9/22/2010 TWO-SAMPLE T TEST VARIANCE TEST INTRO TO JMP Dr. Yan Liu Department of Biomedical, Industrial and Human Factors Engineering Wright State University Two-Sample t-Test Used to determine whether two population means are equal Variations Paired samples vs. unpaired samples In paired samples, there is a one-to-one correspondence between the values in the two samples. That is, for two random samples X1 = {x11, x12 , …, x1n} and X2 = {x21, x22 , …, x2n} x1i corresponds to x2i (i=1,2,…,n). In this case, the difference, x1i– x2i is usually tested. If we can define Y = X1 – X2 , then it becomes a one-sample t-test for Y in which µ0 = 0 In unpaired samples, there is no one-to-one correspondence between the values in the two samples Equal variances vs. unequal variances of samples The variances of the two samples may be assumed to be equal or unequal Equal variances yield a simpler formula than unequal variances 2 1 9/22/2010 Two-Sample t-Test (Cont’d) Assumption Null Hypothesis X1 and X2 are two random samples of independent observations, each from an underlying normal distribution N(µi,σi2), where i =1, 2 H0: µ1 = µ2 Alternative Hypothesis H1: µ1 ≠ µ2, or H1: µ1 < µ2 , or H1: µ1 > µ2 3 Two-Sample t-Test (Cont’d) The formula for the unpaired two-sample t-test is X1 − X 2 t= S12 df = / n1 + S 22 / n2 If t is “near” zero, then it is consistent with (1) t ~ t ( df ) the null hypothesis; otherwise, it is not. Standard error (SE) ( S12 / n1 + S 22 / n2 ) 2 ( S12 / n1 ) 2 /( n1 −1) + ( S 22 / n2 ) 2 /( n2 −1) (2) S1 , S 2 are the sample standard deviations of X1 and X2 , respectively n1 , n 2 are the sample sizes of X1 and X2 , respectively If equal variances are assumed, then (1) reduces to t= X1 − X 2 S p 1 / n1 +1 / n2 (3), where Sp = ( n1 −1) S12 + ( n2 −1) S 22 n1 + n2 − 2 If n1 = n2 = n, then S = p S12 + S 22 2 If equal variance are assumed, then (2) reduces to df = n1 + n2 − 2 (4) 4 2 9/22/2010 Search Interface Example I. You want to compare the effectiveness of two search interfaces – A vs. B. You have recruited 8 students for the experiment, each of whom perform 5 predetermined search tasks on each of the two interfaces. The following table shows the students’ task performance scores in the experiment Interface S1 S2 S3 Student S4 S5 S6 S7 S8 A 5 4 2 3 2 1 5 4 B 4 3 2 2 2 1 3 3 This is a Paired Two-Sample Two-Sided T Test 5 Let X = (a student’s performance score in interface A) − (his performance score in interface B ). Student Let µ1 denote the mean of X S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 S6 S7 S8 H 0: µ 1 = µ 0 = 0 H1: µ1 ≠ µ0 = 0 Interface A B X 5 4 1 4 3 1 2 2 0 3 2 1 2 2 0 1 1 0 5 3 2 4 3 1 Set α = 0.05, then the critical values are t0.025(7) = 2.365 and -t0.025(7) = -2.365 and the critical region is t ≥ 2.365 or t ≤ -2.365 X = 0.75, S X = S X n = 0.707 8 = 0.25 t = XS−Xµ0 = 0.075.25−0 = 3 > 2.365 So we can reject the null hypothesis that interfaces A and B have the same effectiveness, i.e., there is evidence to support that interfaces A and B differ in their effectiveness We can also estimate the p-value using the t-distribution table, p ≈ 0.02 6 3 9/22/2010 Search Interface Example II. You want to compare the effectiveness of two search interfaces – A vs. B. You have recruited 16 students for the experiment, each of whom perform 5 predetermined search tasks on only one of the two interfaces. In particular, 8 students perform the tasks on A, the other 8 on B. The following table shows the students’ task performance scores in the experiment Interface A B 5 4 4 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 5 3 4 3 This is an (Unpaired) Two-Sample Two-Sided T Test 7 Let X1 and X2 represent the performance scores of the students from groups A and B, respectively. Let µ1 denote the mean of X1, and µ2 denote the mean of X2 H0: µ1 = µ2 H1: µ1 ≠ µ2 X 1 = 3.75, S1 = 1.488, X 2 = 2.5, S 2 = 0.926 Assuming the equal variances, we can calculate df = n1 + n2 – 2 = 8+8-2 = 14 Set α = 0.05, then the critical value t0.025(14) = 2.145. In other words, the critical region is t ≤ -2.145 or t ≥ 2.145 S12 +S22 2 Sp = t=S = X1 − X 2 p 1/ n1 +1/ n2 (1.488)2 +(0.926)2 2 =1.239 = 1.2393.