Epigenetics and Developmental Origins of Health and Disease Caroline Relton Institute of Genetic Medicine Newcastle University, UK Aim • To highlight important issues relating to the epidemiological investigation of epigenetic mechanisms in the context of developmental origins of health and disease Overview • Change over time in the epigenome • Evidence for the influence of early life exposures on the epigenome • Inter-generational exposure versus trans-generational effects • Persistent versus transient epigenetic change • Temporal relationships • The problem of confounding in a DOHaD context Epigenetic mechanisms and developmental programming Many diseases of maturity have their origins early in life Rheumatoid arthritis Obesity Hypertension Early development Ischaemic heart disease Diabetes mellitus Stroke The dynamic epigenome Germline Parental genomic epimutation demethylation Epigenetic drift / somatic epimutation Developmental epigenetic programming Waterland RA. Nutr Rev 2008 Age 5 Age 10 • 3 gene loci analysed (DRD4, SERT, MAOA) • 46 MZ twin pairs • 45 DZ twin pairs • Total n = 182 • Sampled at 5 and 10 years • [Modest] differences observed between genetically identical individuals • Variation not consistent across all loci Age-related change in methylation Manhattan plot showing association between methylation at individual CpG sites and chronological age. Plotted are P-values indicating strength of association between DNA methylation levels at >27 000 CpG sites and age in cerebellum (purple), frontal cortex (green), pons (blue) and temporal cortex (red). For each point, a positive association between DNA methylation and chronological age is indicated by upward pointing triangles; a negative association is indicated by downward pointing triangles. Note! p-values give no indication of magnitude of change Hernandez DG et al. Hum Mol Genet 2011 Studies linking early life exposures to changes in DNA methylation using animal models Early life exposure Animal model Epigenetic change Disease association Maternal nutrition Low Protein Rat, Mouse, and DNA methylation, and histone Pig acetylation and histone methylation Calorie restriction Sheep, Rat DNA methylation, histone acetylation and histone methylation Obesity, Diabetes Periconceptional restriction B12, folate, methionine Sheep Altered DNA methylation Obesity High fat Macaque, Mouse and DNA methylation, and histone acetylation and and histone methylation Obesity Rat Altered DNA methylation, histone acetylation Diabetes Mouse DNA methylation Diabetes Mouse DNA methylation Obesity Rat Rat DNA methylation Hyperacetylation Obesity Diabetes Avy mouse DNA methylation Obesity Genistein supplementation +FA Avy mouse DNA methylation Obesity Protein restriction + FA Rat Prevented or reversed hypomethylation Obesity Obesity Surgical models IUGR ( uterine artery ligation) Environmental toxin Arsenic Paternal effect Low protein Neonatal diet Leptin treatment Extendin-4 Reversal with folic acid Methyl supplementation Seki Y et al. Endocrinology 2012 The component parts of a gene Enhancer Promoter Transcription factor binding sites Transcription start site Exon Intron Gene body Enhancer Promoter Environmentally induced epigenetic changes to promoter-enhancer interaction • Sub-optimal nutrition in early life modifies a promoter-enhancer interaction at the Hnf4 locus • Role in fetal pancreatic development • Implicated in type 2 diabetes aetiology • Modest impact upon DNA methylation • Pronounced effects upon histone marks Sandovici I et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2011 Dietary influences on epigenetic variance in isogenic mice Methylation levels are unchanged after methyl donor supplementation Whole-genome 5methylcytosine (m5C) content in liver DNA from control, F1 supplemented and F6 supplemented mice Li CC et al PLoS Genetics 2011 Methyl donor supplementation increases epigenetic variation in exposed mice Pseudo three-dimensional plot showing PCA of microarray data from control and F1 and F6 supplemented mice. The ellipsoids around the PCA scores of each group were determined by standard deviations, so that their size is indicative of the overall variance within the group. Li CC et al. PLoS Genetics 2011 Evidence from human studies Trans-generational effects vs inter-generational exposure • DOHaD is largely concerned with inter-generational exposure i.e. exposure of the developing fetus whilst in utero via dietary, lifestyle and behavioural exposures to the mother • A lack of clarity in the literature has led to mis-interpretation of inter-generational exposures as trans-generational effects i.e. those inherited through altered germ line epigenetics • Interest in epigenetics in the context of evolution, adaptation and selection means language is used across disciplines but with differing definitions and in different contexts • Trans-generational effects are likely to play an extremely small role in disease pathogenesis Genome Res 2010; 2(12): 1623-8. Int J Epidemiol 2012; 41(1): 236-47. Persistence