Morning Buzz Tuesday, 20 January 2015 TODAY’S HEADLINE STI INDEX (PREVIOUS DAY CLOSE) 3,307.70 (0.21%) INFLATION EXPECTATIONS LOWEST IN 3 YEARS Singapore's inflation expectations have plummeted to their lowest levels in three years, due to sliding oil prices and shaky global growth. Coupled with an anticipated increase in benchmark interest rates, consumers polled in December now expect overall inflation to stand at 3.53 per cent this year, according to the latest Singapore Index of Inflation Expectations (SInDEx) by the Singapore Management University (SMU). Vol (mil): 1,444.2 / Val (S$ mil): 908.7 MAJOR STOCK INDICES Close DJ Ind Avg S & P 500 Nasdaq Comp Hang Seng % Chge 17,511.57 1.10% 2,019.42 1.34% 4,634.38 1.39% 23,738.49 -1.51% COMMODITIES Gold (SPOT) US$ / oz Oil (NYMEX CWTI) US$ / bbl Baltic Dry Index Close % Chge 1,275.49 -0.01% 47.58 -2.28% 739.00 -0.27% This is not only lower than their previous one-year inflation expectation of 3.73 per cent recorded in September last year, it is also below the historical headline and fourth quarter inflation expectations averages of 4.11 per cent and 4.08 per cent, respectively. Still, the latest 3.53 per cent figure is higher than the official headline inflation forecast of 0.5-1.5 per cent in 2015. Derived from an online poll of 500 consumers, the latest SInDEx report - originally developed by SKBI in collaboration with MasterCard International - also found that the public now expects a lower rate of core inflation, which excludes accommodation and private transport costs. Expectations for core inflation this year have dropped to 3.61 per cent, from 3.95 per cent last September. Both the overall and core inflation expectations are at their lowest levels since the SInDEx survey started in September 2011. Indeed, Minister for Trade and Industry Lim Hng Kiang noted in Parliament on Monday that the sharp fall in global oil prices - from a peak of US$115 per barrel to around US$50 per barrel - "will translate to lower electricity tariffs and fuel costs, which will directly benefit businesses and consumers". EXCHANGE RATES The Department of Statistics will announce the inflation rate for December this Friday. The 18 economists polled by Bloomberg expect headline inflation to remain in negative territory - albeit barely at -0.1 per cent. USD : SGD 1.3334 / MYR : SGD 0.3734 NEWS BUZZ INTEREST RATES 3-mth Sibor 0.638% SGS (10yr) 1.823% Source: Bloomberg AmFraser Research Team www.amfraserdirect.com.sg China Everbright Water: Places out 120.7m new shares at S$0.94 each M1: Record full-year net profit S$175.8m Mapletree Logistics Trust: Q3 DPU slightly higher at 1.87 cents Keppel Reit: Fourth quarter DPU drops to 1.51 Singapore cents AmFraser Securities Pte Ltd Page 1 Please see important disclosures at the end of this publication AmFraser Tuesday, 20 January 2015 News Buzz China Everbright Water (S$1.035) Places out 120.7m new shares at S$0.94 each China Everbright Water is placing out 120.7mil new shares at S$0.94 each to raise S$113.4mil to International Finance Corp (IFC), a member of the World Bank, and RRJ Capital, which focuses on private equity investments in China and South-East Asia. M1 (S$3.620) Record full-year net profit S$175.8m M1 reported a 9.9% increase in 4Q profit to S$44.5mil, capping off a year of record net profit while operating revenue stood at S$1.08bil, a 6.8% increase for the full year ended Dec 31, 2014. EPS for the group stood at 4.8 Singapore cents for the quarter, up from 4.4 Singapore cents. The group declared a final cash dividend of 11.9 Singapore cents per share. Mapletree Logistics Trust (S$1.230) Q3 DPU slightly higher at 1.87 cents Mapletree Logistics Trust reported a DPU of 1.87 Singapore cents for its 3Q ended Dec 2014. This came on the back of a 2.7% increase in its total amount distributable to unitholders to S$46.19mil. Gross revenue rose 6.2% to S$82.92mil, helped by contribution from six properties acquired in China, Singapore, Malaysia and South Korea during this financial year, as well