February 6, 2015 Global Markets Research Weekly Market Highlights Macroeconomics Weekly Performance Macro Currency Equity ↓ EU ↓ ↔ UK ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ US ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ Hong Kong ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ Singapore ↑ ↑ ↔ Japan Malaysia China A number of data releases next week served as gauge of confidence level in the economy, from small business optimism in the US to NAB business confidence in Australia. Closer to home, Malaysia IPI, CPI and GDP for 4Q. Inflation and growth will likely be weigh down by lower oil prices and weaker external demand. ↑ ↑ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↑ ↓ ↑ ↓ Weekly MYR Performance Forex MYR vs Major Counterparts (% WOW) MYR rallied for 2 consecutive days on moderate rebound in oil prices to strengthen 1.50% WOW against USD at 3.5742. MYR also advanced against 7 G10s. With oil prices again showing signs of weakness, coupled with downside risks from expectedly softer Malaysian data (IPI and GDP), we reckon MYR will again be on the defensive next week. Having said that, there is scope for some recovery in early week if USD turns south on disappointment in US employment data tonight. At current levels, the pullback that we have been rooting for is likely run its course, but we do caution the chance of further strength on breach of 3.5200. USD fell against all G10s while the Dollar Index pulled back to a 2-week low of 93.52 following a run of softer US data at the start of the week coupled with an advance risk appetite, dampening demand. We view that there is a risk of more downsides in USD, starting with tonight’s US employment reports, that could trigger further downward momentum into next week. On the longer term, we maintain a slight bullish view on USD, affirmed by the Fed that has shown no signs of dampening markets expectation of a rate hike this year despite dovish surprises from global counterparts. CNY -1.50 USD -1.50 HKD -1.22 CHF -1.04 MYR Appreciated AUD -0.86 MYR Depreciated JPY -0.83 SGD -0.13 EUR 0.21 GBP -2.00 The US economy remain relatively resilient even amid less optimistic growth in other regions, particularly China, Japan, and the euro zone. Events in the euro zone took centerstage again, after ECB’s announcement to cut funding to debt-stricken Greece. ECB will no longer take Greek bonds as collaterals for cash. divergence in economic growth and downside risk on inflation continue to prevail. RBA unexpectedly cut interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% while BOE maintained key rate at 0.5% to remain accommodative to growth. To counter slower growth, China join the wave of global easing by reducing reserve ratio requirement by 50 basis points to 19.5% and we believe a rate cut will follow suit soon. Barely over a month into 2015, central banks in Canada, Russia, India, Singapore and some other emerging economies have also eased monetary policy to counter lower global prices and softer growth outlook. ↓ ↓ ↓ -1.59 10-y Govt Bond Yields -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 Indicative Yields Fixed Income Indicative Yields @ 5 February 2015 UST traded in volatile mode this week. 10-year UST yields were seen falling to a 9-month low of 1.64% before settling at 1.82%, impacted by gradual retreat in safety demand amid Eurozone’s improving sentiment. Tonight’s nonfarm payroll data will set the tone for next week’s trading. A solid print will reinforce the view that the Fed normalization path remains on track, hence keeping yields supported. At the local front, MYR govvies gained amid bargain hunting activites. Volume was robust in this holiday shortened week and trading interests were seen across the curve with yields gyrated lower. The brief spike in oil prices that has prompted renewed demand for risks as well as MYR strength also spurred demand for local govvies although we believe the oil dynamics could work against local govvies again given protracted oversupply concern which suggests the downside to oil prices has not been entirely eliminated. A backdrop of moderating growth outlook locally and OPR pause could dampen MYR performance and demand for MGS but the search for higher yields stemming from global policy easing could keep demand for local govvies supported. 