IndustrY 4.0 WHErE ArE tHE GErMAn-LAnGuAGE MArKEts HEAdEd? EdItOrIAL COntEnts COntEnts 3 4 6 8 10 12 14 2 EdItOrIAL trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 1: EVErYtHInG As A sErVICE trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 2: sErVICE trAnsFOrMAtIOn trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 3: IndIVIduALIsAtIOn trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 4: HYPErCOMPEtItIOn trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 5: dIGItALIsAtIOn IndustrY 4.0 – WHAt’s tHE IndustrY 4.0 MAturItY In tHE GErMAn-LAnGuAGE MArKEts? ‘… Rahn should shoot fRom deep ... Rahn shoots! Goal! Goal! Goal! Goaaaaal!’ Still frequently quoted in Germany, this famous piece of football commentary has become iconic of the ‘Miracle of Bern’, in which the German football team won the 1954 World Cup, thus bestowing a quantum leap in self-esteem on the entire nation. But what was the secret behind this accomplishment? Maybe Adi Dassler’s newly invented screw-in studs on Helmut Rahn’s football boots? If you believe the experts, the world and the manufacturing industry in particular are also, in the present era of the so-called 4th industrial revolution, on the verge of a quantum leap – one in productivity. This is caused by the convergence of traditional technologies and information technology. Numerous government and industry initiatives are aimed at making sustainable use of the pertaining possibilities. The term ‘Industry 4.0’, originally coined in Germany, has meanwhile become a worldwide synonym for the quest for new concepts and solutions from the construction kit of the 4th industrial revolution. In contrast to evolutionary development, it is in the nature of revolutions to follow the motto ‘Life is a game’, thus not only creating new winners but also changing the rules of the game fundamentally. As a result, formerly winning strategies often cease to be successful. This raises the question what enterprises need to do today to be allowed to take part in the game tomorrow. In regard to the 4th industrial revolution, managers in the German-language economic region are still much in need of information, as was demonstrated in a recent survey commissioned by CSC. For all uncertainty – one thing is clear: giving the players nothing but advanced technology would be like tying the hope for the Cup to screw-in studs alone. To be on the winning side, players need to be in control of both the match and the opponent in physical and mental terms and must be proficient at adapting flexibly to any new situation. Then, and then only, screwin studs may help to win against any future opponent. Accordingly, the 4th industrial revolution will be a ground of success for those who manage to anticipate which of the societal, economic and other megatrends will be shaping their market environment in future. In particular, it will be important for enterprises to display creativity, competence and agility in adjusting their business models to emerging customer desires and demands. Technology may be an indispensable enabler, but it won’t constitute a viable fundament for the development of a strategy. CSC has, with its ‘Orchestrated Manufacturing’ framework, made a first step towards planning and executing industry 4.0 projects, and we would like to invite you to benefit from our competence and passion. On the following pages, we will try to give you a glimpse of where we believe the journey is headed. And we are very much looking forward to accompany you! Claus sChünemann Vice President and General Manager CEE, CSC 3 IndustrY 4.0 trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 1: everythIng � as a servIce � By 2015, the GloBal maRket foR softwaRe as a seRvice miGht Reach a volume of moRe than $20 Billion.1 ‘softwaRe as a seRvice’ fiRst enteRed the staGe as a pRoduct of the then emeRGinG cloud technoloGy aRound 2001. In no time at all, ‘as a Service’ or aaS became the new buzzword in the IT service providers’ newspeak; from IaaS (Infrastructure as a Service) to PaaS (Platform as a Service) to – eventually and consequently – EaaS: Everything as a Service. And the meaning of ‘everything’ is virtually literal – as a Service is no longer limited to the realm of IT products and services at all. The underlying idea, of course, isn’t nearly as new as the term: we are talking about a class of delivery models that have been around for quite a while if