Understanding Global Oil, Gas & LNG Pricing 2-Day Training Course: An Introduction to Pricing & Financial Risk Management in Oil & Gas Attend this course to help understand & gain insights into global oil, gas & LNG market dynamics, pricing mechanisms, their impacts for pricing, spot & futures markets, the role of hedging & speculation in mitigating financial risk Our Expert Course Director John Karasinski John has over 26 years business & academic working experience in the areas of natural resource economics & finance, currently director of the MBA (oil & gas) program at Curtin University Key Learning Objectives —— Review the global oil, natural gas and LNG industries —— Review the natural gas markets in North America, Europe and Asia, including price trends —— Recognise the role and importance of gas storage days, the strategic petroleum reserve and OGEC —— Discuss the indexation of the price of natural gas to the price of oil and the role played in determining the final market price of natural gas —— Discover the concept of Energy Equivalent Pricing of natural gas —— Analyse LNG pricing using the ‘S’ curve formula Image courtesy of Woodside —— Recognise how hedging and speculation strategies are used for financial gain or to mitigate the corporate risk confronting business and government ONSITE, CUSTOMISED & COACHING For tailored versions of this course, OR for individual coaching, please contact +61 2 9080 4077 www.informa.com.au/gaspricingweb Understanding Global Oil, Gas & LNG Pricing John Karasinski ABOUT THE EXPERT COURSE DIRECTOR ABOUT THE COURSE John has over 26 years business and academic working experience in the areas of natural resource economics and finance. This 2-day intensive course is designed to provide participants with an applied and working knowledge and understanding of the current global spot price trends in oil, natural gas and LNG. He is currently a senior lecturer and director of the MBA (Oil & Gas) program at the Curtin Graduate School of Business (CGSB), Curtin University in Perth. At the CGSB, John teaches international oil and gas markets, natural resource economics, corporate finance and economics for managers. The course begins with an introduction to global oil and gas industry including production, consumption and international trade. John is frequently nominated for faculty teaching awards for the quality of his teaching, including the Curtin Business School Teacher of the Year. In 2010 he was nominated for the Curtin Student Guild Excellence in Teaching Award – which is the only student-nominated staff awards at the university. John consults to the Australian Centre for Natural Gas Management (ACNGM), which is part of the Australia-China Natural Gas Technology Partnership where he teaches natural gas and LNG economics. He also acts as an academic supervisor at the ACNGM. John also consults to the master of technology (petroleum technology) program which is only available to employees of Royal Dutch Shell and its affiliate companies worldwide. John has a bachelor of arts (economics), a master of science (economics) and is a member of the International Association for Energy Economists. Discussion will centre on existing global reserves as well as the depletion of reserves. The course then builds the discussion around the various spot markets including Henry Hub, the UK’s NBP and the JCC in the Asia Pacific region. We examine the significance of the indexation of natural gas prices with the oil price, and examine the Energy Equivalent Pricing of natural gas. We also review the current trends in the relationship between oil and gas prices. The role of the ‘S’ curve pricing model will also be developed. The second day of the course is devoted to discussing the role of the futures market for the purposes of financial risk management. While the spot and futures markets operate separately, we identify the price convergence theory of these markets which is helpful when seeking to forecast prices. Trading strategies and the rationale for using one strategy over the other will be discussed. This discussion is supported by numerous practical examples throughout the course to assist with understanding the material. WHO WILL BENEFIT Image courtesy of Woodside A VALUE ADD —— Those in the oil and gas industry who would like to gain a working knowledge of oil and gas pricing and financial risk management —— Professional services – lawyers, accountants, auditors, consultants with direct or indirect business in the oil and gas industry who wish to improve their understanding of, and service to, their clients —— Public servants employed by the federal and state governments in treasury, finance, procurement, state development, infrastructure and planning with managerial and oversight responsibility in the oil, LNG and CSG industries For those who have a professional status and require Continuing Professional Development (CPD) to retain your status, you can use this course to fulfil the educational requirements. Contact your association to learn how. www.informa.com.au/gaspricingweb 2-Day Intensive Course Outline Perth 10–11 March 2015 OVERVIEW OF PRICE TRENDS —— Introduction to recent price trends in oil, natural gas and LNG markets —— Global trends in production, consumption and international trade —— Spot price indices in oil and gas markets —— Overview of the spot price trends for Henry Hub, UK’s NBP and the Japanese JCC and LNG prices in China —— The Chinese economy and the Rule of 70 and impact of the BRICS countries on global oil and gas prices OVERVIEW OF OIL AND GAS RESERVES —— Overview of oil (conventional and unconventional) and natural gas reserves —— Depletion rates and duration to depletion —— Global status of oil and gas reserves NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN PEAK OIL AND GAS THEORY —— Peak oil update —— The current impact of: Conventional, unconventional and