5.50 5.00 4.50 4.00 3.50 3.00 1 2 MGS 3 Cagamas (Old) 4 5 6 Cagamas (new) 7 8 IRS 9 AAA 10 AA Please see important disclosure at the end of the report 1 Fixed Income & Economic Research Weekly Market Highlights Contents 2 Macroeconomics Page 3 Forex Page 4 Trading Idea Page 5 FX Technicals Page 6 Fixed Income Page 7 Economic Calendar Page 8 Fixed Income & Economic Research Weekly Market Highlights Review Macroeconomics The US economy remain relatively resilient even amid less optimistic growth in other regions, particularly China, Japan, and the euro zone. Jump in imports led by a stronger dollar indicated robust domestic demand, as households increased spending amid confidence in the recovery of the economy. Events in the euro zone took centerstage again, after ECB’s announcement to cut funding to debt-stricken Greece. ECB will no longer take Greek bonds as collaterals for cash. Following a euro 60 billion asset purchase program and previous speculation of Greece exiting the euro zone after victory of antiausterity Syriza in Greece, ECB’s decision to cut loans added to the uncertainties in euro zone’s economy going into 2015. Across the globe, divergence in economic growth and downside risk on inflation continue to prevail. RBA unexpectedly cut interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% while BOE maintained key rate at 0.5% to remain accommodative to growth. To counter slower growth, China join the wave of global easing by reducing reserve ratio requirement by 50 basis points to 19.5% and we believe a rate cut will follow suit soon. Barely over a month into 2015, central banks in Canada, Russia, India, Singapore and some other emerging economies have also eased monetary policy to counter lower global prices and softer growth outlook. On the local front, exports unexpectedly edged higher, contributed by higher E&E and LNG shipments. Trade balance narrowed as imports grew at a faster pace against exports, likely boosted by seasonal demand. Loose monetary policies observed in other parts of the world, coupled with weak oil prices will add pressure on BNM to follow suit, although we don’t expect change in OPR for the first half of year. 6-month Macro Outlook US EU UK Japan Australia China Malaysia Thailand Indonesia Singapore Economy Inflation ↔ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↔ ↓ ↓ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ Interest Rate ↔ ↓ ↔ ↔ ↓ ↓ ↔ ↓ ↔ ↔ Currency ↑ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ The Week Ahead… 3 Fixed Income & Economic Research A number of data releases next week served as gauge of confidence level in the economy, from small business optimism in the US to NAB business confidence in Australia. We expect modest growth in euro zone’s GDP and trade balance, scheduled to be released next week. Closer to home, China and Japan’s producer prices will likely remain lackluster amid falling prices seen in most parts of the world. Back home, the highlights for next week will be Malaysia IPI, CPI and GDP for 4Q. Inflation and growth will likely be weigh down by lower oil prices and weaker external demand. Weekly Market Highlights Review and Outlook Forex MYR: MYR rallied for 2 consecutive days on moderate rebound in oil prices to strengthen 1.50% WOW against USD at 3.5742. MYR also advanced against 7 G10s. With oil prices again showing signs of