not for ever; a.k.a. renting, subscription, leasing and, last but not least, outsourcing. What’s new is the speed, quality and quantity at which enterprises and consumers alike are willing to part with their traditional ‘owning’ mentality or, to put it in economic terms, transform CAPEX into OPEX. An increasing number of organisations across all industries and the public sector radically outsource anything they don’t regard as their core business: from logistics to the operation of facilities, plants and entire sites to even production-related core and secondary processes including the personnel involved. This of course requires – especially in highly quality and security-sensitive sectors such as the pharmaceutical industry – the service provider’s seamless integration into the owner’s GMP organisa- tion, which in turn necessitates a free yet secure flow of mission-critical data between the partners. The trend towards self-expropriation is, at a smaller scale, reflected by the increasing popularity of ‘as a’ services in the consumer realm: car leasing ceased to be reserved for company fleets a long time ago. Prevailing business models in the realm of home entertainment have evolved too. Traditional record shops are almost extinct – as are video rentals: films are rented on the internet today. Few consumers are aware that the purchase of an e-book does not buy them ownership of the file. The scope of service only includes one’s personal right of use, making it all but impossible to give e-books away, sell them or pass them on to your heirs. Another upcoming business model we can expect to arrive shortly is subscription to FMCGs: in the case of printer ink being delivered on the basis of average consumption, this has already been around for some time. In the era of the Internet of Things (IoT), this will soon become reality for food stuffs as well – after all, a smart fridge would generally be the first household member to realise that you’re running out of milk. bY 2015, tHE � GLObAL MArKEt FOr sOFtWArE � As A sErVICE � MIGHt rEACH A VOLuME 20 OF MOrE tHAn � bILLIOn u.s.-dOLLAr.1 dAtA-drIVEn sErVICEs (dds) Everyone’s talking about Big Data and the effectively unlimited possibilities provided by the aggregation, contextualisation and analysis of the enormous amount of structured and unstructured data generated each minute. Most mentions refer to the kind of individual consumer profiles emerging from one’s search queries, online orders, social media and GPS location data, which are thought to enable ever more targeted CRM activities. Consumers who observe that their ‘personal’ eBay recommendations have nothing to do with their own buyer history, whereas a pair of shoes once looked at on the internet but never bought will stalk you for months may rightfully doubt the maturity of this kind of application, though. In contrast to the notorious uncertainty factor represented by humans, however, processes such as resource planning, manufacturing and distribution can massively benefit from statistic data aggregates: while it will remain virtually impossible for years to come to predict whether Jane Q. Citizen really intends to buy a certain silk dress in paisley print, we can easily and quite accurately determine how well silk dresses in paisley print sell in a given region – enabling us to order the right fabrics, to have the right sizes sewn and to stock the right warehouses in time. Other successful uses of DDS include predictive maintenance and quality management. ‘Industry 4.0 has the potentIal to transform our productIon processes for ever; It seems to be the next bIg step In manufacturIng. however, we ought not to approach the Issue as a matter of technology hype. we should rather address It from the angle of busIness requIrements and demands. to do that, we must fIrst create an approprIate ‘basIs’ and establIsh a hIgh degree of maturIty In both processes and dataa.’ Dipl.-Ing. Klaus Glatz, Chief Process Officer, Hoerbiger Group IndustrY: MInInG PrOjECt: IMPrOVEMEnt OF FACILItY AVAILAbILItY CLIEnt: MInInG COMPAnY CsC AssIGnMEnt: dEVELOP And IMPLEMEnt A PrEdICtIVE MAIntEnAnCE PLAtFOrM GOAL: OPtIMIsE dOWntIMEs And InCrEAsE PrOduCtIOn YIELd 1 mchall, tom (7 July 2011): „gartner says worldwide software as a service revenue Is forecast to grow 21 percent in 2011“. gartner.com. gartner. dated: 28 July 2011, cited from wikipedia, retrieved on 14 december 2014. 