Emerging Powers as Development Actors: How the BRICS are changing the international aid industry Emma Mawdsley President Truman announcing the Four Point Program at his inauguration in 1949 President Truman announcing the Four Point Program at his inauguration in 1949 A panel at the 2011 High Level Forum on Aid Effectiveness in Busan, Korea Paradigm shift in foreign aid? • The new millennial development/aid effectiveness paradigm • A ‘perfect storm’ – Internal problems; the challenges and opportunities of the ‘re-emerging development partners; the changing geographies of poverty and wealth; the global financial crisis • The ‘development effectiveness’ paradigm – The search for a ‘New Global Partnership for Effective Development Cooperation’ • Four theoretical lenses The ‘new millennial aid paradigm’ • Quantity and quality of aid • Reform of donor and recipient practices to ensure aid effectiveness • Key elements: – Partnership; country ownership; donor-recipient alignment; donor-donor harmonisation; results-based development; mutual accountability • Based around a series of international development targets (notably the MDGs) • Centrality of poverty-reduction Governance • Central role for the OECD-DAC; individual DAC bilaterals; World Bank - Over the decade extended to recipients, rising powers, civil society organisation, private sector - Formation of an ‘independent’ Working Party on Aid Effectiveness (WP-EFF) • 2003: Rome High Level Forum on Aid Effectiveness • 2005: Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness • 2008: Accra Agenda for Action • 2011: Busan High Level Forum on Aid Effectiveness A straw figure …? • Elements of the ‘new millennial paradigm’ had unprecedented buy-in and coherence, but …. • Bilateral donors continued to transgress aid ‘norms’ and ‘soft laws’ • Huge variations in bilateral donors • Reviews showed major shortfalls in donor commitments and recipient change • Reformist debates over ‘technical’ problems • Radical critiques of obscured politics and power The gathering storm 1) The ‘emerging’ donors/development partners and development norms, modalities and institutions The ‘emerging’ donors/development partners • Proliferation, plurality, fragmentation • Different categories and concepts of ‘development assistance’ – ‘Aid’, ‘aid-like activities’, blurred and blended with trade, investment, diplomatic agendas etc • Different sectoral focus • Different cultures, ethics, discursive regimes • Different structural location in relation to global development governance The ‘emerging’ donors/development partners Western donors Southern development cooperation partners Charity Moral obligation to the unfortunate Opportunity Solidarity with other Third World countries Expertise based on direct experience of pursuing development in poor country circumstances Empathy based on a shared identity and experience The virtue of mutual benefit and recognition of reciprocity Expertise based on superior knowledge, institutions, science and technology Sympathy for different and distant Others The virtue of suspended obligation, a lack of reciprocation Mawdsley 2012 The ‘emerging’ donors/development partners • Proliferation, plurality, fragmentation • Different categories and concepts of ‘development assistance’ – ‘Aid’, ‘aid-like activities’, blurred and blended with trade, investment, diplomatic agendas etc • Different sectoral focus • Different cultures, ethics, discursive regimes • Different structural location in relation to global development governance The ‘emerging’ donors/development partners “The sheer number of aid players, both public and private, has exploded. There are significant benefits to this dynamism: more resources, more innovative solutions, more direct action. But there are also costs. The number of development projects has grown while the average size of a project has declined, burdening weak administrative structures in recipient countries. There is overlap and waste in many studies needed for each donor. Accountability and sustainability are threatened. Mechanisms for information sharing, coordination, planning and scaling up are breaking down. The key issues facing development aid are those that arise from this fragmentation and the accompanying volatility of aid disbursements”. (Kharas 2007: 3) 2) Changing patterns of poverty and wealth “Trade between developing countries, and between them and the BRICS, is rising twice as fast as world trade. Even more strikingly, while growth has headed south, debt has headed north, the opposite of what happened in the 1970s and 1980s, when poor countries ran up vast debts. Gross public debt in the rich countries is rising, from about 75% of GDP at the start of the crisis in 2007 to a forecast 110% by 2015, says the IMF. Public debt in emerging markets is below 40% of GDP and flat” The Economist (2010: 69, cited in Sidaway 2012) The G20 countries account for 90% of the world’s GDP, but they also house 58% of the world’s poor (Sumner 2010; Glennie 2011). 3) The ‘global’ financial crisis and ‘traditional’ donors • http://devpolicy.org/end-of-the-aid-boom-the-impact-of-austerity-on-aid-budgets-and-implications-for-australia/ The ‘global’ financial crisis and ‘traditional’ donors • http://devpolicy.org/end-of-the-aid-boom-the-impact-of-austerity-on-aid-budgets-and-implications-for-australia/ Paradigm shift? Busan and ‘development effectiveness’ • Amnesiac approach to ‘aid effectiveness’ review and targets • Open turn to a critique of ‘aid’ – Brian Atwood (the chair of the OECD-DAC): ‘mercifully, even the word ‘aid’ will bite the dust’. • Growing buzz around ‘development effectiveness’ – Growth, infrastructure, productivity, private sector – National interest – Blurring and blending financial tools; eroding formal ODA/OOF/private categories: aid remains, but as a catalyst Global development governance • Emerging, pluralised, fragmented, imploded? “While the OECD-DAC remains the core of the global aid system, its monopoly of world ODA [Official Development Assistance] is eroding with the rise of the so-called new development partners … Traditional donors that form the OECD-DAC can no longer claim to speak for the world’s donor community.” Kharas et al (2011: 38-9, parentheses added) Paragraph 2 of the Busan Outcome Document: “The nature, modalities and responsibilities that apply to South-South cooperation differ from those that apply to North‐South