versus transient epigenetic changes • Metabolic programming …the concept that a stimulus or insult operating at a critical or sensitive period of development could result in a long-standing or lifelong effect on the structure or function of the organism. Methylation change Lucas A. Human milk and infant feeding. In: Battaglia F, Boyd R, eds. Perinatal medicine. London: Butterworths, 1983:172–200. Persistent Transient Time • Acute or chronic exposure • Long term epigenetic change required • Transient epigenetic change with lasting physiological impact • Implications for the age of population studied and the inferences that can be made Temporal relationships between exposures and epigenetic patterns • The DOHaD paradigm is based upon the premise of a temporal relationship between exposure (in early life) and an outcome (later in the life course) • Longitudinal studies can assist in defining whether methylation changes occur before the onset of phenotype • HOWEVER, a temporal relationship does not necessarily infer causation (but it helps) • Confounding structures within data can persist across the lifecourse Temporal relationships in epigenetics: the problem of confounding Debbie Lawlor Centre for Causal Analyses in Translational Epidemiology University of Bristol, UK Confounding • Affects / is associated with exposure • Affects outcome • Is not on the causal pathway between exposure and outcome • Fools (confounds) us into believing an association is causal • Can distort associations in either direction e.g. smoking may mask (negative confounding) a stronger effect of BMI on CHD Confounding Confounders e.g. Dietary fat Cigarette smoking Physical activity Risk / protective factor Disease outcome e.g. Vitamin C e.g. CHD What this means • If interested in best causal estimate must: • Have knowledge of all possible confounders • Measure these accurately • Correctly control for them (e.g. correctly modelled in multivariable analyses) • Ideally, should be measured before (or at same time) as exposure – since to confound the confounder had to influence the exposure & outcome • But also need to understand plausible confounding / causal pathways – e.g. smoking as confounder between birthweight & CHD Offspring smoking in later life Maternal smoking in pregnancy Lower birth weight Increased CHD Good causal evidence that: - Smoking in pregnancy causes low birth weight - Parental smoking increases the likelihood of offspring (own) smoking - Smoking causally increases the risk of CHD So the association of lower birth weight with increased CHD could be confounded by a pathway from maternal smoking through offspring smoking to their CHD Note: maternal pregnancy smoking occurs BEFORE the lower birth weight (exposure) Ideally to capture this confounding pathway fully one would want accurately measured maternal pregnancy smoking and offspring smoking in later life. But many historical cohorts do not have data on smoking in pregnancy, in which case adjusting only for offspring smoking is better than no adjustment, even though offspring smoking occurs after birth weight Difficulties in controlling confounding • Unmeasured confounding • Very difficult to measure all factors associated with both treatment and outcome (confounders from across the life course) • Residual confounding • If confounders are measured with error then they won’t be fully controlled in regression models • ‘Associational world’: difficult to think of every possible confounder and include in statistical model • May model confounders incorrectly Associational World 96 non-genetic traits* Pair-wise associations Expected significant at p < 0.01 Observed significant at p < 0.01 P for null: observed = expected 4560 45.6 (1%) 2036 (45%) < 0.000001 Including traits from across the life course e.g. birth weight, childhood social class, leg length (marker of childhood nutrition) associated with various adult ‘risk factors’ including HRT use, serum vitamin C & E levels etc. Davey Smith G, Lawlor DA, Harbord R et al, PLoS-Med 2007 Real / sensitivity analyses • Characteristics with ‘small’ associations in data driven confounder selection often excluded from final model • Sensitivity analyses examine how strong one potential confounder would need to be related to exposure and outcome to nullify the best adjusted association • BUT the more plausible situation is that many many confounders from across the life course, each with ‘small’ association combine to produce a big confounding effect Difference between top and bottom ¼ Vit C Independent OR for CHD Predicted OR comparing top to bottom ¼ Vit C Child NM social class 9.5 0.79 0.98 Child car access 7.6 0.75 0.98 Full time education > 18 11.3 0.65 0.95 Adult NM social class 17.0 0.77 0.96 Not living in council house 1.5 0.64 0.99 Adult car access 13.2 0.77 0.97 State plus other pension 12.3 0.88 0.99 None smoker 11.2 0.68 0.96 Regular activity 11.8 0.67 0.95 Low fat diet 6.2 0.63 0.97 High fibre diet 2.2 0.86 0.99 Not obese 10.4 0.76 0.97 Reg. Moderate alcohol 