4 5 IndustrY 4.0 trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 2: servIce transformatIon only fouR out of ten new caRs aRe sold at a pRofit. the otheR six will yield no moRe than the manufactuRe cost oR even less than that. may the automotive industRy make a show of cRyinG BitteR teaRs oveR this tRend – the tRuth is that manufactuReR staRted adaptinG to the development a lonG time aGo. Makers of computer printers led the way: Money is made in the aftermarket. The printer itself is sold at cost price or even below that – with pleasure! In turn, two new ink cartridges can easily cost the price of the entire device – a litre of ink goes for up to ¤4,000.2 Such astronomical margins won’t be possible to yield everywhere. But – and here’s why this trend is related to the one described in the previous chapter – even today it is often profitable for service providers not just in the industrial realm to provide a facility or infrastructure free of charge in return for the exclusive right to deliver the pertaining service too. This is nothing fundamentally new: utilities and railway operators have only ever billed the amounts of current consumed or miles travelled; the infrastructure investment as such has never been listed as a separate asset in the purchase price of the service bought. Many new business ideas emerging from the gold rush atmosphere of new technology areas initially give rise to heated debate. One of the topical ones is the scheme of so-called in-app sales. We can safely presume, however, that future copyists and developers will manage to successfully eliminate current issues such as the much criticised lack of transparency and the targeting of predominantly young target groups. The automotive industry provides an excellent example of how the concept of service transformation is being applied to material products: many car makers successfully manage to enhance their brand image by complementing their portfolio with a compact car at ‘less than ¤10,000’ or a medium-sized vehicle ‘under ¤20,000’. That’s the catalogue price. By the time the car hits the road equipped with all the accessories that make it acceptable to the owner, these psychological and economical thresholds will be exceeded by far. New technologies lead to a dramatic reduction of innovation cycles. However, these will rarely be synchronous across all individual components of a given product. In view of the increasing scarcity of resources, we will have to ask ourselves whether it’s really necessary to get an entirely new smartphone every two years or if there’s an alternative option of obtaining innovation in the form of new software releases or replacement of individual components while the device as a whole is allowed a longer life. This would even be quite advantageous for the consumer: why wait two years if the new operating system of the faster processor is available earlier than that! The Fairphone, for example, represents a concept already pointing this way. OnLY FOur Out OF tEn nEW CArs ArE sOLd At A PrOFIt. tHE OtHEr sIx WILL YIELd nO MOrE tHAn tHE MAnuFACturE COst Or EVEn LEss tHAn tHAt. IndustrY: FACILItY OPErAtIOns � PrOjECt: OPtIMIsAtIOn OF MAIntEnAnCE PrOCEssEs CLIEnt: OPErAtOr OF HIGHLY FACILItY-dEPEndEnt PLAnts CsC AssIGnMEnt: dEVELOP And IMPLEMEnt A COnCEPt FOr tHE usE OF AuGMEntEd rEALItY In FACILItY MAIntEnAnCE GOAL: sIMPLIFY And ACCELErAtE MAIntEnAnCE And rEPAIr PrOCEssEs: rEduCE COsts ‘Industry 4.0 Is by far more than about the Incremental Improvement of the value chaIn. rather, It’s about the potentIal to radIcally Innovate the model of socIety. to fully exploIt the InnovatIve potentIal of Industry 4.0, we need qualItIes such as creatIve and lateral thInkIng out of the box.’ Dr. Walter Oberreiter, Head of Business Consulting, Industry 4.0 Expert, CSC Austria AuGMEntEd rEALItY (Ar) Until not too long ago, applications of augmented reality used to be, at the consumer level, largely restricted to marketing activities, in which potential customers would be encouraged to visually manipulate products of interest by means of mobile apps. Meanwhile, the technology has found more useful applications – as in mobile travel guides: point your smartphone at the Eiffel tower, and the device will not only know everything about the sight itself but can recommend the nearest shopping places and restaurants in the vicinity. Cineastes familiar with Terminator and the likes can imagine what the