as from Mapletree Benoi Logistics Hub and higher revenue from its existing assets. Net property income went up 3.1% to S$69.48mil. The distribution will be paid on Feb 27. Keppel Reit (S$1.230) Fourth quarter DPU drops to 1.51 Singapore cents Keppel Reit has posted DPU of 1.51 Singapore cents for the 4Q ended Dec 31, 2014, down from 1.97 cents in the same year-ago period. Net property income eased 8.3% to S$34.25mil - due mainly to the absence of contribution from Prudential Tower. Keppel Reit's NAV per unit stood at S$1.41 as at Dec 31, 2014. Source: The Business Times / Bloomberg / Straits Times AmFraser Securities Pte Ltd Page 2 AmFraser Tuesday, 20 January 2015 Corporate Action Dividends Company Results Period Ann Date SPH REIT Cambridge Industrial Trust DPS Share Price 19-Jan-15 Yield (%) Ex-Date Book Close Payable 12-Jan-15 1H15 SGD 0.013300 16-Jan-15 20-Jan-15 13-Feb-15 SGD 1.065 1.2 16-Jan-15 FY14 SGD 0.012520 22-Jan-15 26-Jan-15 27-Feb-15 SGD 0.680 1.8 Fraser and Neav e 13-Nov -14 FY14 SGD 0.030000 3-Feb-15 5-Feb-15 16-Feb-15 SGD 2.710 1.1 Frasers Centrepoint 12-Nov -14 FY14 SGD 0.062000 3-Feb-15 5-Feb-15 16-Feb-15 SGD 1.670 3.7 * Include Ordinary, Cash, Special, Bonus, Variable and Base Rights & Bonus Issues Company Rights Issue Ex-Date Book Close Swiber Holdings 1 Rts Share @ S$0.15 each Rts share for every 2 shares held 6-Jan-15 Yoma Strategic Holdings 1 Rts Share @ S$0.38 each Rts share for every 3 existing ord shares held 12-Jan-15 Right Trading Period From To 8-Jan-15 13-Jan-15 21-Jan-15 14-Jan-15 19-Jan-15 27-Jan-15 Source: SGX Annoucement Buyout Company Offer Price CH Offshore Remarks Closing Date Offeror SGD 0.495 Cash 5.30 p.m. on 26 January 2015 Energian Pte. Ltd. euNetworks Group SGD 1.16 Cash 5.30 p.m. on 30 January 2015 EUN Holdings, LLP UE E&C SGD 1.25 Cash 5.30 p.m. on 28 January 2015 Universal EC Investments Pte. Ltd. Source: SGX Annoucement AmFraser Securities Pte Ltd Page 3 AmFraser Tuesday, 20 January 2015 Financial Calendar Monday Tuesday 19-Jan Q3: Mapletree Logistics Trust Q4: Keppel Infras Trust / Keppel REIT / M1 Wednesday 20-Jan Q3: Mapletree Industrial Trust Q4: Keppel Telecoms & Tpt Thursday 21-Jan Q2: Spore Exchange Friday 22-Jan Q1: Frasers Commercial Trust Q3: Mapletree Commercial Trust Q4: CapitaCommercial Trust / Keppel Land / Sabana Shari'ah / Soilbuild Biz Space 26-Jan 27-Jan Q3: CitySpring Infrastructure / Mapletree Greater China Q4: Cache Logistics Trust / OUE Hospitality Trust / Starhill Global REIT Q3: Ascendas REIT Q4: Ascott Residence Trust / Keppel Corp / Suntec REIT Q1: Frasers Centrepoint Trust Q4: CapitaMall Trust 28-Jan Q4: CDL Hospitality Trusts 29-Jan Q3: AIMS AMP Capital / SMRT Corp Q4: CapitaRetail China Trust / Tuan Sing Frasers Hospitality Trust ( For the period 14 Jul to 31 Dec 14) Q3: Ascendas India Trust SG (Dec 2014): CPI SG: 4Q14 Real Estate Statistics *Q4: Fortune REIT / Lonza Grp SG (Dec 2014): Index of Industrial Production 23-Jan 30-Jan SG (Dec 2014): Unemployment Rate & Employment Q4: Global Premium Hotels Q4: OUE Commercial REIT 2-Feb-15 3-Feb Q4: Osim Int'l 4-Feb 5-Feb Q3: Global Logistics Properties Q3: SATS 6-Feb Q3: Spore Airlines Q4: Great Eastern Hldgs 9-Feb 10-Feb 11-Feb Q2: Ellipsiz Q3: Valuetronics Q4: OCBC ( Before mkt open) / Utd Overseas Insurance Q4: Vicom Q4: DBS (Before mkt open) Q2: Croesus Retail Trust 16-Feb SG: Prices of Private Residential Units Sold by Developers 17-Feb 12-Feb Q4: China Aviation Oil / Sembcorp Marine / Starburst Hldgs / Wilmar Int'l 13-Feb Q2: Olam Int'l Q4: Hi-P Int'l / Utd Overseas Bank 18-Feb 19-Feb 20-Feb Q4: Sembcorp Industries Q4: Challenger Technologies / City Devpts / COSCO Corp / Rowsley Chinese New Year Chinese New Year * Tentative Source: Company; Bloomberg AmFraser Securities Pte Ltd Page 4 AmFraser Tuesday, 20 January 2015 Disclaimer This report is prepared by AmFraser Securities Pte Ltd (“AmFraser”), which is a holder of a capital markets services licence and an exempt financial adviser in Singapore. 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