11.1 0.80 0.98 0.095 0.75 0.97 0.19 0.55 0.89 Leg length per cm FEV1 per litre Total confounding effect 0.60 Observed vitamin C - CHD association in a cohort and an RCT HR (95%CI) incident CHD per 15.7µmol/l Cohort no adjustment Cohort adult confounder adjustment Cohort adult & childhood confounder adjustment RCT 0.88 (0.80, 0.97) 0.90 (0.82, 0.99) 0.96 (0.85, 1.05) 1.02 (0.94, 1.11) • 15.7µmol/l – is the difference in vitamin C achieved in the RCT by supplementation • Associations in the cohort study progressively attenuate from 12% reduction per dose to 4% reduction as go from no adjustment to adjustment for all available confounders from childhood and adulthood • Given ‘associational world’ cannot be certain that residual confounding remains • Well conducted RCTs will not be confounded because randomisation breaks the association of confounder with exposure (so do not need to measure all confounders) … back to … Caroline Relton Institute of Genetic Medicine Newcastle University, UK Epidemiological strategies for strengthening causality in a DOHaD context • Observed associations between an exposure/DNA methylation and DNA methylation/outcome represent a first step in identifying a robust mechanistic pathway • Additional strategies can be applied using epidemiological approaches – Replication in an independent sample – Cohort comparison, in particular where the second cohort is not subject to the same confounding influences – Paternal versus maternal associations to decipher true in utero effects – Using genetic proxies for exposure and/or methylation levels (Mendelian randomization) • As well as other tools – More details later Using genetic information Diabetes 2012; 61(2): 391-400 TACSTD2 SNP Postnatal growth TACSTD2 methylation TACSTD2 expression Childhood adiposity Differential gene expression and DNA methylation are associated with postnatal growth and childhood adiposity 0-12 weeks Differential postnatal growth 11 years Adiposity n = 20 Rho = 0.44 p = 0.061 Differential gene expression n = 20 Rho = -0.55 p = 0.016 Differential gene methylation n = 91 Rho = -0.22 p = 0.037 Reverse causation and confounding • Are changes in methylation caused by childhood phenotype? • Are changes in methylation caused by early growth patterns? 0-12 weeks Differential postnatal growth 11 years Adiposity Differential gene expression Differential gene methylation Summary • Evidence suggests that epigenetic processes are likely to play a role in developmental programming • Animal evidence is more compelling than human • Care is required not to confuse inter-generational exposure with trans-generational inheritance • We know little about the persistence of epigenetic marks • Identifying the role of epigenetic processes in the context of developmental programming faces all of the same challenges as other epidemiological analyses • Temporal relationships between exposure, mediator and outcome are a pre-requisite but not a guarantee of an un-confounded association References • Waterland RA. Epigenetic epidemiology of obesity: application of epigenomic technology. Nutr Rev 2008; 66 (Suppl 1): S21-3. • Wong C et al. A longitudinal study of epigenetic variation in twins. Epigenetics 2010; 5(6): 516-26. • Hernandez DG et al. Distinct DNA methylation changes highly correlated with chronological age in the human brain. Hum Mol Genet 2011; 20(6): 1164-72. • Seki Y et al. Minireview: Epigenetic programming of diabetes and obesity: Animal models. Endocrinology 2012; 153(3): 1031-8. • Sandovici et al. Maternal diet and aging alter the epigenetic control of a promoter-enhancer interaction at the Hnf4a gene in rat pancreatic islets. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2011; 108(13): 5449-54. • Li CC et al. A sustained dietary change increases epigenetic variation in isogenic mice. PLoS Genet 2011; 7(4): e1001380. • Tobi EW et al. Prenatal famine and genetic variation are independently and additively associated with DNA methylation and regulatory loci within IGF2/H19. PLoS ONE 2012; 7(5); e37933. • Relton CL et al. DNA methylation patterns in cord blood DNA and body size in childhood. PLoS ONE 2012; 7(3): e31821. • Godfrey KM et al. Epigenetic gene promoter methylation at birth is associated with child’s later adiposity. Diabetes 2011;60(5):1528-34. • McKay JA et al. Genetic and non-genetic influences during pregnancy on infant global and site specific DNA methylation: role for folate variants and vitamin B12. PLoS ONE 2012; 7(3): e33290. • Groom A et al. Postnatal growth and DNA methylation are associated with differential gene expression of the TACSTD2 gene and childhood fat mass. Diabetes 2012; 61(2): 391-400. • Daxinger L, Whitelaw E. Transgenerational epigenetic inheritance: more questions than answers. Genome Res 2010; 2(12): 1623-8. • Davey Smith G. Epigenesis for epidemiologists: does evo-devo have implications for population health research and practice. Int J Epidemiol 2012;41(1):236-47. • Davey Smith G et al. 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