technology might be capable of even without an interface such as a mobile device or Google Glass: superimpose relevant ambient data on your field of vision, for instance. (Of course, it was a funny kind of media disruption to have the Terminator ’s highly developed cyberbrain visually read this information rather than access the data digitally. It did add a nice twist to the story, though.) In fact, the technology has been around for years: while ambient data are not being superimposed on the retina yet, they appear in the windscreens of luxury cars, fighter pilots’ helmet visors and surgery microscopes. In the same way, blueprints and repair manuals can be made available, so sparing the technician to have to put down his tools to smooth out the construction plan for the hundredth time. 2 source: http://www.heise.de/video/artikel/1-liter-tinte-fuer-4000-euro-1508742.html, retrieved 14 december 2014. 6 7 IndustrY 4.0 trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 3: IndIvIdualIsatIon � an aiRBus a380 cuRRently has aBout six million confiGuRaBle items. as a Result, the confiGuRation pRocess will make each individual pRoduct a one-of-a-kind specimen. to Be aBle to manaGe all these vaRiants and pRoduct options at an acceptaBle cost constitutes a siGnificant challenGe foR manufactuReRs. the demand foR viRtually unlimited confiGuRaBility, howeveR, is staRtinG to extend even to the Realm of commodity pRoducts affoRdaBle to the end consumeR. This is where the trend of service transformation converges with the hedonistic lifestyle of the modern metropolitan to form another driver for the development of new business models. New production methods make it possible: not just IT-related products and services will seamlessly adjust to their individual user’s demands; material goods can just as easily be made and made available on short notice in a broad range of options and at reasonable prices. Additive manufacturing is eliminating the necessity to take the effort and make an elaborate tool for each new component. If the front apron of your new car is 3-D-printed anyway – why can’t you have the same range of choices as in wheels? The biennial rhythm of alternating face lifts and new model releases might one day be replaced by a constant flow of renovation – until a true technology leap justifies a real new product launch. And if the fashion changes in the meantime – why not redesign your car as quickly as your hairdo? Even today, you can have your self-painted picture made into a flash tattoo for your vehicle: a valid business idea for the copy shop of the future. Another type of players who have already identified the possibilities offered by Industry 4.0 and are exploiting them successfully are inventive newcomers in the food industry. A startup from the Bavarian town of Passau demonstrates how to utilise the cloud and state-of-the-art logistics in order to provide today’s demanding urbanites with their individual cereal mixes for breakfast. In view of the giant growth market of healthcare and nutrition, imitators and inventors can be expected to come up with a flood of other innovative ideas in the near future. Some people may think that opportunities lurk in the individualisation trend only for enterprises targeting the individual consumer. They should think twice. Because such enterprises need assistance – in technical, technological and strategic terms. Especially Germany, the ‘world’s factory fitter’, has a great number of inventive companies whose help will be indispensable to enabling providers of end consumer products and services to individualise their offerings in the ways described. This in turn is consistent with another development we at CSC have dubbed ‘outside-in’: to an increasing extent – and that is ultimately an expression of Industry 4.0, too – innovation doesn’t happen inside the development silos of enterprises but are literally bred in the fertile ecosystems outside the company by a an increasingly open community of ideas providers and doers. Collaboration and co-creation with other companies and the customers themselves might, for many, represent a new business model of its own right; one that just a few years ago would have seemed highly inappropriate due to the general fixation on ‘intellectual property’. ‘Industry 4.0 Is much more than Just the Internet of thIngs. smart materIals wIll Influence how they are used. addItIve manufacturIng