cooperation. At the same time, we recognise that we are all part of a development agenda in which we participate on the basis of common goals and shared principles. In this context, we encourage increased efforts to support effective cooperation based on our specific country situations. The principles, commitments and actions agreed in the outcome document in Busan shall be the reference for South‐South partners on a voluntary basis”. Shifts amongst the ‘traditional’ donors • Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs: letter to the House of Representatives in 2010, now released new policy document • Opening paragraph in ‘new principles of development’: “Investment in sustainable growth enables developing countries to solve their own problems and become less dependent on aid. To this end, they need a strong private sector; businesses operating internationally can help them. In fleshing out its four policy spearheads, the government will therefore promote a good business climate, and will invest in cooperation with the business community. It will do so by means of economies of scale and expanding publicprivate partnerships, continuing and improving business-related development instruments, and conducting regular strategic consultations with the business community.” Shifts amongst the ‘traditional’ donors • Scheyvens, Banks, Overton and Murray (2011): the ‘un-making’ of New Zealand aid: – NZAID pulled back into MFAT – Focus on economic growth – NZ’s economic and political interests at the centre – Dramatic decreases in funding to some NGOs and a shift away from working in partnership with them – Restated focus on the Pacific; but greater growth in funding to Polynesia – Aid effectiveness espoused by the Minister (McCully), but with no reference to international principles on this – Yet, significant increases in the aid budget: from $472m in 2009 to $600m by 2012/13 Four theoretical approaches 1) Constructivist analyses of changing international (development) norms – Hulme and Fukuda-Parr (2009) on how and why the Millennium Development Goals caught global policy attention – Alden, Morphet and Vieira (2010) and Nel (2010) on ‘Third World’ identities and well as interests in international politics 2) Modernisation Theory redux? 1950s/60s • Deeply rooted in US domestic politics and anxieties • Intellectual lineages in the Enlightenment, 19C economic-political theory, and early 20C theories of societal change • Holistic meta-narrative: the interplay of psychological, social, political and economic transformations • Eurocentric, arrogant, culturally parochial and oblivious: from biological to cultural account of ‘backwardness’ • Optimistic, trust in (‘western’) science, technology and know-how • Narrative of national progress • Broadly, a period of global growth and declining inequality. • Geopolitical context: Cold War, decolonization, consolidation of a deeply uneven post-1945 international order; ‘developmental states’: capitalist, socialist, democratic, authoritarian; import substitution industrialization, trades unions Similarities • The (eventual) promise of industrial modernity, material growth, wealth • Optimistic accounts of the promise of (Southernled)science and technology – far less ambivalence about the promises of industrial modernity • Limited concern environment or subaltern peoples or cultures • Hubris? • Linear model of stages of (economic – but not cultural) development? Differences • Cultural explanations of ‘backwardness’ replaced by geopolitical narrative: colonialism and neo-imperialism • Dominated by economic element: notions of psychological, social and political transformation far less prominent • Developmental states (liberal, socialist, authoritarian) replaced by transnational capitalist elites and a more prominent role for private sector, public-private partnerships • Context of financial and trade deregulation; massive decline in trades union power; labour informality, SEZs/spaces of exception • Far wider set of actors, pluralizing international governance regimes, declining USA/western hard and soft power (e.g. legitimacy of Enlightenment-based universal human rights increasingly strongly resisted) • Different positioning of different sectors: resources/primary, manufacturing, services • Legacy of more inclusive (‘humanistic’) development decades 3) Neo-dependency theory redux? 4) Postcolonial theory • “Postcolonialism is haunted by the very figure it seeks to displace as it continues to privilege Europe as the central subject of history by reorienting the world around the single axis of the colonial/postcolonial” (McClintock 1992) • What do postcolonial perspectives offer to thinking through these emerging critical cartographies of development? • Mawdsley and McEwan (in progress!) A post-aid world? • The formal construct of ‘ODA’ relies on some degree of consensus and respect – E.g. OECD’s role regarding the line with export credits • Ongoing concerns about the credibility of aid • Increasingly strong critiques of the legitimacy of aid • Mounting pressures from within the ‘traditional’ donors to use aid more explicitly within the national interest • Powerful – but also problematic – claims to an alternative South-South model of partnership • Growing channels and availability of alternative development financing Bibliography • • • • • • Alden, C., S. Morphet and M.A. Vieira (2010) The South In World Politics. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan. Banks, G., Murray, WA. Overton, J. and Scheyvens, R. (2011) Paddling on one side of the canoe? The changing nature of New Zealand’s development assistance programme. NZADDS Working Paper. http://nzadds.org.nz/publications/. Last retrieved 22 February 2012. Hulme, D. and Fukuda-Parr, S. (2009) International Norm Dynamics and the ‘End of Poverty’: Understanding the Millennium Development Goals. Brooks World Poverty Institute Working Paper 96. Mawdsley, E. (2012) From Recipients to Donors: The Emerging Powers and the Changing Development Landscape. London: Zed. Mawdsley, E., Savage, L. and Kim, S-M (2013) A ‘Post-Aid World’? Paradigm shift in foreign aid and development cooperation at the 2011 Busan High Level Forum. Geographical Journal: early view Nel, P. (2010) Redistribution and Recognition: what emerging regional powers want. Review of International Studies 36, 951-974.
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