weakness, coupled with downside risks from expectedly softer Malaysian data (IPI and GDP), we reckon MYR will MYR vs Major Counterparts (% WOW) -1.59 CNY again be on the defensive next week. Having said that, there is scope for some -1.50 USD recovery in early week if USD turns south on disappointment in US -1.50 HKD employment data tonight. At current levels, the pullback that we have been rooting for is likely run its course, but we do caution the chance of further -1.22 CHF -1.04 -0.86 MYR Appreciated MYR Depreciated AUD JPY -0.83 strength on breach of 3.5200. -0.13 EUR 0.21 GBP -2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 USD: USD fell against all G10s while the Dollar Index pulled back to a 2-week low of 93.52 following a run of softer US data at the start of the week coupled with an advance in risk appetite, dampening demand. We reiterate our view that USD strength is unlikely to extend without first correcting. We view that SGD 0.00 there is a risk of more downsides in USD, starting with tonight’s US employment reports, that could trigger further downward momentum into next 0.50 week. On the longer term, we maintain a slight bullish view on USD, affirmed by the Fed that has shown no signs of dampening markets expectation of a rate hike this year despite dovish surprises from global counterparts. Source: Bloomberg recover back to 1.1477, mostly on market sentiment with regards to situation in Greece. We are slightly optimistic on EURUSD gaining further ground gradually as long as it stays above 1.14, but warn that solid US employment USD vs the G10s (% WOW) CHF 0.28 0.36 0.46 0.65 SEK AUD JPY USD Depreciated 1.37 1.39 1.46 DKK EUR CAD GBP NZD prints tonight would easily take the pair back sub-1.14 over the coming days. We have previously warned that jitters from Greek elections would reverberate post-early Feb, and caution that the current optimism is likely to be brief as Greece and the Troika have yet to come to an agreement over the former’s anti-austerity demands, thus we anticipate more volatility. 1.73 1.75 Better performance on the data front help lifted GBP through volatile sessions 4.19 1.00 2.00 GBP: GBP was quietly climbing this week, beating 8 G10s and strengthened 1.70% WOW against a soft USD to settle at 1.5328, nearly a 5-week high. NOK 0.00 EUR: EUR advanced against 6 G10s while beating USD 1.37% WOW to 3.00 4.00 as Greece negotiates with the Troika, and we expect more of the same scenario next week. Sags in either broad USD and EUR could prove beneficial to GBP, barring any significant downward revision in inflation outlook from BOE. Above 1.5270, we see potential of returning to 1.5425. 5.00 Source: Bloomberg soft USD to close at 117.53. In line with our view that current optimism in Europe to be brief, we expect demand for refuge, and thus JPY, to pick up. This would likely extend the narrow range within which USDJPY has been trading for 3 weeks, but a downward break would be a more plausible scenario if US data, starting with tonight’s employment reports, disappoints. Technically, USD vs Asian Curencies (% WOW) -0.42 IDR -0.10 CNY -0.10 USD Depreciated PHP JPY: JPY weakened agaisnt 6 G10s but strengthened 0.65% WOW against a we see failure to recapture 117.88 to likely trigger losses to circa 116.00. -0.01 HKD TWD USD Appreciated INR KRW 0.01 AUDUSD longs have likely diminished following RBA’s move, but do not rule out moderate rebound on excessive weakness, particularly if risk assets rally on extended cheer from Europe. We expect rebounds, if any, to be capped at 0.55 THB 0.68 SGD 1.50 MYR -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 AUD: AUD weakened against 7 G10s but managed to pipped 0.46% higher to 0.7798 against a soft USD. Despite being caught unaware by RBA’s rate cut, AUDUSD rode on European optimism to recoup losses. We reckon that 0.22 0.24 1.00 1.50 Source: Bloomberg 0.7906, above which is there scope for further recovery to 0.8088. Fundamentally, we stay slightly bearish on AUDUSD on the longer term, which we expect to turn lower soon after a rebound. 