee requires a full size field to accommodate two games simultaneously. Groups generally suggest that “form should follow function” and therefore that the design should be dictated by the outcome of the need and demand analysis. Soccer clubs recognize that the facility would likely charge market rates for rental of the indoor fields - a fact that framed their expectations for potential pricing. Youth soccer groups would most frequently use a 100’ x 180’ field and anticipate paying between $100 and $149 per prime time hour during peak season. The adult group felt that $150 to $199 per hour would be reasonable. Lacrosse, baseball, cricket, and – to a lesser extent – adult sports clubs, appear to be less willing to pay market rates for rentals, with most suggesting that an hourly rate of less than $100 per hour would be reasonable for peak season prime time. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 15 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Demand Analysis Introduction One of the key deliverables of this study is an examination of the need and demand for a new multi-use indoor turf facility in Milton. Furthermore, the demand analysis must consider how and by whom the facility will be used in both the short and long-term in order to accurately forecast the sustainability of utilization. Our review and analysis is based on a number of inputs including: background documents, the community’s demographic profile and recreation trends data; community user groups’ potential utilization; and feedback from local stakeholders. Current Situation The growth in the popularity of soccer has cultivated increased demands for sport field facilities - additional outdoor fields as well as year-round indoor facilities. Furthermore, user groups expect top quality fields that are accessible at times convenient for their constituents and at rental rates deemed affordable. There are several indoor turf venues within the Town’s general vicinity, including the privately operated Milton Soccer Centre located within Milton. According to information received through the stakeholder survey, the Milton Youth Soccer Club, Milton Soccer Academy, and Urban Sports Club collectively use approximately 235 hours of indoor field time per week during peak season at various facilities. The majority of this time (200 hours) relates to MYSC turf facility rental at venues located in Acton, Burlington, Oakville, Hamilton, and Mississauga. It is likely that some of this field use is shared with teams from other communities suggesting that the demand being generated from Milton players is somewhat less than the total weekly rented hours. There is also a core group of Ultimate Frisbee players that use out-of-town facilities. In addition, the Milton Youth Soccer Club and the Urban Sports Club presently utilize approximately 80 hours per week of gymnasium time for their indoor soccer programs during the winter. These groups have indicated that – due to design, size and availability issues – gymnasiums are inadequate for indoor soccer programming. The groups also suggested that they cannot grow their programs further due to facility limitations. Furthermore, input from stakeholders suggests that a properly built local indoor turf facility has the potential to attract new users as well as encourage groups to relocate their activities from gyms thereby freeing up gymnasium time for other community activities. The future outlook for indoor field sports indicates that indoor soccer will become increasingly popular as more youth and adults take up the game and/or participate in additional off-season training. Consistent with the findings of the Town’s Concept Design & Business Plan for the The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 16 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Milton Sports Centre Expansion (2009), some Milton based organizations believe that significant latent demand exists for indoor turf sports and suggest that indoor leagues would be feasible if an indoor turf facility was available. The Milton Sports Centre study suggested that in particular the adult market represents a significant amount of demand for an indoor facility. Interest in other sports such as Ultimate Frisbee, lacrosse and football is also increasing – although participation in these sports is expected to remain modest relative to soccer. In combination therefore, these factors suggest that current needs will grow and that there will be even greater demand for indoor turf venues over time. Demand Analysis Methodology Our research indicates that nearly every urban community in Central and Southwestern Ontario with a population over 100,000 has at least one indoor turf facility and some communities less than half this size are beginning to provide or consider such facilities. Several new facilities have opened in the Greater Toronto Area within the last five years, dramatically improving the supply. Decisions to provide indoor turf facilities are driven by a variety of factors that are often unique to each community. Factors such as strength of local sport organizations, activity interests, socio-demographic profiles, willingness to travel, regional supplies, construction and operating cost, etc. are normally considered in advance of a project moving forward. Therefore, it is not advisable to base development decisions on a per capita provision targets, given that each community’s characteristics may be different. Rather, it is more appropriate to assess current demand by examining the potential usage of the facility by local sports organizations and to project future needs by determining how the groups’ use requirements will change over time. Current Demand The following tables illustrate the requests received from local sports organizations for use of a new indoor turf facility on a weekly basis in both the peak and non-peak seasons. Most of the groups’ requests assume that usage would occur on a typical indoor field template (approximately 100 x 180 feet). Accordingly, our demand analysis assumes that an hour of field time relates to a field template that is ¼ of a full size soccer field. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 17 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Number of hours requested through Surveys & Interviews – Peak season (October to April) Prime Time Hours per week Non-Prime Time Hours per week Months 100 5 to 7 Oct - Apr Milton Soccer Academy 4 0 Nov, Jan, Feb, Mar Milton Soccer League 20 0 Oct - Apr Urban Sports Club (Soccer) 4 0 Oct - Apr 128 5 to 7 6 to 8 0 Oct, Nov, Dec, Feb, Mar, Apr Unsure 0 n/a Milton Lacrosse Association 6 to 9 0 Nov, Dec, Feb, Mar, Apr Milton Girls Softball Association 2 to 10 0 Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr Milton Cricket Ground 20 5 Nov - Apr Halton Minor Football 6 0 Nov. - April Subtotal – Other Sports 40 to 53 5 168 to 181 10 to 12 Organization Milton Youth Soccer Club Subtotal – Soccer Urban Sports Club (Ultimate Frisbee) Milton Sports Club Total Weekly Hours - October to April For the purposes of this exercise, prime time was defined as 5pm to 11pm Monday to Friday and 7am to 11pm Saturday and Sunday; non-prime hours were defined as prior to 5pm Monday to Friday. Number of hours requested through Surveys & Interviews – Off-peak season (May to September) Prime Time Hours per week Non-Prime Time Hours per week Months 5 to 20 5 to 20 May, Sept Milton Soccer Academy 0 0 n/a Milton Soccer League 0 0 Sept Urban Sports Club (Soccer) 4 0 May, Sept Subtotal – Soccer 9 to 24 5 to 20 Urban Sports Club (Ultimate Frisbee) 6 to 8 0 May, Sept Unsure 0 n/a n/a 0 n/a 0 0 n/a Milton Cricket Ground 2 to 5 2 to 5 n/a Subtotal – Other Sports 8 to 13 2 to 5 Weekly Hours May to September 17 to 37 7 to 25 Organization Milton Youth Soccer Club Milton Sports Club Milton Lacrosse Association Milton Girls Softball Association For the purposes of this exercise, prime time was defined as 5pm to 11pm Monday to Friday and 7am to 11pm Saturday and Sunday; non-prime hours were defined as prior to 5pm Monday to Friday. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 18 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Peak season requests total 168 to 181 prime time hours per week, with 128 hours requested by soccer organizations. It is noteworthy and germane to the business plan that soccer groups indicated a willingness to pay market field rental rates. Cricket, Ultimate Frisbee, lacrosse, football and baseball training have requested 40 to 53 prime time hours per week in the peak season although some of these activities may have a more limited season and groups may be less willing to pay market rental rates. Potential off-peak season usage is considerably lower and less predictable as most sports and associated activities shift to outdoor facilities. We have assumed that there would be approximately 65 prime time hours per week (Monday to Friday from 4:00 p.m. to 11:00 p.m. and Saturday to Sunday from 7:00 a.m. to 11 p.m.). In certain communities the 4:00 p.m. time slot is considered a shoulder period because groups may have difficulty utilizing the field due to players’ and coaches’ conflicts with school and work commitments. However, for the purposes of this analysis we have included the 4:00 slot in the prime time calculation but have adjusted the field utilization projections to a lower level. Based on the use profile of other indoor turf facilities, we anticipate non-prime time (daytime) usage to be sporadic and limited. Local indoor soccer groups expressed a need for about 128 prime time hours per week, which at face value would suggest that current demand is equivalent to 1.97 indoor turf fields exclusively for soccer activities in the peak season (128 divided by 65). Requests from other sports (Ultimate Frisbee, cricket, lacrosse, football and baseball) amount to an additional 40 to 53 prime time hours which increases the current demand calculation to 2.6 to 2.8 indoor turf fields in the peak season (168 to 181 divided by 65). The preceding calculations assume that all of the soccer and sport groups’ current utilization would be repatriated to Milton should a new indoor turf facility be developed in the Town. However, stakeholder input indicates that this assumption is too aggressive. For example, certain soccer players that have become accustomed to the playing conditions and the level of competition at facilities in neighboring municipalities (Mississauga and Oakville) would likely remain within their existing teams or programs. Also, groups that have limited financial capacity may be unwilling to move some or all of their programs to the new and more costly turf facility even though the environment and amenity levels would be far superior to the relatively lower cost school gymnasia alternative that currently accommodates their programs. Furthermore, the availability of the most convenient and desirable prime time hours (6:00 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. weekdays and 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. weekends) will influence groups’ relocation decisions. Finally, Halton Minor Football may elect to develop its own turf facility. For the purposes of illustration, if 25% of the soccer and sports groups’ current reported utilization remained at their existing venues, the total current need calculation would decline to between 1.9 and 2.1 indoor turf fields in peak season. It is noteworthy that there may be field demand from other organizations that did not participate in the study. Usage could also come from outside municipal boundaries; however The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 19 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report the number of additional non-resident hours could be small given the growing number of indoor turf facilities in surrounding communities. We applied a second, participant-based analytical technique to test the demand calculations that result from user group requests. Based on our experience, on average, an indoor soccer program requires 1 hour per week of field time for each 10 to 12 program participants. This participant per field hour metric takes into account a number of factors including teams that play and practise numerous times per week, games that last more than an hour, ½ field use by younger participants, etc. While some of these influences