wIll allow me to prInt my parts rather than have them produced on bIg machInes. these are all aspects of Industry 4.0.’3 AddItIVE MAnuFACturInG (3-d PrIntInG) Largely unnoticed by the wider public, 3-D printing has become an established manufacturing technology in many industries. In so-called additive manufacturing, often highly complex structures are built up by applying successive layers of liquid or granular materials. Any material that can be fusion-bonded or cured is suitable, i.e. polymers, resins, ceramics and metals. As the printhead is computer-controlled, a broad variety of shapes and structures can be manufactured on one and the same machine without significant lead times – in contrast, for example, to traditional injection moulding, where a different mould is needed for each type of part. Consequently, additive manufacturing is perfectly suited where rather small lot sizes or even one-of-a-kind specimens are in demand. Next to prototyping, typical applications are industrial manufacturing of joint prostheses, auto and aircraft parts. 3-D printing is also highly advantageous in the making of extremely small-scale structures. In addition, additive manufacturing supports a number of societal trends – not least that of individualisation (small lot sizes and one-of-akind specimens!) and the urbanisation trend: since the blueprint to a given item is a piece of software that can be sent anywhere in the world in real time, manufacturing can take place wherever an appropriate 3-D printer is available. An AIrbus A380 C u r r E n t LY HAs AbOut sIx MILLIOn COnFIGurAbLE ItEMs. COnsEquEntLY, tHE COnFIGurAtIOn PrOCEss WILL MAKE EACH IndIVIduAL PrOduCt A OnE-OF-A-KInd sPECIMEn. tO bE AbLE tO MAnAGE ALL tHEsE VArIAnts And PrOduCt OPtIOns At An ACCEPtAbLE COst COnstItutEs A sIGnIFICAnt CHALLEnGE FOr MAnuFACturErs. IndustrY: trAVEL And tOurIsM � PrOjECt: IntEGrAtAtIOn OF PrOduCt dEVELOPMEnt And MArKEtInG CLIEnt: AIrLInE CsC AssIGnMEnt: MAKE unstruCturEd dAtA FrOM sOCIAL MEdIA usAbLE GOAL: AnALYsE And PrOACtIVELY AddrEss LAtEnt CustOMEr dEsIrEs Ralf Schulze, Industry Strategist, Global Manufacturing Vertical, CSC 3 source: http://www.csc.com/townhall/insights/110917-the_internet_of_ things_iot_in_manufacturing#summary, retrieved 3 march 2015. 8 9 IndustrY 4.0 trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 4: hypercompetItIon � ‘if i had asked people what they wanted, they would have said fasteR hoRses.’ – henRy foRd. customeRs don’t have a desiRe foR actual pRoducts But foR the Benefit they expect. wheRe innovation cycles aRe Reduced Beyond RecoGnition and theRe’s an open-souRce-dRiven woRld teeminG with new ideas, no enteRpRise can affoRd to Rest on the lauRels of some patent and hope to Be pRotected aGainst competition foR decades to come. Even tomorrow, somebody else might come up with another, better solution for the same problem. And where the protection of ideas and concepts is possible, the next imitator will be waiting in the wings right now. The rapid acceleration of competition has been dubbed ‘hypercompetition’, a term that generates 124,000 Google hits even today4. It will with absolute certainty force many manufacturers to demonstrate significantly greater flexibility and agility in terms of their product portfolio – which they will easily be able to do due to the new technological possibilities. Insights from Big Data consumer information, but also from suggestions and demands directly conveyed by customers, will generate innumerable ideas for new product features or entirely new products. And cloud-enabled possibilities such as crowd-funding and the nearly unlimited market of the Worldwide Web, in combination with new manufacturing technologies will enable producers to quickly bring them to market. However, only those enterprises will turn out to really be future-proof that demonstrate the capacity to completely reinvent themselves should volatile markets demand this. A perfect early example of that ability was one paper mill that in the course of its 10 history mutated into a manufacturer of rubber boots and other consumer goods before temporarily rising to market leadership in mobile phones. A more recent lesson was taught by a certain manufacturer of computers who caused the traditional music industry considerable headache by starting to provide entertainment content digitally. Promoted by Big Data, but also by the recent development of unmanned