2.00 SGD: SGD ended lower against 6 G10s, failing to rally past stronger European and commodity majors despite firmer risk appetite. Against a soft USD, SGD strengthened 0.67% WOW to 1.3447. We are neutral on USDSGD for the next week, likely restricted by 1.1400 – 1.1495; recent decision by MAS to slow down the appreciation of SGD is likely to weigh on the currency, but we reckon that USD strength / weakness resulting from refuge demand or US data performance is likely to carry a bigger impact. 4 Fixed Income & Economic Research SGD continued to be cheered by rising positive sentiment pre- and post-ECB QE decision, rallying to beat all G10s except USD, against which it weakened 0.99% WOW to 1.3394. We expect SGD to remain supported by firm market risk appetite but gains may be limited against a firm USD, more so if Singapore industrial production data worsens next week. Weekly Market Highlights Technical Analysis: Currency 14-day RSI 1.1462 43 1.1112 1.1844 GBPUSD 1.5324 56 1.4969 1.5319 1.4969 1.5319 1.5207 Positive USDJPY 117.3900 46 116.62 118.87 116.6200 118.8700 118.3500 Negative USDCNY 6.2383 55 6.1833 6.2748 6.1833 6.2748 6.2233 Positive USDSGD 1.3447 56 1.3246 1.3581 1.3246 1.3581 1.3377 Positive AUDUSD 0.7818 34 0.7631 0.8325 0.7631 0.8325 0.8030 Negative NZDUSD 0.7406 39 0.7137 0.7896 0.7137 0.7896 0.7605 Negative USDMYR 3.5468 44 3.5422 3.6472 3.5422 3.6472 3.5733 Positive EURMYR 4.0654 34 4.0133 4.2502 4.0133 4.2502 4.1670 Neutral GBPMYR 5.4350 50 5.3800 5.4999 5.3800 5.4999 5.4344 Negative JPYMYR 3.0212 48 3.0114 3.0941 3.0114 3.0941 3.0197 Positive CHFMYR 3.8414 50 3.4605 4.3603 3.4605 4.3603 3.7821 Positive SGDMYR 2.6375 37 2.6457 2.7151 2.6457 2.7151 2.6720 Negative AUDMYR 2.7728 33 2.7497 2.9998 2.7497 2.9998 2.8735 Negative NZDMYR 2.6265 37 2.5787 2.8378 2.5787 2.8378 2.7211 Negative EURUSD Support - Resistance Moving Averages Current price 30 Days 100 Days 200 Days 1.1112 1.1844 1.1645 Call Negative Trader’s Comment: Nothing much changed this week as central banks actions/policies still dictate market movement. The week started off with RBA’s decision to cut 25bps to a record low of 2.25% due to soft economic growth, weak inflation and the elevated value of the AUD. This caused AUD to dip 150 pips but recovered ahead of NFP. The EURUSD was a roller coaster as optimism and new proposals from Greece to restructure the country’s debt sent the EURUSD higher to 1.1530 levels before reports that the ECB is resisting the short term bridge financing for Greece’s debt sent it back down to 1.1300 levels. It then staged a short squeeze recovering all of its recent losses. In general, USD weakened in FX markets against all major currencies for this week prior to NFP as investor reduced their exposures. On the local front, USDMYR started the week mid-way as onshore came back from a long weekend to a 600 pip gap lower to 3.5750 levels compared to 3.6300 levels at closing last week. It then chopped around 3.55-3.59 levels before dropping to 3.54 levels on back of higher crude and better than expected trade balance numbers. Would expect some consolidation for time being as 3.55 support was broken easily during New York trading through NDFs. Would expect broader range now to be 3.50 as the next stronger level of support with 3.58 being the first level of resistance going forward in the short term. NFP to drive the next 1% move at time of writing. 