⋅751−/28.+51/ 8 = 2.018 < 2.145 So you cannot reject the null hypothesis that the two search interfaces have the same effectiveness We can also estimate the p-value using the t-distribution table, 0.05<p<0.1 8 4 9/22/2010 Advantages of Paired Comparison Design Test is more sensitive when using paired comparison design compared to using unpaired comparison design Removing the extraneous variables due to variations across different experimental units Search Interface Example . The effect of the variations across different students is removed in the paired design (example I) but not in the unpaired design (example (II) For the same sample size (the number of replicates in each experiment condition), paired comparison design requires fewer experimental units Search Interface Example . 8 students are used in the paired design, but 16 students are used in the unpaired design. 9 Chi-Square One-Sample Variance Test Test whether the variance of a normal distribution is equal to some specific value H0: σ 2 = σ 02 H1: σ 2 ≠ σ 02 or σ 2 < σ 02 or σ 2 > σ 02 Chi-square test for testing the hypotheses is χ 2 = σSS = (n−σ1) S 2 0 2 0 2 χ 2 ~ χ 2 (n −1) If the χ2 statistics calculated from the data falls within the critical region, then reject H0; otherwise, cannot reject H0 and favor H1 10 5 9/22/2010 Table 2.7 α χ2 Distribution 11 Equipment Variance Test Example I. A chemical engineer wants to examine whether the variance of a piece of test equipment is different from the average variance of other similar test equipment in the industry (which is 15). For the study, a random sample of 10 observations of the test equipment is taken, and the sample variance of the observations S2 = 14.5 H0: σ 2 = σ 02 = 15 H1: σ 2 ≠ σ 02 Set α = 0.05, then the critical values are χ20.025(9) = 19.02 and χ20.975(9) = 2.70 . In other words, the critical region is χ2 < 2.70 or χ2 > 19.02 2 .5 χ 2 = ( n−σ1) S = 9⋅14 = 8.7 15 2 0 Because the χ2 statistics calculated from the data does not fall within the critical region, we cannot reject H0 12 6 9/22/2010 Equipment Variance Test Example II. A chemical engineer wants to examine whether the variance of a piece of test equipment is less than the average variance of other similar test equipment in the industry (which is 15). For the study, a random sample of 10 observations of the test equipment is taken, and the sample variance of the observations S2 = 14.5 H0: σ 2 = σ 02 = 15 H1: σ 2 < σ 02 Set α = 0.05, then the critical value is χ20.95(9) = 3.33. In other words, the critical region is χ2 < 3.33 2 .5 χ 2 = ( n−σ1) S = 9⋅14 = 8.7 > 3.33 15 2 0 Because the χ2 statistics calculated from the data does not fall within the critical region, we cannot reject H0 13 Two-Sample Variance Test Test whether the variances of two normal distributions are equal H0: σ 12 = σ 22 H1: σ 12 ≠ σ 22 or σ 12 < σ 22 or σ 2 > σ 22 1 F test for testing the hypotheses is S12 F = S 2 F ~ F (n1 −1, n2 −1) 2 If the F statistics calculated from the data falls within the critical region, then reject H0; otherwise, cannot reject H0 and favor H1 14 7 9/22/2010 Table 2.7 (Cont’d) F1−α (v1 , v2 ) = 1 / Fα (v2 , v1 ) F Distribution 15 Two Equipment Variances Test Example I. A chemical engineer wants to test whether the variances of two types of test equipment are the same. For the test, a random samples of 10 observations is taken for each of the two types of equipment, and the sample variances of the two samples are S12 = 14.5 and S22 = 10.8 H0: σ12 = σ 22 H1: σ12 ≠ σ 22 Set α = 0.05, then the critical values are F0.025(9,9) = 4.03 and F0.975(9,9) = 1/4.03 = 0.248. In other words, the critical region is F < 0.248 or F > 4.03 S12 F = S 2 = 14.5 / 10.8 = 1.34 2 Because the F statistics calculated from the data does not fall within the critical region, we cannot reject H0 16 8 9/22/2010 JMP 8 Quick References 17 Normality Check Search Interface Example 18 9
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