How to preserve and improve safety with tight maintenance budgets Fergus Tate

How to preserve and improve safety
with tight maintenance budgets
Fergus Tate
National Manager Traffic and Safety
November 2012
1
Introduction
Background
Objectives
A method for assessing the value of safety features
The role of delineation devices
Understanding Research
Context
Study types
2
Burdett and Nicholson
3
Elvik et al
4
Kloeden
400
350
Relative Risk
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Deviation from Mean Speed (km/h)
5
Sources
•Federal Highways Administration Crash Modification Factor
Clearinghouse (FHWA 2012)
•Austroad Road Safety Engineering Toolkit (Austroads, 2012a)
•Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments,
(Austroads, 2012b),
•The Handbook of Road Safety Measures (Elvik et al, 2009)
•TERNZ Delineation Benefit Calculator
6
Device and context
Post Mounted delineators in
general
Particularly on vertical and
horizontal curves
Edgelines on curves
Edgelines on straights
Edgelines on curves and straights
Centrelines
Crash reduction1
-4%
7%
Elvik et al
25%
FHWA4
30%
Austroads
26% to 33%
6%
3%
at higher crash locations
Edgelines centreline and post
mounted delineators
FHWA
FHWA
Elvik et al and FHWA2
8%
FHWA
30%
Austroads
1%
Elvik et al and FHWA3
33%
FHWA4
30% to 35%
Edgeline and centreline markings
Source2
Elvik et al and FHWA3
Austroads
24%
Elvik et al and FHWA3
14%
FHWA
Elvik et
FHWA3
45%
al
and
7
Research Context
What sort of study
•
Before and after
•
Cross sectional
What context
•
Measures
•
Road type
8
Key Crash Types
Other 11%
Run off road
51%
HeadOn
25%
Intersection
13%
9
Burdett and Nicholson
10
Delineation & Markings
Edgelines
Edge and Centreline
EMPs
Basic Tools -Hierarchy
Marker Post
Edge Lines
Provide information about alignment
ahead
Mark the edge of the carriageway
Define curves
Centre Lines
Add to curve definition
Keeps vehicle to the left
Chevrons
Provide high level positive guidance
Advanced Tools
Wide lines
Less subject to degradation
and wear additional day and
night time guidance
Increases reflected light
Brighter markings
RRPMs
Good night and wet weather
delineation
ATP
Increased reflectivity and
fatigue assistance
Pictures of access on curve
ATP
SH1
Treated
Adjacent
SH30
Standard
Markings
4000
400
3500
350
3000
300
2500
250
2000
200
1500
150
1000
100
500
50
0
0
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT)
1500
Cumulative Reported Crashes Per Year
Cumlative Kilometres of Highway
Run-off-road & Head-on Crashes
Length of Highway
Reported Fatal + Serious Injury Crashes
Reported Injury Crashes
19
Combined Treatments
Post mounted delineators (on curves)
Edgelines on curves
Centrelines
25%
30% (range 26% to 33%)
33%
20
Combined Treatments
Post mounted delineators (on curves)
Edgelines on curves
Centrelines
Total
25%
30% (range 26% to 33%)
33%
88%
21
Combined Treatments
Post mounted delineators (on curves)
Edgelines on curves
Centrelines
Total
CRFt
Where
CRFt
CRFn
So
CRFt
25%
30% (range 26% to 33%)
33%
88%
= 1- (1-CRF1)(1-CRF2)(1-CRF3)......(1- CRFn)
= total crash reduction
= individual crash reductions
= 1- (1-0.33)(1-0.30)(1-0.25)
= 0.65
22
Combined Treatments
Post mounted delineators (on curves)
Edgelines on curves
Centrelines
Total
CRFt
Where
CRFt
CRFn
So
CRFt
25%
30% (range 26% to 33%)
33%
88%
= 1- (1-CRF1)(1-CRF2)(1-CRF3)......(1- CRFn)
= total crash reduction
= individual crash reductions
= 1- (1-0.33)(1-0.30)(1-0.25)
= 0.65
Then take 2/3
0.65 x 0.67=0.43
23
Establishing the Benefits
AADT
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
Run-Off-Road
and Additional Crashes per year as a result of
Head-On Crashes/yr removing the following delineation devices
Centreline Edgeline Marker All three
With AADT All Injury
Posts
less than
Only
Only
(Fatal + Serious)
Cumulative
length
58
0.7
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.6
376
(0.3)
16.7
(0.1)
7.2
(0.1)
5.6
(0.1)
7.2
(0.2)
13.7
1536
(7.0)
30.0
(3.0)
12.9
(2.3)
10.0
(3.0)
12.9
(5.7)
24.5
2587
(13.0)
64.0
(5.6)
27.4
(4.3)
21.3
(5.6)
27.4
(10.6)
52.4
2343
(23.0)
173.3
(9.9)
74.3
(7.7)
57.8
(9.9)
74.3
(18.8)
141.8
3938
(56.0)
241.3
(24.0)
103.4
(18.7)
80.4
(24.0)
103.4
(45.8)
197.4
(76.7)
(32.9)
(25.6)
(32.9)
24
(62.8)
Summary
•
Understand the role or function of the devices
•
Ensure a range of research is consulted
•
Understand, the research type, quality and
context
•
Not focus on individual sections of highway
25