Tietomallintamisen kansainvälinen tulevaisuus Prof. Arto Kiviniemi School of Architecture School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Current BIM adoption and trend School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Fast growing BIM adoption USA 28% USA 49% Europe 36% USA 71% * Germany, France, UK 2007 2009 School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 2010 2012 Sources: McGraw Hill: The Business Value of BIM in North America 2012 McGraw Hill: The Business Value of BIM in Europe 2010 Source: Building Information Modeling: A Platform For Global AEC Change Robert Middlebrooks, AIA Autodesk Strategic Industry Relations 2012 School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 http://www.nist.gov/el/upload/120418-CIB-BIM-AdoptionMiddlebrooks-v2a.pdf Source: Building Information Modeling: A Platform For Global AEC Change Robert Middlebrooks, AIA Autodesk Strategic Industry Relations 2012 School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 http://www.nist.gov/el/upload/120418-CIB-BIM-AdoptionMiddlebrooks-v2a.pdf Countries with the largest percentages of BIM publications in international research sources School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Source: Carneiro, Lins & Neto: Spread of BIM - A Comparative Analysis of Scientific Production in Brazil and Abroad 2012 BIM publications in different countries 0.00 USA Brazil Sweden Australia Netherlands Finland UK Germany Norway Denmark Slovenia New Zealand France China Portugal South Korea Italy Argentina Israel Chile Switzerland Canada Egypt Ireland Turkey Belgium Spain 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 29.98 7.12 6.55 6.14 5.28 4.48 4.37 3.55 3.28 3.28 3.28 2.46 2.39 2.25 1.64 1.64 1.30 1.23 1.15 1.02 1.02 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.75 0.41 0.20 Percentage of papers School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 0.00 Slovenia Finland Sweden Norway Denmark New Zealand Netherlands Australia Ireland Portugal Israel Switzerland USA UK Chile Germany Belgium France Brazil South Korea Argentina Canada Italy Turkey Egypt Spain China 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 15.91 8.23 6.81 6.46 5.83 5.49 3.14 2.64 1.79 1.55 1.42 1.26 0.95 0.69 0.61 0.44 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.31 0.23 0.22 0.10 0.10 0.04 0.02 Index per 10,000 inhabitans Data sources: World Population Index & Carneiro, Lins & Neto: Spread of BIM – A Comparative Analysis of Scientific Production in Brazil and Abroad 2012 BIM in UK School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Francis Maude now in the web… Government will require fully collaborative 3D BIM (with all project and asset information, documentation and data being electronic) as a minimum by 2016. ...adoption of BIM will put us at the vanguard of the new digital construction era and position the UK to become the world leaders in BIM. http://www.bimtaskgroup.org/ School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Current situation in the UK 1/3 School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Source: NBS National BIM Report (UK) 2013 Current situation in the UK 2/3 47% of 39% = 18% of the industry School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Source: NBS National BIM Report (UK) 2013 Current situation in the UK 3/3 School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Source: NBS National BIM Report (UK) 2013 BIM in USA? School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 BIM use by region School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Source: McGraw Hill: SmartMarket Report 2012 BIM implementation levels School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Source: McGraw Hill: SmartMarket Report 2012 Sustainability School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Life-Cycle Cost vs. Carbon Footprint: 3 Designs 225 KEY + Life Cycle Cost (USD, Millions) 210 Baseline Reduced Cost Reduced Carbon 195 3 Buildings, 5 Stories 3 Buildings, 6 Stories 3 Buildings, 7 Stories 3 Buildings, 8 Stories 180 4 Buildings, 5 Stories 4 Buildings, 6 Stories 4 Buildings, 7 Stories 4 Buildings, 8 Stories 165 275k 280k 285k 290k 295k Carbon Footprint (met tons CO2e) School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Courtesy Prof Martin Fischer – CIFE, Stanford University 20 MDO Case Study Results Life-Cycle Cost (USD, Millions) 225 KEY + Baseline X Selected Designs 210 Infeasible Solution 3 Buildings, 5 Stories 3 Buildings, 6 Stories + 195 3 Buildings, 7 Stories 3 Buildings, 8 Stories 4 Buildings, 5 Stories 2 180 1 4 Buildings, 6 Stories 4 Buildings, 7 Stories 4 Buildings, 8 Stories 3 165 275 280 285 290 295 Carbon Footprint (kilotons CO2e) School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Courtesy Prof Martin Fischer – CIFE, Stanford University 20 Comparing Performance of Conventional Design Process with MDO Conventional MDO Set-up time 60 hrs 140 hrs Design cycle time 34 hrs 11 sec 3 21,360 162 hrs 210 hrs - $27 M - 10 kt Alternatives evaluated Total design time Life-cycle cost savings over base design (USD) Carbon footprint reduction (CO2e) School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Courtesy Prof Martin Fischer – CIFE, Stanford University 20 Advanced use of BIM in production School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 DPR Construction, Nathan Wood & Josh Bronitsky,: "Not Your Average Spool: How Detailed Models Enable Prefabrication of © Interior Wall Framing School of Architecture Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 on Sutter Castro Valley Clinic" in Denver BIMForum October 2013 http://bimforum.org/denver-bimforum-schedule/from-the-contractor-perspective/ DPR Construction, from the presentation of Martin Fischer (CIFE, Stanford University) in Stockholm Open BIM Conference, 26th March