Open Economy and Endogeneous Growth Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee Universität Mannheim April 13, 2015 last updated: April 12, 2015 Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 1 / 19 This Week and Next 1 Open economy with global capital market 2 Open economy with technology transfers 3 Quick discussion of endogenous growth 4 Quick recap of growth models 5 Transition to a model of development Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 2 / 19 Primer to Open Economy Using the Romer model, we will study technology transfers in an open economy A will be interpreted as some given world-wide technology frontier Technology comes from some worldwide research sector, or one (or few) leading research countries, with the other countries learning from the countries ahead But why care about an open economy...? Even if we do, why technology rather than capital investment? Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 3 / 19 Growth of World Trade Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 4 / 19 Openness and Growth Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 5 / 19 Growth in Closed Economies: Independence Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 6 / 19 Growth in Open Economies: Convergence Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 7 / 19 Simplest Model of Convergence 1 Use the original Solow model 2 Instead of solving for the BGP in a closed economy, think about international investment 3 World interest rate rW This means all countries must satisfy AL 1−α = αkˆ α−1 α K 1 α 1− α rW 1 α 1− α A(t) rW α α 1− α A(t) rW rW = kˆ ∗ = k∗ (t) = y∗ (t ) = Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 8 / 19 Convergence in What? Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 9 / 19 Implications 1 Openness seems to be more about technology than capital 2 We will think of technology transfers as learning skills, or human capital Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 10 / 19 Translating Technology as Human Capital Think again about Romer’s model, except Technology comes from some worldwide research sector, or one or a few leading research countries, with the other countries learning from the countries ahead A will be interpreted as some given world-wide technology frontier skills are required to use the technologies so the more skills that exist in an economy, the more types of intermediate goods people spend time learnings skills Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 11 / 19 Translating Technology as Human Capital so aggregate capital is now K (t) = Z h(t) 0 xj (t)dj and final goods production becomes Y = [(1 − u)L]1−α Z h 0 xjα dj = Kα [(1 − u)hL]1−α Essentially, up to now, we’re just replacing the A with h u is time spent learning, as before. Only now, it is time spend learning how to use technologies Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 12 / 19 Human Capital as Technological Skills Assume human capital growth as before, with a “technological” twist: h˙ = ψuAβ h1− β β h˙ A = ψu h h means technology itself isn’t sufficient for production - need the skills to use it technology affects learning as you advance toward learning higher technologies—i.e., as h approaches A—it’s harder to learn Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 13 / 19 BGP in Human Capital as Technology Model ˙ On a BGP, h/h must be constant, so A and h grow at the same rate: g so u∗ = Tim Lee (U Mannheim) g ψ h0 A0 Economic Growth β April 13, 2015 14 / 19 BGP in Human Capital as Technology Model Now the normalization is kˆ = K h(1 − u)L and the BGP solution is kˆ ∗ = ∗ y (t) = Tim Lee (U Mannheim) s n+g+δ 1 1− α s n+g+δ α 1− α ψu∗ g Economic Growth 1 β (1 − u∗ )A (t ) April 13, 2015 15 / 19 Some Conclusions Nice framework, because combines human capital and technology model technology is freely traded in open economy, growth is due to differences in skill rather than research c.f. Of course, we can view it as a closed economy and incorporate a research sector - that is your homework! Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 16 / 19 Endogenous Growth We have studied two types of “endogenous growth” models 1 “Endogenous growth” is a class of models in which the BGP growth rate depends on agents’ behavior 2 Human capital model: agents’ decision between work vs. education 3 Technological progress: agents’ decision between research vs. production Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 17 / 19 What causes endogenous growth? Remember that 1 Human capital production function with endogenous growth: h˙ = ψuh 2 ⇒ h˙ = ψu h Technology model only have endogenous growth when φ = 1: otherwise, the labor share in the research sector was irrelevant for long run growth (however, it did have level effects!) Why did one cause endogenous growth while the other didn’t? Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 18 / 19 Next Week 1 Review of Growth Models 2 Discussion of Development Model Tim Lee (U Mannheim) Economic Growth April 13, 2015 19 / 19
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