For April 13, 2015 A Sharekhan technical research newsletter Punter’s Call Spinning tops near crucial retracement Market on April 10, 2015: Support @ 8700 Nifty daily: 8780 9200 9150 The Nifty closed almost flat today and missed 8800 again. It has formed a spinning top candlestick pattern at these levels for two days in a row. It had formed a hanging man candlestick pattern yesterday whereas it made a Harami candlestick pattern today. This clearly indicates that bulls are exhausted at these levels. So only a break above 8800 will bring back the upward momentum. The hourly Know Sure Thing is still in sell mode which clearly indicates that the bulls are under pressure. However, 8700 and below that 8682 are very crucial levels and till these levels are held the short-term trend shall remain up. Right now the target is 8800 but it will be revised once the levels mentioned above are taken off. The Bank Nifty is facing resistance near the neckline of the bearish head-and-shoulders pattern which is a cause for concern. Hence, the medium-term trend will shift from down to up only above 19100. This has been a consecutive second weekly positive close, so the bulls do have a chance from hereon. The Nifty is still holding the upward sloping parallel channel which is also a positive sign for the bulls. 9100 9050 9000 8950 8900 8850 8800 8750 8700 8650 8600 8550 8500 8450 8400 8350 8300 8250 8200 8150 8100 8050 8000 7950 7900 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 KST (1.38198) 5 2015 12 19 27 2 February 9 16 23 2 March 9 16 23 30 6 April 13 20 2 60-minute 9150 100.0% 9100 9050 9000 8950 8900 8850 8800 61.8% 8750 8700 50.0% 8650 8600 38.2% 8550 8500 23.6% 8450 8400 Other technical observations 8350 8300 0.0% On the daily chart the index is trading above the 20-day moving average (DMA) and the 40-DMA, ie 8606 and 8648 respectively. The momentum indicator is trading in positive mode on the daily chart. On the hourly chart, the Nifty is trading above the 20hour moving average (HMA) and the 40-HMA, ie 8739 and 8681 respectively, which are crucial intra-day levels. The hourly momentum indicator has turned negative. The market breadth was positive with 930 advances and 591 declines on the National Stock Exchange. 8250 8200 KST (0.39041) 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 5 26 27 28 2 3 March 4 5 9 10 11 12 13 16 17 18 19 20 23 24 25 26 27 30 31 1 6 April 7 8 9 10 11 1 Market breadth BSE NSE Advances 1644 930 Decline 1171 591 123 55 4,102 cr 18,290 cr Unchanged Volume (Rs) For Private Circulation only REGISTRATION DETAILS Regd office: Sharekhan Limited, 10th Floor, Beta Building, Lodha iThink Techno Campus, Off. JVLR, Opp. Kanjurmarg Railway Station, Kanjurmarg (East), Mumbai – 400042, Maharashtra. Tel: 022 - 61150000. Sharekhan Ltd.: SEBI Regn. Nos. 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Looking Trendy Short Term Trend Index Target Sensex 29000 Trend 8794 u u Index Target Trend Sensex 26800 Nifty Reversal Support / Resistance Down below 28550 28550/29000 Down below 8680 8680/8794 Medium Term Trend Nifty u u 8180 u u Up Reversal Support / Resistance Up above 28980 26800/28980 Up above 8789 8180/8789 Icon guide Down Upswing matures Downswing matures Trendy Levels for Tomorrow Sensex Support Nifty Resistance 28772 28964 18800 19300 28583 29172 18693 19700 28526 29333 18182 20062 20DSMA 40DEMA 20DSMA 40DEMA 28351 28526 20390 19941 BSE Sensex: 28,879 BSE Sensex: 19013 For Private Circulation only Eagle Eye 2 Support Resistance 8739 5700 8700 5616 8681 5514 20DSMA 20DSMA 8606 6096 8800 5847 8855 5993 8943 6078 40DEMA 40DEMA 8648 5958 April 13, 2015 Nifty: 8,780 Nifty: 5705 Home Smart Charts Date Recommendation Action 10-Apr-15 9-Apr-15 9-Apr-15 8-Apr-15 8-Apr-15 7-Apr-15 TVS Motors Apr Fut Jsw steel Apr Fut CESC Apr Fut IRB Infra Apr Fut RCOM Apr Fut OFSS Apr Fut Buy Buy Sell Buy Buy Buy Stop Loss/ Reversal (Intra-day) Stop Loss/ Reversal DCL 249.00 921.00 628.00 250.00 62.80 3,261.00 Buy/Sell Price 259.40 958.30 609.25 268.65 61.90 3,389.00 Closing Potential % Price P/L at CMP (CMP) 258.00 953.95 601.90 260.80 71.90 3,374.00 -0.54% -0.45% 1.21% -2.92% 16.16% -0.44% Target1 Target 2 280.00 977.00 560.00 290.00 68.00 3,590.00 290.00 1,017.00 547.00 305.00 77.00 3,640.00 NOTE: Kindly note that all stop losses in Smart Charts Calls are on closing basis unless specified. TPB: Trailing profit booked Momentum Swing For the short term—1 to 5 days Action Date Stock 10-Apr-15 PTC Apr Fut Action Buy Stop loss Price 78.20 Closing price P/L at CMP 79.35 -0.06% 79.40 Potential % Target1 Target2 81.00 82.70 10-Apr-15 Ultratech Cem Apr Fut Buy 2,955.00 3,008.75 2,989.85 -0.63% 3,102.00 3,130.00 10-Apr-15 M & M Apr Fut