would suggest that the metric reflects a higher number of participants per hour (like two teams of recreational players that play one game per week with no practises), a similar number of factors drive the ratio lower (i.e. rep teams that play twice and practise once per week). On previous occasions this 10 to 12 participant metric has been compared to other measures and has proven to be an accurate test of demand. Applying the metric to the Milton Youth Soccer Club’s 950 indoor soccer players, the demand for indoor soccer field time from this group would be between 79 and 95 hours per week (generally between October and April), which is somewhat less than the 100 hours the group requested. This figure, does not account for adult usage, latent demand or growth that may occur as a result of an increase in available peak season facility time. It is noteworthy that the Milton Soccer Academy has not been included in the analysis of soccer demand because it is assumed that Academy registrants will, by in large continue to use the Milton Soccer Centre for their program needs. To identify pent-up (or un-met) demand, it is helpful to consider the number of outdoor players in Milton. Presently, the percentage of Milton Youth Soccer Club participants that play both indoor and outdoor soccer is approximately 30%. This is within the 25% to 40% range that we typically see in other communities with developed soccer programs. As a result, it is likely that the amount of pent-up demand for youth indoor soccer in Milton is low (perhaps 10%). If this percentage was applied to current requirements, it would result in the need for about an additional 8 to 10 hours per week to serve current youth demands. Stakeholder input and the usage profiles of facilities in other jurisdictions would suggest that the greatest amount of pent-up demand in Milton could be related to the adult market. The Milton Soccer Centre offers leagues and skill development programs that target adults and several adult teams rent field time in the facility. However, many other adult participants play on teams or are registered in programs at facilities outside of the Town. There is no accurate data or records that indicate the number of adult indoor players from Milton because most Town based adults play on non-local teams. Based on Ontario Soccer Association data, it can be assumed that approximately 50% of adult outdoor players will also play indoor soccer. For 2011, the OSA reported 464 senior players within the Milton SL Club League and AC Milton team. Applying the 50% ratio translates into The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 20 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report 232 adult indoor players. Employing the 10 to 12 participant per field hour metric produces a need for about 19 to 23 hours per week within an indoor facility. Using the participant-based approach, soccer activities represent a total demand for 99 to 118 hours per week in peak season. Based on an availability of 65 prime time hours per week, this current demand is equivalent to 1.5 to 1.8 indoor turf fields – which is between 8% and 23% less field demand that was calculated utilizing the user group request methodology. It is also noteworthy that the participant-based approach includes adult soccer needs whereas the user group requests were exclusively from youth soccer organizations. Given the results of these two calculations, and in view of our suspicion that not all existing utilization would be transferred to the new facility, we suggest that there is current demand for 1.7 indoor turf fields to accommodate soccer needs arising from within the Town of Milton. As evidenced by the utilization profiles of other indoor turf venues, soccer will be the most significant use in a new turf facility in Milton. Our consultations confirmed that Milton’s other sport groups would use from 40 to 53 prime time hours per week for cricket, lacrosse, football and baseball training – which is equivalent to between 30% and 40% of the requests from the soccer community. Given that many of these activities have a limited season and groups may be unwilling to pay market rates, our experience suggests that this number of required prime time hours may be aggressive. Therefore, unless a non-soccer group is willing to financially commit to a significant amount of field time, the proportion of non-soccer usage is likely to be closer to 15% or 20%. Taking into account all of these factors, we calculate that 2 additional fields are currently required to accommodate all of the existing indoor community demand for indoor turf facilities in Milton. Future Demand Given the Town’s rapid population growth, future demand for recreation facilities of all types will continue to intensify – the number of Milton residents is projected to nearly double by 2021. If sport participation rates remain constant and assuming that the Town’s demographic composition remains relatively consistent with current profiles, it is reasonable to suggest that the demand for indoor turf facilities will be between 3.5 to 4.5 indoor fields by 2021. Considerable population growth is also forecasted to 2031 which will contribute to further demands for all types of recreation facilities including indoor turf facilities. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 21 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Field Turf Environment Over the past decade, a significant number of indoor turf facilities have been developed in Southern Ontario. Most of these facilities are primarily used for soccer games, practices and training. However the versatility of these venues allows them to be used for a wide variety of purposes. In most cases, indoor turf fields are either located in permanent built structures or under airsupported domes. There are no standard criteria that dictates which of these options is most applicable to a particular situation. However, it seems that potential developers consider location, the size of the local market, availability of capital funding and the financial viability of the business model in making their building system selections. Development Models There are several general development and operational models that have been applied to indoor turf facilities. Municipal model – some municipalities have elected to deliver these facilities utilizing a traditional municipal development model – e.g. Mississauga and Brampton. Under this model, the municipality is fully responsible for the facility’s design, development, capital funding and operations. Private model – certain indoor turf facilities have been developed by private enterprise –e.g. AC Milan Centre (Vaughan), Milton Soccer Centre. The private entity develops and operates the facility on a commercial basis. Not-For-Profit partnership model – in some jurisdictions, municipalities have assisted not-forprofit organizations in developing a turf facility to meet local needs – e.g. Oakville, Burlington, Guelph. In several cases the facilities are almost entirely focused on meeting the organization’s needs although some municipalities prescribe that a certain amount of time is reserved for general community use. The application of this model has the municipality funding the capital cost of the facility (that is normally located on public land) and the not-for-profit organization is responsible for operations. Generally, the groups repay the municipality the principle (sometimes plus interest) over the course of a predetermined term. Operating Profiles Operators of indoor turf facilities generally conform to one of two operating profiles. Program delivery profile – the facility operator organizes leagues, camps, instructional programs and other activities that are accessed by individuals or groups on a registration basis. Generally the fields are occupied by participants engaging in programming organized by the facility with The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 22 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report very few hours rented to outside groups. This profile is popular at facilities operated by notfor-profit groups (normally soccer clubs) that run leagues and camps largely to meet the needs of their members. There are financial benefits associated with this operating approach because programming creates opportunities to boost net income by incrementally increasing hourly revenue production. For this reason most commercial operators and some municipalities have adopted this entrepreneurial operating approach with a view to maximizing the “net financial yield” from the facility. Facility rental profile – the facility operator allocates and rents time to user groups on a seasonal basis. This approach mirrors the most common municipal facility operating model through which user groups are assigned blocks of time that are used for their own purposes. The amount of time allotted to each group is determined utilizing some form of allocation system that usually includes a historical tracking of use. This approach leaves all programming responsibilities to the user groups. It is noteworthy that groups frequently rely on the net revenue generated by programming to support other aspects of the organization’s activities. Therefore groups are sometimes hesitant to use or become involved in joint-ventured facilities when the programming responsibilities (and related revenue potential) rests with the facility operator. Rates and Fees Our environmental scan examined the rates and fees charged by 15 indoor turf facilities. The sample included 10 permanent facilities and five bubbled venues. Interestingly, the average rental rates charged to youth groups for an hour of field time (100’ X 180’ field) is virtually the same for either type of facility – averaging $182.50 per hour in the permanent facilities and $189 per hour under domes. We also examined the median price – which is the price in the middle of the range of prices with ½ the prices above and ½ prices below – because the median is less likely to be affected by a small number of unusually low or high values that may skew the average. In this case the median price of an hour of youth prime time in our sample of permanent structures is $175 per hour whereas the median price at domed structures is $200 per hour. Facilities that have adopted the program profile charge varying registration fees for entry into leagues and other programs. Again, prices are very similar regardless of the type of facility within which the program occurs. For example, teams registering in adult soccer leagues can expect registration fees between $125 and $150 per game – leagues generally include 12 to 15 games per session. Facilities that register youth teams charge between $100 and $125 per team per game with most leagues spanning 15 to 20 games – playing one game per week. A sub-set of facilities register children/youth on an individual basis and then assign child or youth to a team and league of his or her corresponding age and skill level. In these cases players are charged between $150 and $175 for between 15 and 20 league games. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 23 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Comparable Facility Summary The following table presents a brief description of the 15 facilities included in our environmental scan including their operating model and rate structure. This information was received directly from each of the facilities either through personal interviews or data collected from their websites. For clarity, the field descriptions are either expressed with the specific dimensions or referred to as a full field (approximately 360’ X 220’), half field (approximately 200’ X 180’) or a quarter field (100’ X 180’). Results of Environmental Scan of Comparable Facilities Name Facility Description Operating Model Milton Soccer Located in an industrial Privately owned Centre building facility that offers Milton 80’ X 130’ artificial turf leagues, field instructional Dressing rooms programs, group Meeting room rentals, corporate meetings & birthday parties Hershey Sports Complex Indoor Turf Field Mississauga Full artificial turf field Dressing rooms Fitness Centre Concession Hershey Turf Bubble Mississauga Pine Glen Oakville Full artificial turf field under new dome (bubble) External small dressing rooms Full artificial turf field Dressing rooms Burloak Sports Centre Burlington 2 - 150’ X 60’ feet artificial turf fields Change rooms The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants Rates $165 – 230 per hour Operated by the City. The indoor facility is almost entirely utilized for leagues – very few rentals Operated by the City offering a mix of leagues and rentals Adult Leagues $2,030 / team Youth Leagues - $450 - $3,800 / team Operated by the Oakville Soccer Club - largely independent from the municipality Youth leagues - $150 - $170 per player Adult leagues $2,300 / team for 15 weeks Rent for ¼ field $210 - $225 / h r Privately owned and operated Leagues and team rentals, parties Youth and Leagues $1,825/12 week $160/hr per field $130 - $190 per hour Comments The Milton Soccer Centre is owned and operated by a private company. The Academy is the anchor tenant. Other individuals and groups rent blocks of time. Youth leagues play on ¼, ½ and full fields which influences the price Rates are lower than indoor facility so groups can afford to buy practice time Largely serves the Soccer Club needs –about 5% outside rentals Net $ to service the municipal debenture th Going into 5 Season 3 years old ~ 24 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Name Sherwood Park Bubble Burlington Facility Description Two 100’ x 200’ artificial turf fields under bubbles The two facilities were developed on a phased basis. Operating Model City debentured the bubble and Soccer Club is operating the facility – paying the debenture cost over 10 years Rates Club rental - $180$190 General rental - $200 Comments 85% of time is used by Burlington SC 2 bubbles now and one new one in future Brampton Soccer Centre Brampton 4 – 200’ X 85’ artificial turf fields Change rooms, meeting rooms, concession Municipally operated 4 Brampton Soccer Clubs are main renters Prime Club - $150 Prime Affil. - $177 Other - $221 Non-City - $277 Private parties Use on field for courts sports – B Ball, V Ball, floor hockey etc. in summer months Dufferin Rural Heritage Community Centre Halton Hills Agricultural building 161’ x 101’ artificial turf field $170 per hour BMO Centre London Full artificial turf field (390 x 195 feet) Dressing rooms Concession Meeting / Banquet rooms 400m suspended exercise track 1/3 of full artificial turf field under bubble Dressing rooms Adult, coed, men, ladies youth Run by Georgetown SC Owned and operated by the Acton Agricultural Society Long term operating agreement with the Town of Halton Hills Owned and operated by the London Optimists. No leagues, just rentals. Concession contracted out Guelph Indoor Soccer Facility Ontario Soccer Centre Vaughan Full artificial turf field in mixed use building – 130,000 sq. ft. Dressing rooms Concession 1/3 artificial turf field under a bubble in winter The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants City debentured the bubble and Soccer Club is operating the facility – paying the debenture cost over 10 years Operated by the Ontario Soccer Association Partnership with City of Vaughan $150 per hour for ¼ field ($75 per hour during non-prime hours) Opened in 2011 Indoor PT Full Field $570 per hr - $190/ ¼ field Bubble - $190 / hr NPT at half price ~ 25 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Name Hanger at Downsview Toronto Facility Description 4 – 105’ X 165’ artificial turf fields New bubble covering on outdoor field during winter months Dressing rooms Concession Operating Model Crown company – profits are returned to Fed. Govt. Soccer, football, Ultimate Frisbee, leagues, 2,000 registered players Durham Soccer Centre Oshawa Full indoor and full outdoor artificial turf fields, change rooms, concession, room rentals 200’ X 360’ artificial turf field dividable into 4 - 90 X 200 ft fields– 52 ft. ceiling Synthetic turf, change rooms, showers, juice bar 210’ X 120’ artificial turf field dividable into 2 fields (but do not offer ½ field rentals) 210m 4-lane IAAF certified polyurethane track Dressing rooms Meeting and multipurpose room Canlan owns and operates the facility Players Paradise Indoor Facility Stoney Creek Royal Distributing Athletic Performance Centre Guelph/Eramosa (Marden) The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants Rates Bubble – 1/3 field $200/hr Full field - $555/hr Same rates for indoor facility Youth league $2,250/team (20 games) Adult league $1,500/team (12 games) Indoor Peak rental - $225/hr Off peak - $160/hr Daytime - $130/hr Privately owned and operated Soccer, Ultimate Frisbee, golf, leagues, rentals $195 / hr ¼ field Operated by Township. Mostly rentals, but some daytime programming Headquarters of the Ontario Football Alliance Prime time Full Field $180.00/hr; Non-Prime time full field $110.00/hr; May/September $110.00/hr; June -August $80.00/hr Comments Beach volley ball and National Squash Academy on the same site Opened in 2010 ~ 26 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Partnership Assessment One of this study’s objectives is to undertake an analysis of various facility provision approaches with a view to determining if a partnership or joint venture model would be a viable alternative for the development of an indoor turf facility in Milton. This is an important decision as the Town establishes plans for its long term capital investments in sport, recreation and cultural facilities. As in most communities across Canada, the Town will be challenged to meet the funding requirements of developing new facilities while maintaining its existing stock in good repair. In certain cases in other jurisdictions, the application of an alternative facility provision strategy has assisted in easing some of these funding pressures. Most municipalities view relationships with external groups as one of several development methods for capital projects. And, as the number of partnership examples grows, it is becoming increasingly clear that partnerships involve nuances not normally found in traditional facility provision models. Consequently, many municipalities ensure that ALL potential partnerships undergo rigorous scrutiny through the application of a screening mechanism before the project proceeds. Municipalities that have adopted an evaluation framework to assess and secure suitable partners have found that the process: (1) informs municipal officials of the merits and drawbacks of each partnership candidate and project; and (2) clarifies the expectations and obligations of organizations looking to partner with the municipality. Benefits of Partnerships Several common elements are inherent with successful municipal partnerships. The venture will be mutually beneficial to each partner. There are clearly defined roles and responsibilities. There is a performance evaluation methodology. There is a shared commitment to serve the needs of those affected by the venture. There is a commitment to improve. There is fair and honest recognition of each partner's contribution. Any future relationships with outside groups are only practical if reasonable benefits accrue to Milton and that the relationship supports municipal priorities. To this end, it is the Town’s responsibility to thoroughly analyze each potential relationship on its own merits. Generally, this analysis would involve an assessment of the relationship’s ability to provide one or more of the following beneficial outcomes. provide access to new sources of capital; create public infrastructure at less capital cost than a municipal delivery model; create public buy-in to the project by engaging the community; gain access to systems and techniques that are beyond municipal capabilities; gain access to experience or expertise that is outside the normal municipal approach; The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 27 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report achieve improved operating/financial performance beyond municipal capabilities; and transfer certain operational risks or financial liabilities. It would be important that the Town develop a relationship with a compatible and willing partner that shares the municipality’s long-term vision for the project. Not only should the partner bring the necessary skills and resources to fulfill its project obligations, but also demonstrate a public service attitude. Recognizing that all partnerships should be developed in response to specific circumstances of a particular project, potential partners should understand the Town’s intent to develop an open and honest relationship where each partner’s contribution is important to the success of the project. Furthermore, the partner must be dedicated to the pursuit of the mutually accepted objectives and endorse a philosophy of constant improvement. Finally, there must be shared commitment to provide a quality sport environment that is consistent with the expectations of Milton residents. A General Evaluation of Apparent Partnership Alternatives Throughout the course of this study, three types of relationships have emerged as potential facility delivery and operating alternatives. These include: A Private Partnership (P3) – a relationship between the Town and a private partner; A Public/Public Partnership (P2) – a relationship between the Town and public sector agency, in this case a school board; A N-F-P Partnership – the relationship between the Town and a not-for-profit organization, in this case a local soccer club. Normally, municipalities solicit proposals from potential partner candidates and evaluate the relative merits and drawbacks of each proposition against each other as well as how the alternative models compare to a traditional municipal delivery approach. Through the course of this study, we have engaged in general discussions with individuals and organizations that may be interested in partnering on the Town’s field turf project. It should be understood however that we have not solicited or received the level of detail that would normally be the basis of a thorough comparative analysis. Therefore, the following information is presented as a general evaluation of the pros and cons of the above partnership alternatives based on our preliminary discussions and our experience in other communities. The following table presents a discussion of each alternative’s likely capabilities of delivering on the potential benefits which effectively act as basic evaluation criterion. An arrow pointing upward indicates a positive benefit, a sideways arrow indicates a neutral contribution and arrow pointing downward indicates distinct drawbacks related to the criterion. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 28 ~ General Partnership Assessment Benefit Sources of new capital Project is less costly More public and user group buy-in P3 Partnership Depending on the nature of the project, private partners may be interested in investing capital. However, private enterprise expects returns on investment that normally exceed the cost of funds available to the finance municipal projects (debentures). Therefore, private capital contributions often increase financing cost to the project. There is no evidence that this type of relationship would result in a project that was less costly than if the municipality was to develop the facility on its own. There is hesitation among user groups to participate in a project involving private enterprise. Groups believe that a private operator would have diminished accountability compared to a traditional municipal operation and that the operator’s profit motive would result in to higher rental rates. Furthermore, a private operator would almost certainly organize leagues that would conflict with the programming practices of the Milton soccer clubs. P2 Partnership N-F-P Partnership If the facility became a joint venture with a school board on a site that was planned to receive a new school facility and associated amenities, the project would benefit from capital the school board had already earmarked for the development. There are recent examples where notfor-profit partners have contributed capital to municipal projects (e.g. Pine Glen, Oakville). However, the Milton soccer organizations indicated that they do not have significant funding reserves that could be applied to the project. They may however be willing to participate in fund raising activities. Board representative indicated that the planned new school development includes the installation of an artificial turf field which would represent a cost avoidance to the project in the order of $1.5M. The project would also benefit from project amenities planned for the new development (i.e. parking and a potential field house). It is likely that residents would welcome a relationship that maximizes the community benefits arising from the expenditure of public funds. There is no evidence that this type of relationship would result in a project that was less costly than if the municipality was to develop the facility on its own. This type of relationship is generally well received in communities where municipalities have partnered with not-for-profit groups. However, it would be important that Milton not inadvertently establish a precedent that causes other local groups to inappropriately expect a similar relationship with the Town. Benefit New systems and techniques Access to new expertise Improved operating and financial performance Potential risk transfer P3 Partnership P2 Partnership N-F-P Partnership Experienced private operators may have access to booking and reservation systems or other technological supports that are currently not within the municipality’s inventory of supports. Experienced private sector operators will have developed transferrable expertise in other locations that could be beneficial to the project. This relationship would likely result in the municipality operating the facility and consequently there would be neutral benefits associated with this criterion. The local soccer groups do not have experience in operating a facility of this sort. Therefore, there would be neutral benefits. This relationship would likely result in the municipality operating the facility and consequently there would be neutral benefits associated with this criterion. It is impossible to predict the financial performance of the privately operated facility without thoroughly examining the operator’s proposed business plan. However, in other examples, private operators have produced financial gains (tested against municipal comparators) due to their ability to generate revenues rather than successes in cost containment. This could suggest groups would pay more in rental fees or lose out on programming net revenues. Risk sharing and risk abatement is always a major theme in negotiations between public and private sector partners. Risk sharing is possible however, at some cost to the project (i.e. loss of rates and fee control). Assuming that an amicable joint venture agreement could be negotiated with the school board, it is reasonable to expect that an operating cost sharing formula is achievable. This would reduce the Town’s cost exposure. It is unclear at this point in the process as to whether the school would be willing to pay rent for its daytime facility use. The local soccer groups do not have experience in operating indoor turf facilities. There would be a certain degree of risk in assigning operating responsibilities to an inexperience partner. It is unlikely that an inexperienced partner would be capable of producing financial results that would exceed the performance of a municipally operated facility. In fact, it is quite likely that the reverse would be the case until the operator developed an understanding for the field turf business. The terms and conditions of the joint venture agreement would include risk sharing provisions. It is very unlikely that the club - made up of volunteers - would agree to be exposed to operating or financial risks. And, even if it were to do so, the risk consequences would be absorbed by the municipality if the club was unable to handle its obligations. Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Potential Proponents A number of potential partnership options arose throughout the course of the study’s research phase. We engaged in preliminary exploratory discussions with each proponent to assess their suitability for the project, compatibility with municipal philosophies and capacity to deliver on project responsibilities. Our research involved interviews with a representative of Milton Youth Soccer Club, Milton Soccer Academy, Milltown FC, Halton Minor Football, three private sector candidates and the Halton Catholic District School Board (HCDSB). The information provided by each proponent was incorporated in the general evaluation in the preceding table that illustrates the relative pros and cons of each partnership option for this project, at this time. Preferred Development Approach To be clear, our general analysis cannot be characterized as an exhaustive or detailed examination of all potential partnership opportunities nor can it be suggested that the results would be the same if a similar examination was performed for another project or facility type or at a different point in time. However, given local circumstances, the demand profile for a Milton based indoor turf facility as well as the characteristics and opinions of potential facility users, we believe that there is reasonable rationale for the Town to explore a facility development agreement with the Halton Catholic District School Board. The Board’s new school project at Louis St. Laurent and Bronte Road currently includes plans for an all-weather turf surface (outdoor) football/soccer field which would be suitable for indoor use if it were covered by an air supported dome structure. A potential field house may also be included in the development depending on the availability of the necessary capital funds. Applying a P2 approach to develop a joint ventured indoor turf facility would result in several operating advantages and financial benefits for the project. the project would realize capital cost savings by taking advantage of the all-weather turf field that may already be included in the school’s development budget; the municipality and the HCDSB could jointly achieve capital savings by sharing the costs of elements that would be used by each partners’ constituents – i.e. the potential field house; the turf facility could take advantage of site works and amenities that would be undertaken as part of the school project - such as parking, services to the field, etc; the proximity of the school and the indoor turf facility could result in daytime use of the bubbled fields that may not otherwise occur; The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 31 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report the municipality and the HDCSB could agree on a mutually satisfactory cost recovery formula for possible school use of the bubbled facility (subject to further discussion and agreement between the Board and the Town); and the municipality and the HCDSB could share in the capital repair and replacement costs of certain facility elements (subject to further discussion and agreement between the Board and the Town). Board representatives indicated a willingness to assist the Town in achieving its goal of providing an indoor turf facility to meet local community group requirements. If a P2 development approach were pursued, the Board and the Town would engage in more detailed discussion about acceptable operating arrangements for the indoor facility. While it is assumed that the Town would be responsible for the indoor operations, municipal officials and the Board would entertain and evaluate alternative operating models, should they arise. For the purposes of estimating the operating revenue and cost implications of the new facility, the business plan has been based on the assumption that the municipality would manage and operate the indoor facility. Conclusion It is recommended that the Town of Milton pursue a relationship with the Halton Catholic District School Board for the development of a new indoor turf facility at the Board’s new school development. In doing so, it is suggested that the Town and the Board continue discussions with a view to reaching a mutually agreeable relationship that considers: design specifications that are agreeable to both partners; operating specifications that ensure that each partner’s constituents’ needs are met; a capital cost sharing formula for aspects of the new facility’s development; an agreement on the operating approach that considers differences in users’ needs and the operational and scheduling nuances of indoor and outdoor field environments; a facility repair, maintenance, replacement strategy and cost sharing formula; an agreeable recovery formula that considers the costs and revenue implications of the addition of the indoor seasonal facility to the school development ; and a monitoring and communications strategy to ensure the relationship meets both partners’ expectations for the life of the agreement. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 32 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Capital Cost Implications Preferred Facility Type As demonstrated by the results of the environmental scan, municipalities generally choose from one of two facility options for the provision of indoor turf facilities; (1) permanent structures; or (2) air supported domes (or bubbles) over artificial football or soccer fields. The two alternative facility types offer different playing environments and customer experiences because of the facility features and elements that are inherent in each building system. Normally, municipal officials consider the operating and financial nuances of each option while determining the most appropriate facility type to suit the needs and characteristics of a particular project. Type of Facility Considerations Consideration Permanent Structure Capital Cost Operating Cost Seasonal Implications Life Cycle A permanent building is the more expensive option to construct with capital costs dependent on facility size, design specifications and construction quality Staff and utility costs represent the most significant operating expenses over a permanent building’s 12 month operating season Popular winter venues although difficult to program and challenging to rent time in the summer months Similar to other types of community recreation buildings, the life of an indoor turf facility would likely by 25 to 35 years Consumer Opinions Patrons generally enjoy the environment and the program flexibility of permanent turf buildings Operating Considerations Requires aggressive programming to keep occupied during the non peak summer season Air Supported Dome A bubble is the least expensive alternative with capital costs dependent on facility size, single or dual liner, type of lighting and equipment selection Utility costs are relatively more expensive per hour of facility use however, facility operating costs apply to a shorter indoor season – 5-7 months Offers flexibility as the turf field can be covered in the winter and be converted to an outdoor venue in the summer The bubble fabric has a life expectancy of 15 to 20 years – depending on UV protection and the operator’s inflation and take down procedures Consumers like the ability to play outdoors in the summertime Some suggest that the air quality and temperature in the bubble is superior to a traditional indoor environment Cannot be used as a “general gathering place” due to exiting and other code issues thereby limiting certain program alternatives Project circumstances such as the amount of unmet program and service demand, urgency of need, timing of development, availability of funding and presence of a viable partner generally The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 33 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report influence a municipality’s decision of facility type and method of project delivery. These factors were important considerations in our recommendation that the Town work towards a P2 approach with the HCDSB for the development of the indoor turf facility. The school requires an open air, outdoor field to accommodate academic, intramural and intercollegiate programs from approximately April to October each year. Therefore, the involvement of the school in the project will predicate that the facility be a seasonal, air supported structure. In accordance with the recommended development approach, the capital cost and business plan presented in the following sections are based on an air supported indoor turf facility over an all-weather turf surfaced soccer/football