5 Fixed Income & Economic Research Weekly Market Highlights FX Technical Charts USDMYR EURMYR Resistance: 3.6472 Support: 3.5422 Resistance: 4.2502 Support: 4.0133 Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg GBPMYR JPYMYR Resistance: 5.4999 Resistance: 3.0941 Support: 5.3800 Support: 3.0114 Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg AUDMYR SGDMYR Resistance: 2.7151 Resistance: 2.9998 Support: 2.6457 Support: 2.7497 Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Fixed Income 6 Fixed Income & Economic Research Weekly Market Highlights Review & Outlook % Benchmark MGS Yields 3Y MGS 5Y MGS 10Y MGS 5.2 4.7 4.2 3.7 3.2 2.7 bps Jan-15 Jul-14 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jan-08 2.2 MGS Yield Spread 3/10Y 200 3/5Y 150 100 50 % Jan-15 Jul-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Jan-13 Jul-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 Jan-11 Jul-10 Jan-10 Jul-09 Jan-09 -50 Jul-08 Jan-08 0 MYR IRS Curve 6.0 5.5 5.0 3Y IRS 5Y IRS 7Y IRS 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 Jan-15 Jul-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Jan-13 Jul-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 Jan-11 Jul-10 Jan-10 Jul-09 Jan-09 Jul-08 Jan-08 2.5 2.0 UST traded in volatile mode this week. 10-year UST yields were seen falling to a 9-month low of 1.64% after the release of weaker than expected 4Q GDP advance prints that raised concerns of a less solid than expected recovery in the US economy. Safety demand however took a turn as continuous recovery in oil prices spurred risk-on mode but this failed to sustain as Greece concerns resurfaced with ECB expressing doubts over the new government’s commitment on past reform pledges, and lifted a waiver that allowed Greece to use government debt as collateral. 10-year note yields were seen climbing back up to 1.79% on Tuesday from last Friday’s 1.64%, before settling at 1.82% as of yesterday’s close. Tonight’s nonfarm payroll data will set the tone for next week’s trading. A solid print will reinforce the view that the Fed normalization path remains on track, hence keeping yields supported. At the local front, MYR govvies gained amid bargain hunting activites. Volume was robust in this holiday shortened week and trading interests were seen across the curve with yields gyrated lower. The brief spike in oil prices that has prompted renewed demand for risks as well as MYR strength also spurred demand for local govvies although we believe the oil dynamics could work against local govvies again given protracted oversupply concern which suggests the downside to oil prices has not been entirely eliminated. A backdrop of moderating growth outlook locally and OPR pause could dampen MYR performance and demand for MGS but the search for higher yields stemming from global policy easing could keep demand for local govvies supported. Contartry to robust trading interests seen in the govvies space, trading volume thinned on the PDS front. GG and AAA-rated papers however continued to garner bargain hunting interests, amid attractive credit spread stemming from compression in MYR govvies yields. DanaInfra, BPMB are featured in the GG space while in the AAA-rated scene, we saw Silver Sparrow ‘12/15, Telekom ‘6/24, Danga ‘4/15 and Aquasar ‘7/17 drew the most interests. Yields for these papers were traded lower at 4.05%, 4.59%, 3.63%, and 4.14% respectively. Rating Actions Issuer PDS Description Cagamas Berhad RM20 billion Islamic and Conventional CP Programmes YTL Corporation Berhad Mecuro Properties Sdn Bhd YTL Power International Berhad Rating/Outlook Action P1 Assigned final rating by RAM RM 500m MTN programme (2004 / 2019) AA1 / Stable Reaffirmed for both Up to RM 2b MTN programme (2013 / 2038) RM12 million Senior Class B and RM15 million Senior Class C bonds under the RM900 million Nominal Value Bonds Up to RM5.0bn MTN Programme (2011/2036) AA1 / Stable Source: MARC, RAM 7 Fixed Income & Economic Research AA2 and A1 Placed on positive rating watch AA1/ Stable Reaffirmed Weekly Market Highlights Economic Calendar Release Date