Buy 1,262.00 1,284.20 1,288.50 0.33% 1,309.00 1,375.00 8-Apr-15 Cairn India Apr Fut Buy 218.00 224.10 224.80 0.31% 234.00 241.00 8-Apr-15 HCLTECH Apr Fut Buy Exit 958.50 959.75 0.13% 975.00 987.00 NOTE: Kindly note that all stop losses in Momentum Calls are on an intra-day basis. TPB: Trailing profit booked NOTE: Action taken after market hours will be highlited in blue colour. Rules for momentum calls: 1) The stop loss should be placed after 9.17am in order to avoid freak trade 2) The same will be revised in the TradeTiger terminal every day for the pop-ups Momentum Cash Ideas For the short term—1 to 10 days Action Date Stock Action Stop loss price Price Closing Potential % P/L at CMP Target1 Target2 10-Apr-15 Aban Buy 450.00 462.75 457.50 -1.13% 475.00 490.00 10-Apr-15 Ramco Ind Buy Book Profit 71.25 75.00 5.26% 75.00 76.50 10-Apr-15 Bindal Agro Buy 22.85 23.65 24.40 3.17% 25.50 26.50 8-Apr-15 Castrol India Buy 459.00 468.80 469.25 0.10% 486.00 496.00 TPB: Trailing profit booked NOTE: Action taken after market hours will be highlited in blue colour. Rules for momentum calls: 1) The stop loss should be placed after 9.17am in order to avoid freak trade 2) The same will be revised in the TradeTiger terminal every day for the pop-ups For Private Circulation only Eagle Eye 3 April 13, 2015 Home Short specific Term Trend Stock ideas - CNX BANK INDEX - 1 MONTH (18,910.00, 18,968.00, 18,809.00, 18,859.00, -102.900) Bank Nifty 21200 21100 21000 20900 20800 20700 20600 20500 20400 20300 20200 20100 20000 19900 19800 19700 19600 19500 19400 19300 19200 19100 19000 18900 18800 18700 18600 18500 18400 18300 18200 18100 18000 17900 17800 17700 17600 17500 17400 17300 KST (0.13490) Support: 18687/18475 Resistance: 18985/19100 5 0 -5 15 22 29 5 2015 12 19 27 2 9 February 16 23 2 9 March 16 23 30 6 April 13 20 2 Premium Technical Synopsis Action date Calls Action Segments Reversal^ Stop loss/ (Rs) Stop loss* price Reco price (Rs) Closing P/L (%) (Rs) Potential # (Rs) Tgt.1 (Rs) Tgt.2 Rwd. Risk/ ratio (%) 09-04-15 GVKPIL Buy Cash - 9.00 9.65 9.70 0.52% 11.00 13.00 - 08-04-15 IOC Buy Cash - 370.00 382.90 375.05 -2.05% 405.00 425.00 - *DCL # CMP ^Intra-day For Private Circulation only Tgt. = Target Rwd. = Reward Eagle Eye 4 April 13, 2015 Home Day Trader’s Hit List For April 13, 2015 Scrip Name NIFTY Futures Support Levels S2 S1 Close (Rs) Resistance Levels R1 R2 Action 8723.0 8771.0 8805.0 8823.0 8883.0 Go Long AboveR1 Bank Nifty Futures 18671.0 18800.0 18840.0 18985.0 19427.0 Go Long AboveR1 565.0 568.1 577.0 587.0 Go Long AboveR1 Axis Bank 555.0 BHEL 220.0 232.0 234.6 237.3 243.0 Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1 DLF 151.0 156.0 158.4 162.0 168.4 Go Long AboveR1 Hindalco 133.5 136.6 137.9 141.0 144.0 Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1 ICICI Bank 314.5 317.2 318.3 321.7 328.0 Go Long AboveR1 25.3 26.0 26.3 26.7 27.7 Go Long AboveR1 1710.0 1750.0 1764.0 1778.0 1800.0 Go Long AboveR1 881.0 888.0 904.4 909.0 924.0 Go Long AboveR1 Jai Prakash LNT Reliance Industries SBI 280.0 283.0 285.8 287.4 292.0 Go Long AboveR1 Tata Motors 552.0 555.0 562.7 573.5 591.0 Go Long AboveR1 Tata Power TISCO TCS 77.2 78.0 78.9 79.6 82.0 Go Long AboveR1 335.0 341.0 342.7 349.0 364.0 Go Long AboveR1 2594.0 2628.0 2653.8 2687.0 2715.0 Go Long AboveR1 *Note: Closing price of Nifty futures is last traded price of Nifty futures on NSE SL=Stoploss For Private Circulation only Eagle Eye 5 April 13, 2015 Home Trading Rationale Smart Charts KST (-5.73296) 15 10 5 TVS Motors: Buy 0 -5 -10 -15 TVS MOTOR (251.000, 256.000, 251.000, 253.100, +2.50000) CMP: Rs259.40 340 335 330 325 320 315 310 305 300 295 290 285 280 275 270 265 260 255 250 Buy TVS Motors at the current market price of Rs259.40, with the stoploss of Rs249 for the targets of Rs280 and Rs290. The stock has taken support near the lower end of the falling channel as well as near 40-week exponential moving average. The daily momentum indicator is turning in favor of the bulls. 245 240 235 230 225 220 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 x100 1 8 Decem ber 15 22 29 5 2015 12 19 27 2 9 February 16 23 2 9 March 16 23 30 6 April 13 20 2 Home To know more about our products and services click here. For Private Circulation only Disclaimer This document has been prepared by Sharekhan Ltd. (SHAREKHAN) and is intended for use only by the person or entity to which it is addressed to. This document may contain confidential and/or privileged material and is not for any type of circulation and any review, retransmission, or any other use is strictly prohibited. This document is subject to changes without prior notice. 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