field. Facility Size and Assumptions Our demand analysis calculates that there is current need for about two indoor 100’ X 180’ turf fields to meet the needs of soccer and other sport groups within Milton. The calculation also projects that population growth will increase indoor turf needs to a total of between 3.5 and 4.5 fields by 2021. To facilitate prudent decision making, we have assembled the capital cost implications for both a two-field and a four field bubble. The assumptions that underpin the capital cost estimates are presented below. Two-field bubble assumptions – the footprint of the two field bubble has been set at 225 feet by 210 feet with a ceiling height of 62 feet. This size was selected so that the grade beam (that attaches the bubble to the ground) would be as unobtrusive as possible when field is used in its summer (outdoor) configuration. The grade beam would be located at the centre field line as well as the back line of the end zone and outside to each sideline. A two-field bubble would cover 50% of the school’s soccer/football field. It is assumed that during the construction phase, a second grade beam would be installed around the other half of the field to facilitate the installation of a second bubble when demand arises in sufficient quantity to support two additional fields. The bubble will be a dual membrane structure which will not only help to contain utility costs but also allow for the downsizing of the furnace, inflation/heating system and standby unit – which will reduce the facility’s capital cost. Four-field bubble assumptions – the footprint of the four field bubble has been established at 364 feet by 238 feet with a ceiling height of 74 feet. This size bubble enables the entire grade beam to be located outside of the football/soccer playing surface and therefore would have no negative impact on outdoor use. The larger bubble would also be a dual membrane structure for the reasons outlined above. Field house assumptions – a potential field house that may be located outside the track and adjacent to the soccer/football field would provide support services for the benefit of facility patrons and staff. HCDSB’s initial design for the field house is for a two story, 3,756 sq. ft. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 34 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report structure that includes two change rooms with washrooms, two officials’ rooms with washrooms, mechanical, maintenance and janitorial rooms, storage area and a second floor announcer’s booth. With the introduction of the winter operation, the field house would be used as the control/entry point to the indoor turf facility when the dome structure is covering the field. Additionally, the field house would be the primary amenity to serve community user groups and other turf field users during winter months. Therefore, it may be necessary to adjust the field house design to augment the operational versatility and performance of the facility. For example, the addition of a reception area for control purposes may be appropriate. Additionally, the change rooms could be expanded to provide more floor area to accommodate the space requirements of a higher volume of facility users (both youth and adult participants) than was contemplated in the Board’s initial design. The change rooms may also benefit from the addition of small shower areas to improve the amenity package available to field users. Finally, given that facility patrons will be required to walk between the field house and the dome structure (over the track) it would be advisable to provide a portable and temporary covered link that would offer weather protection. Other assumptions – the following assumptions have been established for the purposes of estimating the Town’s capital costs associated with the project. Some of these items will be a matter of negotiations between Milton and the HCDSB and will therefore only be fully understood after the facility development agreement has been finalized. the Town will be responsible for the cost of bubble and associated site works related to the dome structure including the installation of the grade beam(s); HCDSB will be responsible for the cost of bringing services to the indoor turf facility, the cost of installing the football/soccer field including the playing surface as well as all site works including parking; HCDSB will be responsible for the cost of the field house that was contemplated in the original design concept; and the Town will be responsible for incremental increases in the cost of the field house that will result from the addition of the bubble and the winter operation of the facility. Capital Cost Estimates To prepare the capital cost estimates for the two bubble options, we solicited input from a reputable, Ontario based supplier of air support structures. With over 30 years of experience in manufacturing and installing air support structures for clients in a worldwide market, we are confident that our source has provided capital cost projections that are realistic and reliable. The capital cost estimates are based on: The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 35 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report The manufacturer’s quoted cost of a dual membrane bubble including high textile strength polyester fabric with acrylic top coat finish, thermal acoustical liner membrane, furnace/inflation system including a built in standby unit, remote control station, a revolving door, emergency doors, lighting systems and pools, anchoring channel, seams and sections. Programming and maintenance equipment – such as soccer goals, field divider nets, an artificial turf dresser, etc. are not included in the capital cost estimate, however would represent a relatively minor expense within the overall project budget. Grade beam installation estimated at $400 per lineal foot. Physical upgrades may be required to the field house to increase its footprint and/or to augment the amenities and quality of finish within the building. An amount of $250,000 has been allocated to the capital budget to fund these improvements. Based on the early cost estimates for the initial field house, the allocated amount would be sufficient to expand the footprint by about 20% (750 sq. ft.) leaving adequate funds to upgrade the interior amenity and finish package of the public spaces to the equivalent of $60/sq. ft. It is noteworthy however, that these estimates are very tentative and intended for illustration purposes only. The final budget would be determined through a detailed design and costing study that will be required as part of the development negotiations and agreement between the Town and the HCDSB. A project contingency of 20% of estimated capital costs. The following table presents the estimated capital costs that would be borne by the Town for the two-field and four-field air support structures. Indoor Turf Facility Capital Cost Estimates Item Two-field Option Bubble Foot Print in Sq. Ft. Grade Beam in Lineal Ft. Grade Beam Installation Bubble & Equipment Cost Town's Portion of Field House Sub-total Contingency Total $ $ $ $ $ $ 47,250 1,740* 696,000 669,108 250,000 1,615,108 323,022 1,938,130 Four-field Option $ $ $ $ $ $ 86,632 1,204 481,600 1,128,005 250,000 1,859,605 371,921 2,231,526 *Note – includes capital cost to install a grade bean to accept a future second bubble. The dome manufacturer was also supplied costing information for a variety of optional features that may be advisable additions to either of the bubble options. Should the project proceed, the Town could decide to include certain options that would assist in operations or extend the life of the bubble. However, we have not included these features in the capital estimates in order to provide an “apples to apples” comparison of the cost implications of each alternative. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 36 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Business Plan Introduction This section presents the indoor turf facility’s business plan. The plan’s financial projections have been established in accordance with the proposed project goal and objectives, staffing approach, pricing strategy and utilization pattern that are described in the following sections. While Milton could accept and evaluate alternative operating proposals, we have created the business plan based on a municipal management model. Should the Town decide to explore other operating alternatives, the information contained herein could act as a “municipal comparator” against which private or not-for-profile proponents’ proposals could be evaluated. The business plan assumes that the Town will manage and operate the bubble during the winter season and be responsible for all revenue and costs associated with the indoor operation. When the facility reverts to its summer configuration, the normal scheduling and maintenance procedures that apply to other HCDSB owned outdoor fields will govern the operating relationship between the Town and the Board. Project Goal and Objectives The Town’s goal for the project is to develop and operate an attractive and cost efficient indoor turf facility that serves the needs and interests of a wide variety of Milton’s sport and recreation users. The business plan for the facility has been developed in accordance with the following project objectives. To provide a facility that is developed and operated in a fashion consistent with the Town of Milton’s mission, vision and mandate. To provide the Town’s user groups and residents general access to sufficient indoor turf time to meet both current and future needs. To enhance the recreation and leisure opportunities available to Town residents. To ensure affordable access to the facility, consistent with Milton’s public service philosophy and cost recovery principles and policies. To minimize the capital cost of the facility without jeopardizing the scope or quality of the facility. To maximize the facility’s economic benefits to the municipality. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 37 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Operating Profile The Town will operate the bubble utilizing the facility rental profile described on page 23 of this report. The Department will allocate and rent blocks of time to each user group. It is assumed that the allocation process will be undertaken by existing Town staff and conform to procedures applied to other types of municipal facilities – arenas, fields, diamonds, etc. Groups will be free to organize their own leagues and deliver programs targeting the needs of their constituents. Net revenue generated by these activities will be retained by the groups. Length of Indoor Season and Hours of Operation The soccer/football field will be utilized for school activities including inter-collegiate league play with playoff games schedule up to the end of October each season. Generally speaking, outdoor programs and leagues start around the middle of April each year. Therefore, we have assumed that the indoor season will be 24 weeks in length - November 1 to April 15. The facility will be available for rental between 7:00 am and 11:00 pm Monday through Sunday. The prime and non-prime time definitions that were described in the demand calculations will influence the rental profile as well as the staffing plan and pricing strategy. These definitions are: Weekday Prime Time Hours - 4:00 pm to 11:00 pm Weekday Non-prime time Hours - 7:00 am to 4:00 pm Weekend Prime Time Hours - 7:00 am to 11:00 pm Governance and Staffing Plan Based on the assumption that the Town will operate the indoor facility during the winter months and that the customary summer field scheduling and maintenance practices will be applied to outdoor operations, there is no need to establish a new layer of governance for the indoor turf facility. Existing Community Services Department personnel will assume the roles and responsibilities necessary to allocate and schedule time to each group or individual user and the normal facility rental procedures will be applied. As it is difficult to accurately estimate the amount of additional staff time the will be required to administer the field scheduling etc. for the new facility, we have not included any Departmental administration expense in the business plan’s operating cost