aerial vehicles, a.k.a. drones, the next explosion of the online trade business is just around the corner – forcing not only residential retailers to come up with innovative concepts a.s.a.p. Urban planners and politicians too need to start thinking about how they intend to deal with the increasing numbers of vacant shops. And about what future public spaces should look like that should take over the cashier queue’s function as a social meeting point. The wave of mobile phone dealers, internet cafés, second-hand shops and tattoo studios that is already undulating through the town centres of many municipalities – each of these a start-up established by an inventive entrepreneur who at least for a while made good money with it – gives us a glimpse at how potentials for creative entrepreneurship are being propagated from the very bottom to the very top. ‘for us, Industry 4.0 Is an umbrella term for certaIn structural changes, both product and processrelated. we see, above all, the opportunIty to thInk ahead and develop new and InnovatIve solutIons for our products t0gether wIth our partners. In future, we wIll depend on the abIlIty to offer suItable solutIons for ever more complex requIrements. It wIll help a great deal to keep up wIth topIcal research as well as the latest InformatIon and communIcatIon technology.’ ‘IF I HAd AsKEd PEOPLE WHAt tHEY WAntEd, tHEY WOuLd HAVE sAId FAstEr HOrsEs.’ – HEnrY FOrd – CustOMErs dOn’t HAVE A dEsIrE FOr ACtuAL PrOduCts but FOr tHE bEnEFIt tHEY ExPECt. IndustrY: AutOMOtIVE PrOjECt: VALuE CHAIn sYstEM IntEGrAtIOn CLIEnt: AutOMOtIVE suPPLIEr CsC AssIGnMEnt: IntEGrAtE ErP And MEs sYstEMs GOAL: InCrEAsE tHE dEGrEE OF CAPACItY utILIsAtIOn And FLExIbILItY In rEsPOnsE tO CHAnGEs In dEMAnd Rainer Berthold, Director Sales, Jean Müller GmbH Elektrotechnische Fabrik, Eltville, Germany � 4 retrieved 14 december 2014. 5 middleton, peter; kjeldsen, peter; tully, Jim (18 november 2013), „gartner forecast: the Internet of things, worldwide, 2013“ (18 november 2013) IntErnEt OF tHInGs As early as in November 2013, a Gartner report5 predicted that by 2020, we might be facing 26 billion internet-able devices – not counting PCs, smartphones and tablets. This equals a 30-fold increase from the 0.9 billion units we had in 2009. The component cost of IoT-enabling any commodity good would by then approach $1; consequently, a large number of ‘ghost devices’ with unused connectivity ought to be expected. According to the report, the revenue opportunity for IoT-related products and services across all industries will increase to $309 billion until 2020; by then, Gartner predicts a total economic valueadd from IoT across industries of $1.9 trillion worldwide. 80% of the IoT supplier revenue will be derived from services, with the greatest value added from the IoT being generated in manufacturing, healthcare, insurance, banking and securities. Accordingly, services that are associated one-to-one with individual products would face competition from ones provided by trusted IoT providers overseeing multiple product categories with branded ‘umbrella’ services. 11 IndustrY 4.0 trAnsFOrMAtIOn drIVEr 5: dIgItalIsatIon the new ipv6 inteRnet pRotocol standaRd will enaBle the inteRconnection of 340 tRillion tRillion tRillion devices. this aBsuRdly BiG numBeR easily outshines the 16.7 million colouRs a Renowned computeR manufactuReR cites to adveRtise theiR hiGh-Resolution displays: it even exceeds the numBeR of staRs in the oBseRvaBle univeRse (1022) By hundReds of million million times. To put it in other words: by upgrading from the currently prevailing IPv4 standard we will in just a few years time be able to link up each and every connective device to create one single giant network. Yet what exactly is a connective device? Ever smaller and cheaper IT components lend themselves to being integrated into an increasing number of commodity goods: millimetre-sized RFID tags sewn into garments will point out matching other articles of clothing or accessories to their owner while shopping or surfing the internet. The fridge ordering milk and yogurt on its own has already been mentioned. It is all but surprising that your electronic calendar does not yet automatically switch on the park heating of your car if you have an early appointment on a cold winter day – or calls a cab if the vehicle’s system check or the weather and traffic data suggest to better not drive