School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 2012 http://www.openbim.se/documents/openbim/konferens_26_mars_2012/Presentationer/120326_Martin_Fischer_presentation.pdf DPR Construction, from the presentation of Martin Fischer (CIFE, Stanford University) in Stockholm Open BIM Conference, 26th March School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 2012 http://www.openbim.se/documents/openbim/konferens_26_mars_2012/Presentationer/120326_Martin_Fischer_presentation.pdf DPR Construction, Nathan Wood & Josh Bronitsky,: "Not Your Average Spool: How Detailed Models Enable Prefabrication of © Interior Wall Framing School of Architecture Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 on Sutter Castro Valley Clinic" in Denver BIMForum October 2013 http://bimforum.org/denver-bimforum-schedule/from-the-contractor-perspective/ DPR Construction, Nathan Wood & Josh Bronitsky,: "Not Your Average Spool: How Detailed Models Enable Prefabrication of © Interior Wall Framing School of Architecture Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 on Sutter Castro Valley Clinic" in Denver BIMForum October 2013 http://bimforum.org/denver-bimforum-schedule/from-the-contractor-perspective/ BIM in Facility Management School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Constant promise – little results • “For facility managers BIM software can be a powerful new tool to enhance a building’s performance and manage operations more efficiently throughout a building’s life” (FacilitiesNet 2008) • Although this claim has repeatedly been presented almost 20 years, real use of BIM in the industry has so far mainly focused on the design and construction processes. • Even those large public owners who have been early adopters of BIM - such as GSA, USACE or Senate Properties - have used BIM rather in managing their construction projects than implemented it into their own O&M activities. • Therefore most of the documented, quantifiable benefits are related to the production of buildings and there is very little hard evidence of BIM benefits in O&M activities (Becerik-Gerber et al. 2011) School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Top BIM benefits for owners – where is FM/OM? School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Source: McGraw Hill: SmartMarket Report 2012 Case: Manchester Town Hall Complex School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Delay: 4 weeks 1 day = - 96% School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Man hours: 14 3 = - 79% Delay: 12 weeks 1 day = - 99% School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Man hours: 23 10 = - 57% Conclusions from the case study • Significant reductions in the man hours (-57...-80%) • Because of relatively small tasks individual savings per task quite small (8...13 hours), but because of repetitive nature of maintenance operations significant annual savings • Main benefit is huge reduction in wating time to fix the problems (-96...-99%) Reduced disruption and inconvenience for the users helping to avoid reputational damage • BIM has significant, measurable value in operational FM School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Education? School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Are we educating for the past or for the future? How can we get talented people interested in working in the AEC industry? School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Are we teaching issues in the right order? Today’s children are very competent in 3D, but we force them first into 2D and teach 3D only later. School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Are we teaching issues in the right order? Shouldn’t we teach 3D first and then how to generate 2D views from the models? School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Future technologies? School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Augmented reality & wearable computers… Kopin Golden-i Google Glasses use an automatic connection to the cloud to provide access to enormous amounts of information, data and applications… School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 http://enewsletters.constructionexec.com/techtrends/2013/04/google -glass-a-new-pair-of-wearable-computing-glasses/ Robots in production… School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 We are starting to 3D print houses… A couple of months ago, Dutch architect Janjaap Ruijssenaars announced that he was building a curvy, loopy and for some reason, largely see-through building, to be made with the help of Enrico Dini’s DShape 3D printer. The project would cost up to 5 million euros and be completed in 2014. http://www.sciencegymnasium.com/2013/04/architectsare-starting-to-3d-print.html Janjaap Ruijssenaars’s twisty, loopy 3D-printed building. Universe Architecture School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013 Conclusions • BIM adoption is globally accelerating, not only in developed countries, but also in developing countries like China, Brazil, India. Finland is still very advanced, but how long? • Advanced use of BIM for production is progressing fast. • BIM focus is still very much in design and construction, use in facility and operation management is very rare. • Sustainability is one of the key drivers, but use is still often in verification of the chosen solution rather than optioneering. • Are we doing the right things and the things right? • Should we try to minimise the design time and effort or maximise the added value? How do we define the value - to whom? • Are our working methods, business and contract models supporting our goals and appropriate for co-working/co-creation? • What are the incentives to change? School of Architecture © Prof Arto Kiviniemi 2013
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