shale oil reserves —— Shale in the US —— Is there a peak gas theory? A case study of the Indonesian natural gas industry THE CREATION OF AN OGEC? —— Mr Putin’s tacit support for the establishment of an OGEC —— The role of OPEC —— Current OPEC developments ACTIVITY Using provided data, identify and graph the oil and natural gas production of the US and member nations comprising the so-called BRICS group of countries OIL AND GAS PRICE COUPLING —— Oil – natural gas price coupling —— Energy Equivalent Pricing (EQP) and natural gas spot pricing —— Coupling ‘rules’ for natural gas pricing ACTIVITY Recent coupling trends and its impact on the price of natural gas STRATEGIC AND NATIONAL SECURITY —— Importance of security of oil and gas supply and impact on price —— Case study: Impact of Varanus Island incident in Western Australia: June 3, 2008 —— Economic necessity of strategic petroleum reserve and gas storage days CORPORATE RISK MANAGEMENT —— The types of risk confronting different corporates: Financial, price, market, foreign exchange, reputation and so on —— Who uses risk managed strategies? —— What tools are used to manage corporate risk? SPOT AND FUTURES MARKETS —— —— —— —— The difference between a spot market and a futures market Trading commodities in the spot market NYMEX futures contracts for oil and natural gas Price convergence theory and forecasting spot prices OIL AND GAS TRADING STRATEGIES ENERGY COMPANY TRADERS —— The rationale for hedging and speculation —— Numeric examples detailing the activities of oil traders —— Numeric examples showing the activities of natural gas traders INVESTMENT BANKS AND INTERNATIONAL AIRLINES —— The rationale for hedging and speculation —— Numeric examples detailing the activities of oil traders —— Numeric examples showing the activities of natural gas traders HOW GOVERNMENTS HEDGE —— Background to the reason for hedging the oil production —— Detail and overview of put and call options —— Numeric examples detailing the activities of oil traders IMPACT OF HIGH OIL PRICES ON THE ECONOMY —— Assessing the impact of high oil and natural gas prices on the macroeconomy —— Reviewing the data since 1970 —— How oil price shocks impact the macroeconomy —— Did oil traders cause the GFC? LNG PRICE DETERMINATION —— —— —— —— Determining the price of LNG and CBM to LNG The role and application of the EQP Simple ‘S’ curve LNG price models Developing more complex LNG price formulas ACTIVITY CBS 60 Minutes 14 April 2009: Did Speculation Fuel Oil Price Swings? A more plausible explanation: the role of the BRICS countries? WHY CHOOSE INFORMA CORPORATE LEARNING? UNDERSTANDING GLOBAL OIL, GAS & LNG PRICING An Introduction to Pricing & Financial Risk Management in Oil & Gas Attend this course to help understand & gain insights into global oil, gas & LNG market dynamics, pricing mechanisms, their impacts for pricing, spot & futures markets, the role of hedging & speculation in mitigating financial risk Informa Corporate Learning has a 30+ year track record of delivering very successful learning solutions achieving real and measurable value for our clients by matching training needs to our portfolio of senior subject matter experts. Together with you, we will identify the very best blended learning solution for your culture, your people and your business objectives. Quality Assured —— —— —— —— Our customer satisfaction rating averages over 95% – unparalleled in our field We design market-leading training, with an evolving 400+ product portfolio Our hand-picked 900+ instructor faculty are recognised experts in their field Quality of content and delivery methods is assured through regular auditing www.informa.com.au/training OUR EXPERT COURSE DIRECTOR Level 18, 347 Kent Street, Sydney, NSW 2000, Australia. ABN: 66 086 268 313 John Karasinski John has over 26 years business & academic working experience in the areas of natural resource economics & finance, currently director of the MBA (oil & gas) program at Curtin University HOW TO REGISTER Online: www.informa.com.au/gaspricingweb Telephone: +61 2 9080 4050 – Quoting P15GR27 Email: [email protected] – Quoting P15GR27 Location and Dates “He was able to convey messages in a way that was simple to understand. He was passionate about his subject matter” Lawyer, Woodside Energy Perth 10–11 March 2015 Venue Course venues will be confirmed to registered participants 2 weeks prior to the event via email Stay Connected LinkedIn: www.informa.com.au/onlinkedin | Twitter: twitter.com/informa_oz Blog: informaaustralia.wordpress.com | YouTube: youtube.com/iired INVESTMENT – UNDERSTANDING GLOBAL OIL, GAS & LNG PRICING Register Early & Save $330 Per Participant Early Bird Rate Book & pay on or before: PERTH 30 January 2015 Standard Rate Book & pay after: PERTH 30 January 2015 Late Rate Book & pay after: PERTH 27 February 2015 PRICE GST TOTAL SAVE PRICE GST TOTAL SAVE PRICE GST TOTAL SAVE $2,495.00 $249.50 $2,744.50 $330.00 $2,695.00 $269.50 $2,964.50 $110.00 $2,795.00 $279.50 $3,074.50 – Privacy Policy & Updating your Details: Please visit us online at www.informa.com.au/privacy for a full privacy policy. Database amendments can be sent to [email protected] or phone +61 2 9080 4017. 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Why Choose On-site With Informa Corporate Learning? 1.Custom design – Together, we will identify the best blended learning solution for your culture, your people and your training objectives. 2.Quality Assured – We design market-leading training programs, concepts and methodologies, with a 400+ course portfolio. Our rigorously selected 900+ instructor faculty are recognised experts in their field. Quality of their content and delivery methods is assured through continuous monitoring and evolution. 3.On-site training is a cost effective way to train your people and achieve your defined outcomes. 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