Time Series Analysis for Business Forecasting and Successful Investment Decisions Ganna Kharlamova (Associate professor, PhD (Economics)) Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv Kyiv, Ukraine [email protected] Lecture title Time Series Analysis for Business Forecasting and Successful Investment Decisions Duration Language of the workshop Short introduction of the workshop 6 hours English (minimum level B2) - fluent Having billiards of statistic data around, the economist have to be successful in quick and prompt analyses of the most informative beyond them with the further developing of the profitable management/investment decision. The object of the present lecture is to set forth in some detail the present status of the problem of analyzing and interpreting the very extensive set of data known as economic series. That will help future successive economists to achieve high and profitable results in their career. First I will tell about history of the problem and main mistakes in economic time series analyses, and then we will talk about main successive techniques of harmonic analyses. One of the crucial points of our lecture will be the degrees of freedom in economic time series. I will show the best techniques and approaches to the trend analyses and the evidence and explanation of economic cycles to receive adequate forecasting. I will lecture the time series analyses through paradigm of the nature of wealth and income. Personal introduction I was born in Kyiv, Ukraine in 1981. In 2004, I received my M.S. in Economic Science with honors at Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv. In 2011, I graduated from Kiev National Linguistic University (Kyiv, Ukraine) with Specialist degree in Philology (Major: Translator). In 2008, I defended my PhD thesis in Economics titled “Economic-mathematical modeling of the investment potential of Ukraine under globalization”. I have 10 years university lecturing career. Main scientific interests: ecological safety, ecoterrorism, state security, investment, macroeconomic forecasting, socioeconomic modeling. I’m the author of more than 150 publications, including 5 tutorials, textbooks and manuals; 6 books; 10 Scopus cited works, according to my scientific interests. Took part in about 100 All-Ukrainian and International scientific-&-practical conferences, in FP7 Information & Brokerage Event on Environment (Including climate change), 21st OSCE Economic and Environmental Forum: Second Preparatory Meeting, in more than 30 NATO ASI or NATO ARW. I have an experience of the participation in a 3-year initiative on THE ECONOMICS OF THE FIRM (which includes a series of summer schools and workshops), held by EERC. I had received 2 Honour Awards of National Academy of Science of Ukraine. I was the co-director and the member of Organizing Committee of more than 20 International and AllUkrainian conferences and contests, I take part in team of Tempus project “Improving the Efficiency of Student Services” (2013/2014); have an experience of the co-director of NATO ARW (2012, Yerevan, Armenia), the member of Organizing Committee of NATO ASI (1997, Krakow, Poland). Please list any other special requests It would be perfect to have some soft: EViews or Statistica or Gretl. But EViews preferably.