yourself. (App developers – to your machines!) The range of intelligent products encompasses anything from heating systems controlled via your smartphone to smart textiles to road systems managing their own traffic flows; some of them available even today, others just around the corner. Of course, this trend contributes to the acceleration 12 of the two described above: once an item is principally equipped with artificial intelligence, it can be enhanced with a constant stream of new function and, consequently, can be ever more individualised. For marketers that translates into: forget about your beloved AIDA formula (Attention – Interest – Desire – Action). From now on, to you it’s DAAI: the consumer has a Desire. And only those manufacturers who are willing and able to pay Attention to that desire and respond with Action will be able to retain the Interest of their increasingly volatile audiences. Somebody will have to make the decision, of course, which customer desires should be given priority over others. However, appropriate algorithms will soon significantly facilitate, if not automate entirely, such decision-making. By way of orchestrated manufacturing, manufacturing and time to market will see enormous acceleration – as will the life cycles of new products. So where’s the place of us humans in this brave new world of digitalisation? We believe that our vision of the future, which may even exceed Industry 4.0, will at the end of the day improve people’s lives. Where online retail goods are today picked by human labourers, badly paid but still expensive for their employers, enough money might be finally earned to pay greater attention to CO2-neutral products and processes one day. Where educational content of high quality can be made available digitally, there is more room to better qualify all strata of society so nobody will be in the position to have to take on badly paid gofer jobs any more. And with greater participation in the development of what we call intellectual property – ideas that actually make money –, profits should be distributed more justly. In the media industry, remuneration models to that extent are already in the process of emergence. tHE nEW IPV6 IntErnEt PrOtOCOL stAndArd WILL EnAbLE tHE IntErCOnnECtIOn OF 340 trILLIOn trILLIOn trILLIOn dEVICEs. CYbEr-PHYsICAL sYstEMs (CPs) Cyber-physical systems emerge wherever mechanical and electronic facilities and systems are controlled via a network of interconnected IT solutions. This goes far beyond the isolated applications of the past, such as computer-aided manufacturing or CNC: Within a cyber-physical system, an array of different systems communicate with each other so they can make their own decisions about next steps based on the information exchanged. Let’s illustrate this with a – purely fictional – example: A 3-D printer produces action figures, for instance, Darth Vader. When the black resin is about to run out, the CPS goes, ‘All right, a fresh supply is ordered but hasn’t arrived yet. Let’s deploy a battalion of Storm Troopers in the meantime – there’s still plenty of the white stuff.’ After a while, only red and pink hues are left in the machine. The CPS takes a look at the order book and makes the pragmatic decision to call up the software blueprint for Princess Lillifee to make a lot of those until the resin magazines get refilled. (Whether it’s economical, at this point of time, to make bulk goods such as toy figures by way of additive manufacturing is another question. But the underlying principle should be clear.) By the end of this decade alone, up to 50 billion computers and commodity devices will be connected online.6 With this in mind, we must accept that the convergence of the entire industrialised world into one single CPS is no longer science fiction. It is inevitable reality. IndustrY: MAnuFACturInG � PrOjECt: busInEss MOdEL dIGItALIsAtIOn CLIEnt: LEAdInG MAnuFACturInG COMPAnY CsC AssIGnMEnt: CrEAtE An IntEGrAtEd sOFtWArE ECOsYstEM GOAL: LOnG-tErM CustOMEr LOYALtY And A dIGItALIsEd VALuE CHAIn ‘socIety’s complexIty Is IncreasIng even faster than the computIng power of supercomputers ... the Idea of beIng able to centrally control a global system of thIs complexIty Is sImply wrong. the scope of thIs challenge exceeds the possIbIlItIes provIded by tradItIonal approaches ... we wIll have to take on board as many good Ideas as possIble so we can make more educated decIsIons.’7 Prof. Dr. Dr. Dirk Helbing, ETH Zurich, Chair of Sociology, in particular of Modelling and Simulation � 6 scientific american, december 2014, page 16. 