Highlights for October 10, 2014 Charts EUR/CAD Chart USD/CAD Chart

Highlights for
October 10, 2014
The IMF warns the BoJ to manage the expectations of the markets in terms of their inflation target.
Australian housing numbers continue to slide.
Industrial Production were mixed in Europe.
Canadian jobs print much higher than expected for the month of September.
Charts
EUR/CAD Chart
USD/CAD Chart
1.14
1.55
1.12
1.50
1.10
1.45
1.08
NYM Light Crude futures
Commodities
TSX
14460.6
Gold
1223.75
DOW 16659.25
Silver
17.3
S&P500
1928.21
Copper
3.028
Nasdaq 4378.336
Wheat
572.75
Today's Expected USD/CAD Range:
3-Oct
19-Sep
5-Sep
22-Aug
8-Aug
25-Jul
Energy
Brent Crude
WTI Crude
Natural Gas
Heating Oil
1.1150-1.1250
90.41
85.71
3.845
2.5366
3-Oct
19-Sep
5-Sep
22-Aug
8-Aug
25-Jul
11-Jul
27-Jun
13-Jun
30-May
16-May
16000
15500
15000
14500
14000
13500
2-May
9-Oct
6-Oct
3-Oct
30-Sep
27-Sep
24-Sep
21-Sep
18-Sep
15-Sep
12-Sep
9-Sep
11-Jul
S&P/TSX
100
95
90
85
80
75
Indices
27-Jun
13-Jun
30-May
2-May
3-Oct
19-Sep
5-Sep
22-Aug
8-Aug
25-Jul
11-Jul
27-Jun
13-Jun
1.30
30-May
1.02
16-May
1.35
2-May
1.04
16-May
1.40
1.06
FX Rates
USD/CAD
EUR/CAD
GBP/CAD
JPY/CAD
CLOSE
1.1173
1.4175
1.8008
0.01036
SPOT
1.1177
1.4125
1.7916
96.50
 FED Yellen says it's too early to start reversing policy, economy not strong enough.
 JPY stronger after 6.6 earthquake 35 miles from TEPCO's damaged nuclear plants.
Daily Market Commentary
Good Morning,
Global equities continued to slide overnight as major Asian indices all closed down on the day. More skepticism on
whether or not the BoJ can reach a target inflation of 2% as the IMF urged the Central Bank to be pragmatic about the
outlook. The IMF warned that the Bank would need to manage the expectations of the markets if they are unrealistic
about reaching their target. Many board members of the BoJ have echoed that Governor Kuroda needs to take out the
policy statement where there is a set timeframe for reaching the inflation rate of 2%. Most recently Governor Kuroda
sees the bank of possibly achieving the target during the fiscal year starting April 2015.
Australian data continues to shows signs of weakness as home loans for August dropped unexpectedly. The number
of home loan commitments (owner-occupiers) fell by -0.9% (mkt +0.2%, TD flat) to be +4.4%/yr. Loans for established
properties fell -1.1%, a sector that determines house price movements but doesn’t add to supply. Loans for
construction fell -0.8% and lending to buy new homes rose by +2.5%/mth, the fourth consecutive increase. AUDUSD
has been the worst performer today trading from 0.8780 opening level down to 0.8710 lows where we remain
now. Big support level now comes in around 0.8650/60 which is where the yearly double bottom comes in.
EURUSD opened the London session around 1.27 with a bias to sell rallies. We traded down to 1.2650 area and since
rebounded slightly back to 1.2670 EU data today included French IP figures which came in much stronger than what
was suggested by the weakness in Germany and across much of the rest of Europe (0% vs -0.3% exp). The
manufacturing side was a touch softer at -0.2%, but better than we had feared. The main news will continue to be
comments from the IMF meetings in Washington as Draghi once again speaks in the late afternoon.
The main headline out of North America this morning has been the blowout employment numbers in Canada, as they
added over 74K jobs for the past month. Markets were expecting a print of 20K while the unemployment rate fell to
6.8%. The loonie traded higher against the mighty dollar by 40 bps after the strong release. Further gains in CAD
continues to be buffered by weak commodity prices and the very nature of the volatile jobs numbers over the past
few prints. There is no tier one data out of the U.S. this morning and the currencies are likely to respond to talking
heads out of the G20 Finance Ministers meetings.
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