projections. However, to remain consistent with the Milton’s prevailing approach of allocating administration expenses, applicable overhead cost should be included in the facility’s budget so that an appropriate cost burden can be considered when the user fees (field rental rates) are determined in accordance with the Town’s cost recovery principles and policies. A customer service/reception area in the field house will be supervised during all prime time hours of the indoor season to ensure that facility traffic is controlled and that users have access The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 38 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report to consistent levels of customer service. It is assumed that the supervision will be undertaken by part time, casual staff who will be engaged on a seasonal basis similar to the manner in which seasonal arena operators are employed. The staffing plan also assumes that personnel will supervise the facility during rented non-prime hours. Rates and Fees Strategy A number of factors and influences have been taken into account in determining the proposed rates and fees strategy for the indoor turf facility. The environmental scan revealed that the average and median youth rates to rent one hour of time on a 100’ X 180’ field ranges from $182.50 to $200. However, as part of the consultation process Milton user groups suggested that a youth rate of between $100.00 and $149.00 would be most acceptable. The Town’s customary pricing practices provide a subsidy for youth fees compared to adult fees for the same programs and services. The objectives for the project specify the Town’s intention to ensure affordable access to the facility while maximizing the project’s economic benefit to the municipality. In view of these considerations we have established sample rental rates to illustrate the revenue implications of the business plan’s assumptions. Should the project proceed, the Town’s actual pricing should consider prevailing market rates at similar facilities elsewhere as well as Milton’s cost recovery principles and policies. Therefore, the illustrative rates are presented for demonstration purposes only and should not be considered as a recommended or a final price strategy. Illustrative Adult and Youth Field Rental Rates Time Period One Prime Time Hour Rental Rate One Non-Prime Time Hour Rental Rate Adult Groups and Individuals Youth Groups and Individuals $190.000 $114.00 $142.50 $85.50 Revenue Assumptions In combination with preceding information, the following assumptions were employed in determining the revenue projections for the indoor facility. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 39 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Two-field bubble There will be 65 hours of prime time available on each field, each week of the 24 week season. Based upon the demand analysis, it is likely that the vast majority of prime time hours will be rented. However, operators of other indoor turf facilities suggest that the 4:00 pm weekday time slot and after 7:00 pm on weekend days are sometimes difficult to rent. Based on these factors, we have assumed that 90% of prime time hours will be rented. Furthermore, we anticipate that this rental level will be achieved shortly after the facility is developed. Therefore, we anticipate that, on average, nine of ten available prime time hours will be rented beginning the first year of the facility’s operations. Non-prime time use of indoor turf facilities is generally sporadic and limited. For this reason, we have projected that 5% of the 40 non-prime time hours on each field will be rented each week. This rental rate could increase if the school includes the indoor facility as part of its academic or intramural programs. However, we have not included this possibility as part of our revenue projections because the associated financial implications would be resolved through discussions between the Town and the Board. To provide a conservative revenue projection, we have assumed that all rentals in the two-field bubble would be at the youth rate – meaning that revenues would improve by about 25% for each hour rented to adults if field time was available for non-youth users. The proposed operating profile does not contemplate that the Town will undertake any programming activities at the facility. Furthermore, the field house will not be outfitted to offer retail or food and beverage services - that are sometimes available in other indoor turf venues. Therefore, field rent is the only revenue source anticipated for the facility. Based on the preceding information, the two-field bubble will produce gross revenue of approximately $408,000 in its first year of operation. It is assumed that field utilization will remain relatively constant for the first five years of operation and that revenues will climb as a result of rental fee increases – that are projected at approximately 2% per year. Four-field bubble While Milton based user groups suggest that there is a certain amount of latent demand for indoor turf time, it is impossible to define the degree to which local turf field needs are unmet. Adding to this uncertainty, there is no accurate data about the number of Milton residents that are currently using turf facilities in other jurisdictions. Additionally, we can only speculate about the number of users that would migrate to a Milton turf venue from the facilities they currently patronize. Given that population increases will raise demand beyond the capacity of a two field facility, it is important that Town officials have a context from which to assess the financial implications The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 40 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report and risks associated with developing a facility to meet both immediate and long term indoor turf field needs. To establish this context, we have developed the revenue implications of the four-field bubble based upon the preceding assumptions with the following caveats. two of the four fields will produce the same revenues levels as projected for the smaller bubble; a range of prime time rentals for the third and fourth field has been established – beginning at 10% of available time and rising in 10% increments to 100% capacity. given the availability of the more prime time hours, we have assumed that adults will have greater access to the fields than would be the case in the smaller facility. The proportion of adult use begins at 90% at the lowest level of the rental range and decreases by increments of 10% in accordance with each 10% rise in facility rentals by youth. The proportion of adult and youth utilization normalizes at 50% for the third and fourth fields after the entire facility reaches 75% of its capacity. The following table presents the field utilization and revenue implications of these variables. Revenue Implications of Fields Three and Four of the Large Bubble PT Hours Rented on 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Fields 3 - 4 Adult Use 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% Youth Use 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% Adult Hrs 281 499 655 749 780 936 1,092 1,248 1,404 1,560 Youth Hrs 31 125 281 499 780 936 1,092 1,248 1,404 1,560 Incremental Revenue $57,798 $112,632 $164,502 $213,408 $259,350 $311,220 $363,090 $414,960 $466,830 $518,700 Total Field Revenue $466,146 $520,980 $572,850 $621,756 $667,698 $719,568 $771,438 $823,308 $875,178 $927,048 Note: the preceding incremental revenue and total field revenue projections reflect the proposed youth and adult field rental rates without the influence of any annual price increases. Cost Assumptions The following assumptions have been utilized in projecting the operating costs of the indoor turf facility. Where applicable, the cost differences between the two-field and four-field structures are identified. It is assumed that the Town would implement a relatively low-cost operating profile for the new indoor turf facility. In keeping with this approach, the staff deployment The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 41 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report strategy contemplates on-site supervision of the field house during the facility’s prime time hours as well as rented hours during non-prime time periods. Given that there is no difference in the number of prime time hours in either sized bubble, the labour costs are expected to be the same for both alternatives. The projected labour cost is based on staff coverage for 3,216 hours over the 24 week season at a seasonal casual wage rate of $20.88 per hour (including benefits). The supervision time allocation allows for two staff to be on-site during prime time and non-prime time rented hours and therefore light cleaning duties and equipment surveillance can be accommodated within the labour budget. The utility expense projection for each bubble option is based on the anticipated level of consumption of natural gas and hydro-electric energy multiplied by the price per unit of each commodity – i.e. by kilowatt hour of electricity and cubic metre of gas. Utility consumption can be influenced by a number of uncontrollable factors including size and location of the structure, outside temperature, barometric pressure and weather conditions (wind). Additionally operating procedures such as preferred in-use temperature, facility traffic, non-use temperature, air pressure settings, security practices, etc. can have a positive or detrimental effect on energy consumption. In combination, these factors cause each dome structure to have unique characteristics and distinctive qualities that will impact utility costs of operations. Furthermore uncontrollable influences that have energy consumption consequences – such as a very cold and windy winter – can cause significant fluctuations between operating years of the same bubble. In an effort to present a conservative utility cost estimate, we have increased the manufacturer’s consumption projections by a factor of 100% and applied the local energy prices for both gas and hydro electricity. Annual bubble installation and take down expense, which includes a contingency for storage, is based upon estimates provided by the manufacturer and are consistent with similar examples of bubble operators’ contracts for installation, take down and storage services. The estimated cleaning/janitorial expense takes into account cleaning strategies and related costs at comparable bubble examples. It is assumed that the on-site Town supervisory staff will undertake light cleaning duties as part of their daily operating routine. The business plan’s estimated cleaning expense would support about 2 hours per day of supplementary janitorial services in the two-field bubble and 4 hours per day in the large facility – based on compensation and benefit rates similar to the Town’s wage scale. Other general operating costs include telephone/internet/communications, general and equipment maintenance, turf maintenance and miscellaneous expenses. The estimate for each expense item is based on comparable bubble operations and has been adjusted in accordance with the size of the two-field and four-field options. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 42 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report The financial forecasts include a capital reserve contribution that will be applied to the replacement of the field turf. The reserve contribution is based on a replacement cost of $750,000 and assumes that new turf will be required after eight years of service. The contribution calculation also assumes that the HCDSB will be responsible for half of the replacement cost. The financial forecasts include a capital reserve contribution that will be applied to replacing the bubble membrane. The amount of the contribution is based on the estimated cost of replacing the membrane (only) which is assumed to be 60% of the total capital cost of each bubble alternative (the membrane cost is $401,500 for the two-field bubble and $676,800 for the four-field bubble). According to the bubble manufacturer, the membrane’s life is at least 15 years. The calculation also assumes that the Town will be entirely responsible for the membrane’s replacement. The following table presents the cost estimates for the first year of operation for each bubble option. Two-field Bubble Labour Utilities – Gas and Hydro Four-field Bubble Cleaning/Janitorial Services Telephone/Internet/Communications General & Equipment Maintenance Turf maintenance Miscellaneous Installation/Take Down/Storage Turf replacement - Reserve Bubble Replacement - Reserve $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 67,150 83,205 6,000 6,000 4,500 1,500 1,000 85,000 46,875 26,764 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 67,150 136,058 12,000 6,000 9,000 3,000 2,000 125,000 46,875 45,120 Total Expenses* $ 327,995 $ 452,203 Note: * the total expense projection does not include an allocation for additional Department overhead or consideration for the potential of debt service costs related to the possible need for project financing (if any). Both of these costs should be ultimately included in the facility’s budget and also be factored into the final fee strategy. Financial Projections Two-field bubble If the project proceeds, the Town intends to maintain a relatively modest and straightforward operating profile of the indoor turf facility. The facility would not be actively programmed by the municipality nor would retail or food and beverage services be on site. As such, field rent will represent the single revenue source for the facility. (Note: if field time was available and The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 43 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report municipal programming activities would not be in conflict with community user group initiatives, the Town could elect to offer camps etc. during Christmas and March Break to improve revenue production). In view of the foregoing operating profile, improvements to revenue performance would only be possible through: (1) escalations in the price to rent an hour of field time; (2) increased number of rented fields; or (3) elevated proportion of time rented at the higher adult rate. Our demand analysis suggests that there is currently a need for about two indoor fields and therefore the majority of available prime time would be rented in the two-field bubble. We have also assumed that the amount of time required to meet the needs of youth groups will leave very little time available for adult rentals. Therefore, we expect that revenue increases in the small bubble will largely arise through price escalations. We have assumed that the rental fees will increase by 2% per year. Variable operating costs which include utilities, cleaning/janitorial services, telephone, internet and communications, maintenance and miscellaneous expenses have been increased by 2% per year to account for inflation. Fixed costs including contracted services for installation, take down and bubble storage as well as capital reserve contributions have been carried at the same rate over the five year forecast. The following table presents the estimated revenue and cost performance of a new two-field indoor turf facility over its first five years of operation. It is noteworthy that the net financial performance presented below does not include any uplift in municipal administrative costs that may be incurred for facility permitting, space allocation, supervision, or promotion. Two-Field Bubble – Five Year Financial Forecast Revenue Variable Expense Fixed Expense Total Expense Net* $ $ $ $ $ YR1 408,348 169,355 158,639 327,995 80,353 $ $ $ $ $ YR2 416,515 172,742 158,639 331,382 85,133 $ $ $ $ $ YR3 424,845 176,197 158,639 334,836 90,009 $ $ $ $ $ YR4 433,342 179,721 158,639 338,360 94,982 $ $ $ $ $ YR5 442,009 183,316 158,639 341,955 100,054 Four-field bubble The additional two fields contained in the larger bubble would create the opportunity for the Town to incrementally increase facility revenue by: (1) renting more fields to meet rising demand caused by population increases; and (2) servicing a segment of the adult market that would pay the higher field rental price. The table on page 40 illustrates the revenue implications of various field rental rates in 10% increments. Given that there is no accurate data to illustrate the amount of local latent demand and in view of to our commitment to provide conservative revenue projections, we have assumed that only 10% all available prime time on the additional two fields will be rented in year one and increase by 10% per year thereafter. We have also assumed that the amount of adult use will begin at 90% in year one The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 44 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report and fall by 10% per year over the five years of the projections. Conversely, youth use will climb by an equal 10% increment over the forecasted period. Additionally, we have assumed that field rental fees will increase by 2% per year. The variable and fixed cost assumptions explained in the previous section have been applied to the financial projections for the four-field bubble. The following table presents the estimated revenue and cost performance of a new four-field indoor turf facility over its first five years of operations. As mentioned above, the net financial performance presented below does not include any uplift in municipal administrative costs as a result of the bubbled facility. Four-Field Bubble – Five Year Financial Forecast Revenue Variable Expense Fixed Expense Total Expense Net $ $ $ $ $ The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants YR1 466,146 235,208 216,995 452,203 13,943 $ $ $ $ $ YR2 523,211 239,912 216,995 456,907 66,303 $ $ $ $ $ YR3 587,638 244,710 216,995 461,705 125,933 $ $ $ $ $ YR4 651,289 249,604 216,995 466,600 184,689 $ $ $ $ $ YR5 714,042 254,597 216,995 471,592 242,450 ~ 45 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Summary of Findings, Conclusions and Recommendations As specified by the project objectives, this study was to assess the short and long-term demand for an indoor turf facility to meet the needs of Milton’s community user groups. It was also to illustrate the capital cost to provide the facility including a recommended provision and development approach. Finally, it was to present the financial implications of operating and maintaining the preferred facility option. The following sections summarize the most significant findings of the study that are germane to the project objectives. General Observations For more than 10 years Milton has been one of Canada’s fastest growing communities. This trend is expected to continue with the Town’s population expected to double between 2011 and 2021 and reaching more than ¼ million residents by 2031. The demographic profile of the Town’s population (age, ethnicity, income and education levels) suggests that Milton residents will continue to engage in sport, recreation, physical activity and other leisure pastimes at participation rates that are at least consistent with provincial and national levels. Based on the use profiles of existing indoor turf venues, it is probable that soccer would be the predominant activity that would occupy most time available at a new Milton indoor turf facility. Although soccer’s torrid pace of growth has recently tempered, there continues to be an increase in the sport’s popularity, especially in indoor soccer programs. In response to demands for indoor turf venues, a number of indoor turf facilities have been developed in Southern Ontario and Peel Halton Region over the past five years. Six Milton based soccer associations and four other sport groups have indicated an interest in renting a certain amount of field time in the proposed indoor turf facility. Demand for Indoor Turf Fields Two analytical techniques were used to project current and future demand for indoor turf fields. The analysis took into account user group needs to serve current program participants, the amount of demand currently served by existing indoor turf facilities or gymnasia, the likelihood that participants will migrate to a new facility in Milton and affordability issues. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 46 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report In combination, the analysis determined there is current demand for two 100’ X 180’ indoor turf fields arising from Milton’s community user groups. Based on population growth and assuming that sports participation rates remain constant, demand will increase to the need for about four similar sized fields by 2021. Facility Provision Alternatives A review of the three most predominant alternative provision and operating models that are generally applied to municipal recreation facilities revealed that relationships with private, public and not-for-profit partners have various merits and drawbacks. Furthermore, each project has unique characteristics and circumstances which must be considered in choosing the most appropriate partner and facility provision strategy. The timing of the need for a Milton indoor turf facility is coincidental with a new Halton Catholic District School Board development that will include an all-weather turf football/soccer field. The HCDSB has expressed interest in partnering on the project and would work with the Town to develop a mutually acceptable approach for the winter operation should a municipal indoor turf facility be jointly developed on the school’s field. A joint-venture between a municipality and the HCDSB would result in capital cost savings to project and potentially produce operating advantages through programmatic synergies. Developing the indoor turf facility in conjunction with the HCDSB project would require that the turf field be operated on a seasonal basis to allow school to deliver outdoor academic and intramural programming as well as fulfill its inter-collegiate commitments. Therefore, a joint-ventured facility provision strategy would require that the facility is an air supported dome system that can be removed for the spring/summer months. The selection of the bubble size and the length and schedule of the indoor season would be determined such that the domed structure does not negatively impact the school’s use or rental of the outdoor field. Capital Cost Implications The Town’s capital cost to construct a two-field air supported structure including all equipment, site works, field house modifications and contingencies would be $1.938M – or about $31 per square foot. The Town’s capital cost to construct a four-field air supported structure including all equipment, site works, field house modifications and contingencies would be $2.231M – or about $20 per square foot. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 47 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report Operating Cost Implications Based on the assumptions contained in the description of the business plan, the twofield indoor turf facility would generate net proceeds of approximately $80,000 in its first year of operation. This performance would slowly climb to over $100,000 net revenue in year five. Based on the assumptions contained in the description of the business plan, the fourfield indoor turf facility would generate net proceeds of approximately $14,000 in its first year of operation. This performance would quickly climb to over $240,000 net revenue in year five. Conclusions There is sufficient current demand to warrant the development of the two-field indoor turf facility. Satisfying demand in the immediate term would coincide with the timing of the pending HCDSB school development. Partnering with HCDSB would provide capital cost advantages. The indoor turf facility could be constructed more economically than if it was a standalone Town project or if it were to be developed using another facility delivery model with a different partner. Creating a P2 that results in constructing a seasonal structure over an all-weather turf field that is already planned for the school would effectively pool public funds for the benefit of students and the broader Milton community. At the very least, this delivery model would involve capital cost avoidance equivalent to the construction cost of the artificial turf field. An air supported dome structure would offer flexibility in terms of providing indoor and outdoor recreation environments over the course of a 12 month playing season. Beyond the seasonality benefits, facility users enjoy the environment within bubbles – in some cases expressing a preference over a permanent building. Air supported dome structures are very cost effective to construct. For illustration purposes, the estimated capital cost for the four-field bubble in this study is less than $2.25M. The most recent municipal example of a similar sized indoor turf facility accommodated in a traditional building cost more than $11M in 2009. There are other municipal indoor turf permanent facility examples that are even more costly. The development of a four-field bubble would have no negative impact on the playing conditions of the outdoor field because the grade beam would be entirely outside the field of play. Additionally, the larger structure could accommodate certain school activities that require a “full field environment” which would offer a degree of flexibility in terms of the length of the indoor season. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 48 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report The capital cost to construct a four-field air support structure is about $295,000 higher than the cost of the two-field bubble – representing an incremental increase of 15%. Assuming that the Town purchases a second two-field bubble to meet future indoor field turf demand, the total municipal investment in the twinned facility would be more than $2.6M (in 2012 dollars) – which would be 17% more than the cost of the four-field bubble. It is likely that the construction of a four-field facility would result in an over-supply situation in the short term. However, the additional two fields would be available to accommodate the needs of all Town user groups (including adults that would pay the higher rental rate) as well as existing leagues and programs that are currently operating elsewhere in less desirable venues. The time available on the additional fields might also be utilized to organize new leagues and program so long as they did not conflict with the programming initiatives of Milton’s community user groups. This program profile could be perpetuated until population growth resulted in increases in field demand consistent with the four field supply. Based upon all assumptions within this report, the financial forecasts anticipate that both the two-field and four-field bubbles would produce net proceeds in their first years of operation. However, because the two-field bubble would be operating virtually at capacity from its inception, its year over year revenue gains would be primarily linked to increases in field rent. On the other hand, the availability of time in the larger (fourfield) bubble would present opportunities to grow revenues by attracting a wider variety of renters or through the implementation of program initiatives. While it will cost incrementally more (per hour) to operate the four-field bubble, even our conservative revenue forecasts project that the larger facility’s net operating performance would surpass that of the two-field bubble in the third year of operation. Indeed, our revenue forecasts suggest that the four-field facility will generate collective net proceeds that exceed the smaller bubble by more than $265,000 by the end of the fifth year. Interestingly, this net revenue differential is only $30,000 less than the incremental capital cost difference of constructing the larger facility. Recommendations We recommend: That in the near term, the Town undertakes to develop a new indoor turf facility. That the new indoor turf facility be an air supported four-field dome structure. That the Town develop the facility as a joint venture with the Halton Catholic District School Board on the new school site at Louis St. Laurent and Bronte Road. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 49 ~ Indoor Turf Study August 2012 Town of Milton Final Report That the Town and HCDSB initiate discussions to develop a mutually acceptable agreement that deals with the considerations and issues contained in various sections of this Indoor Turf Facility Final Report. That the Town and HCDSB reach mutual agreement regarding an acceptable operating approach for the indoor facility. That the Town assumes the management and operating responsibility for the indoor dome facility while remaining open to accepting and evaluating operating proposals from potential partners. That the Town take into account all costs related to the facility – including Department overhead costs, potential debt service charges and other items that may not be included in this report – when it applies the municipality’s cost recovery principles and policies to establish a pricing strategy that will determine field rental rates. The JF Group in Association with: Monteith Brown Planning Consultants ~ 50 ~ Appendices Appendix One Summary of User Group Input Summary of Input from Interviews & Surveys Organization About the Group (Activities, Trends, Registration) Milton Youth Soccer Club Youth and adult recreational and youth competitive soccer association. In 2011/12, the club had 950 indoor soccer players and 3200 outdoor soccer players. Milton Soccer Academy Current Indoor Usage Levels 200 hours per week at turf facilities in Acton, Burlington, Oakville, Mississauga, and Stoney Creek. 75 hours per week in Milton (gymnasiums). Statement of Need Design Preferences Projected Usage (players, hours) Very interested in Milton indoor turf field for youth league practices and training. Would grow indoor league (add a fall league) if there were available facilities. Likely to use a small and a large field, and no preference in structure type. Should have viewing area, office space, change rooms, field partitions. Youth and Adult 31 hours per week in recreational and Milton (at the Milton Soccer Centre). competitive soccer organization. In 2011/12, the club had 470 indoor soccer players and 800 outdoor soccer players. Not very interested in a municipal indoor turf facility. Have capacity to accommodate growth at their own facility. 200’ x 100’ field, 4 prime time hours bleachers, per week during equipment storage, peak season. drop box for referee sheets, change rooms, and showers in an air supported bubble. Milton Soccer League Adult recreational and N/A competitive soccer league. The group does not currently offer any indoor programs, but did have 450 outdoor players in 2011. Very interested in indoor field for adult league soccer. 360’ x 200’ field, locker rooms with showers, multipurpose room, no structure preference. 20 prime time hours $150-$199/hr for N/A per week during prime time, and peak season. $100-$149/hr for non-prime time during peak season. Urban Sports Club Adult multi-sport organization with a variety of sports, including indoor soccer and Ultimate Frisbee. Could use an indoor turf field to keep up with youth and adult league demand. Likely to use a small and a large field, and no preference in structure type. Storage lockers for equipment would be helpful. 10 to 12 prime time hours per week during peak season and summer seasons. 29 hours per week in various locations around Milton (mostly gymnasiums). 100 prime time hours per week and 5 to 7 non-prime hours during peak season. 5 to 20 prime and non-prime hours per week during off-peak season. Willingness to Pay Other Notes $100-$149/hr for prime time and less than $100 for nonprime during peak season. $50-$99/hr for prime time and less than $50 for non-prime time during off-peak season. Willing to be an active participant in the operation of the facility. $100-$149/hr for prime time and less than $100 for nonprime during peak season. Less than $50 for prime and non-prime during the simmer. N/A $100-$149/hr for prime time and less than $100 for nonprime during peak season. $50-$99/hr for prime time and less than $50 for non-prime time during off-peak season. N/A Organization About the Group (Activities, Trends, Registration) Current Indoor Usage Levels Statement of Need Milton Sports Club Adult multi-sport organization with a variety of sports (softball, volleyball, badminton). Milton Lacrosse Association Offers recreational and 20 hours per week in competitive field and Milton (Tonelli Arena). box lacrosse. The group had 362 registrants for box lacrosse in 2011/12 and 40 field lacrosse players. Milton Girls Softball Association Youth recreational/ 8 hours per week in Interested in indoor Milton (gymnasiums). field for youth house league and practice and training. competitive girls’ baseball organization. The group has approximately 300 players, with 40 making use of indoor space for training. Milton Cricket Ground Adult cricket 0 hours per week. organization. Group is just becoming established, with their outdoor cricket season starting in 2012. Club has 50 members. Design Preferences 13-14 hours per week Not very interested in No design preferences. in Milton a municipal indoor (gymnasiums). turf facility. Club does not currently offer turf sports. Unsure Willingness to Pay Other Notes Less than $100/hr for prime and nonprime hours during peak season. N/A 6 to 9 prime time Less than $100/hr hours per week during peak season during peak season. and $50 to $99/hr during off-peak season for prime time hours. N/A 200’ x 100’ field in an Air Supported Bubble, with pitching and batting cage area, and is multi-purpose for many sports. 2 hours on week days and weekends during prime time hours per week during peak season. Less than $100/hr for prime and nonprime hours during peak season. Their participation is cost dependant. If too expensive, they will stay in gyms. 200’ x 100’ field with a hard surface (moveable) in the centre for cricket, and batting cages. 20 prime time and 5 non-prime time hours per week during peak season. 2 to 5 prime time and 2 to 5 non-prime time hours per week during off-peak season. Less than $100/hr for prime and nonprime hours during peak season. Less than $50/hr for prime and nonprime hours during off-peak season. Their participation is cost dependant. If too expensive, they will stay in gyms Interested in indoor 200’ x 100’ field, turf field for youth with no preference for building type. league practice and training. They expect their league size to grow as Milton grows. Very interested in using an indoor turf facility for adult leagues and youth training. Projected Usage (players, hours) COMS-025-12 Schedule B - Summary of Stakeholder Group Comments Indoor Turf Study - Comments From Stakeholder Groups Group Comment Milton Youth Soccer Club Supportive of the findings and recommendations in the Indoor Turf Study Concerned with the secondary The measurement is an analytical demand measurement. 10 players per metric not a ratio and not meant to be hour on a field is not high enough. an illustration of the average number of players on a pitch per hour. The calcualtion assumes some players play multiple times per week and others only once. The JF Group reviewed the metric at the request of the stakeholder and ammended the text in the study to reflect 10-12 players per hour. The Milton Soccer Centre has capacity The findings in the demand analysis of to assume some of the demand the study took into account all factors identified. related to current supply and demand and concluded two additional fields are required to meet the current needs of the Milton community. Milton Soccer Academy Milton Soccer Academy Milton Soccer Academy Milton Soccer Academy Outcome Concerned with some of the other Hours of use projections were stakeholder groups capacities to meet obtained from individual stakeholder gg g p The studyy took all of the the demand theyy have suggested. groups. projections and reduced them by approximately 25% for reasons detailed in the study. A secondary analysis was completed to validate the demand projections. What is the timing for the bubble? As outlined in the staff report, the Could it be deferred by at least a year? HCDSB is anticipating to start construction on the field in the fall of 2012 or early spring of 2013. If the project moves forward, the bubble would be ready for play in November 2013. In order to realize the cost efficiencies, the grade beam for the bubble must be done in concert with the field construction so delaying a year is not a viable option. The erection of the bubble in November of 2013 could be delayed however the demand analysis demonstrates the need for the facility to be operational immediately.
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