7 cited after: „menschheit steht vor dem größten umbruch seit der industriellen revolution“, Joachim laukenmann, sonntagszeitung, 4 January 2015, retrieved from http://webapp.sonntagszeitung.ch/read/ sz_04_01_2015/gesellschaft/menschheit-steht-vor-dem-groessten-umbruch-seit-der-industriellenrevolution-23180, on 13 Januar 2015. 13 surVEY IndustrY 4.0 what’s the Industry 4.0 maturIty In the german language markets? ‘our manufacturIng companIes make a sIgnIfIcant contrIbutIon to our domestIc economIc performance, thus securIng hIgh-qualIty Jobs. In order to be able to contInue to succeed In the InternatIonal competItIon, IntensIve research Is requIred on the enterprIse sIde.’ Dr. Margit Haas, Head of Production and Nanotechnology, Forschungs- und Förderungsgesellschaft Österreich (FFG) The necessity to review one’s business models is especially relevant for the IT industry. For CSC, this has for many years meant that we not only had to search for best-in-class solutions, but first of all had to understand and proactively address the situation, the needs and requirements of our own customers – and theirs. In pursuit of this goal, we assigned The Skills Group to conduct, in September 2014, a survey among representatives of Austrian, German and Swiss enterprises on their reading of Industry 4.0. The research institute interviewed 900 managers and decision-makers from companies with a minimum of 10 employees, preferably such from the core sectors of IT and manufacturing. How important is the development towards Industry 4.0 for your company? D 21% A CH 42% Is there a sufficient supply of specialists with sufficient It know-how and expertise plus expertise in the areas of logistics and manufacturing to work in the realm of Industry 4.0? D 32% 46% 11% 39% A 24% 45% 10% 37% CH 25% 46% VERY IMPORTANT – RATHER IMPORTANT 22% 31% 29% YES – NO – DON’T kNOW German respondents assessed the importance for their own company higher than those in Austria and Switzerland. Irrespective of the interviewees’ assessment of the degree of their own country’s preparation, the predominant opinion is that there are not enough specialists for this development. How well prepared are companies in your country for the Industry 4.0 development? do you think there is a sufficient amount of information on the opportunities and risks under Industry 4.0 available in your country? D 10% 41% 31% A 6% 31% 37% CH 7% 31% 40% 8% 12% 5% 21% 7% 16% VERY WELL – RATHER WELL – RATHER BADLY – VERY BADLY – DON’T kNOW Only in Germany, slightly more than half of the interviewees think their country is well-prepared for Industry 4.0. D 29% A 16% CH 24% 71% 84% 76% YES – NO More than three quarters of the respondents said they felt underinformed. this is an overview of the most prominent results: How important is the development towards the ‘connected factory’ (Industry 4.0) for your country’s economy? PLEAsE FInd MOrE InFOrMAtIOn On tHIs surVEY As WELL As On nEW busInEss MOdELs At http://www.csc.com/de/ahp/117241-industrie_4_0 D 27% A 19% CH 16% 36% 31% 39% 26% More than anything else, this brochure shows one thing: utilised properly, Industry 4.0 offers a host of opportunities for enterprises to support their existing business models better and more purposefully. In addition, there is vast potential for new innovative business models. 37% 27% VERY IMPORTANT – RATHER IMPORTANT – VARYING (for certain industries only) The importance of Industry 4.0 for the economy and industry is considered ‘rather important’ across all countries. As a decision-maker in your company, it’s up to you to evaluate what Industry 4.0 can do for you and your company. Moreover, you want to determine the best timing for actual action. Our advice: steer clear of both frantic activity for its own sake and allowing yourself to be shell-shocked. Seize the moment and plan your first moves toward Industry 4.0 right now. Maybe there are even actual transformation steps to be implemented already! We at CSC have studied the subject of Industry 4.0 thoroughly. We strongly believe it’s a topic that is certain to transform your universe as much as ours. We would like to engage in a partnership with you to develop and realise new and exciting concepts. 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