Date Country 02/10 MA 02/12 02/18 02/10 US Reporting Period Survey Prior Revised Industrial Production YoY Dec 4.00% 4.70% -- Manufacturing Sales Value YoY Dec -- 2.50% -- GDP YoY 4Q 5.10% 5.60% -- BoP Current Account Balance MYR 4Q 9.8B 7.6B -- Event CPI YoY Jan -- 2.70% -- NFIB Small Business Optimism Jan 101.1 100.4 -- Wholesale Inventories MoM Dec 0.10% 0.80% -- IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 02/11 MBA Mortgage Applications 02/12 Retail Sales Advance MoM Initial Jobless Claims 02/13 02/18 02/19 51.5 -- -- 1.30% -- Jan -0.30% -0.90% -- -- -- -- Jan -3.40% -2.50% -- U. of Mich. Sentiment Feb P 98 98.1 -- Empire Manufacturing Feb -- 9.95 -- NAHB Housing Market Index Feb -- 57 -- MBA Mortgage Applications 13-Feb -- -- -- Housing Starts MoM Jan -- 4.40% -- PPI Final Demand MoM Jan -- -0.30% -- Building Permits MoM Jan -- -1.90% 0.60% 14-Feb -- -- -- Feb -- 6.3 -- U.S. Fed Releases Minutes from Jan. 27-28 FOMC Meeting Initial Jobless Claims Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Leading Index 02/20 02/09 51.5 7-Feb Import Price Index MoM 02/17 Feb 6-Feb Markit US Manufacturing PMI EU Jan -- 0.50% -- Feb P -- 53.9 -- Sentix Investor Confidence Feb -- 0.9 -- 02/12 Industrial Production SA MoM Dec -- 0.20% -- 02/13 Trade Balance SA Dec -- 20.0B -- GDP SA QoQ 4Q A -- 0.20% -- 02/17 ZEW Survey Expectations Feb -- 45.2 -- 02/18 Construction Output MoM Dec -- -0.10% -- 02/19 ECB Current Account SA 02/20 02/10 02/12 UK Dec -- 18.1B -- Consumer Confidence Feb A -- -8.5 -- Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Feb P -- 51 -- Markit Eurozone Services PMI Feb P -- 52.7 -- Industrial Production MoM Dec -- -0.10% -- NIESR GDP Estimate Jan -- 0.60% -- RICS House Price Balance Jan -- 11% -- Bank of England Inflation Report 02/13 Construction Output SA MoM Dec -- -2.00% -- 02/16 Rightmove House Prices YoY Feb -- 8.20% -- 02/17 CPI MoM Jan -- 0.00% -- RPI MoM Jan -- 0.20% -- PPI Output NSA MoM Jan -- -0.30% -- Jobless Claims Change Jan -- -29.7K -- ILO Unemployment Rate 3Mths Dec -- 5.80% -- Feb -- 4 -- 02/18 Bank of England Minutes 02/19-02/23 8 CBI Trends Total Orders Fixed Income & Economic Research Weekly Market Highlights 02/20 Public Finances (PSNCR) Jan -- 21.4B -- Retail Sales Incl. Auto MoM Jan -- 0.40% -- BoP Current Account Balance Dec Â¥379.4B Â¥433.0B -- Consumer Confidence Index Jan -- 38.8 -- Eco Watchers Survey Outlook Jan -- 46.7 -- 02/10 Tertiary Industry Index MoM Dec 0.10% 0.20% -- 02/12 PPI MoM Jan -0.40% -0.40% -- Machine Orders MoM Dec 2.30% 1.30% -- 02/09 JP 02/16 Machine Tool Orders YoY Jan P -- 33.90% -- GDP Annualized SA QoQ 4Q P 3.70% -1.90% -- Industrial Production YoY Dec F -- 0.30% -- 02/17 Nationwide Dept Sales YoY 02/18 Machine Tool Orders YoY Jan -- -1.70% -- Jan F -- -- -- 18-Feb -- Â¥80T -- Exports YoY Jan -- 12.9 12.8 All Industry Activity Index MoM Dec -- 0.10% -- Leading Index CI Dec F -- -- -- Markit/JMMA Japan Manufacturing PMI BOJ Annual Rise in Monetary Base Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Statement 02/19 02/20 02/20-02/25 02/10 CH 02/14-02/18 Feb P -- 52.2 -- Supermarket Sales YoY Jan -- -1.80% -- CPI YoY Jan 1.00% 1.50% -- PPI YoY Jan -3.70% -3.30% -- Foreign Direct Investment YoY Jan -- 10.30% -- 02/17 HK Unemployment Rate SA Jan -- 3.30% -- 02/13 SG Retail Sales YoY Dec -- 6.50% -- Non-oil Domestic Exports YoY Jan -- 2.30% -- GDP YoY 4Q F -- 1.50% -- NAB Business Conditions Jan -- 4 -- NAB Business Confidence Jan -- 2 -- Westpac Consumer Conf Index Feb -- 93.2 -- Home Loans MoM Dec -- -0.70% -- Employment Change Jan 15.0K 37.4K -- Unemployment Rate Jan 6.10% 6.10% -- Conf. Board Leading Index MoM Dec -- 0.10% -- Westpac Leading Index MoM Jan -- 0.00% -- REINZ House Sales YoY Jan -- 24.20% -- 02/17 02/20-02/25 02/10 AU 02/11 02/12 02/18 02/10-02/13 NZ REINZ House Price Index YoY Jan -- 6.00% -- 02/12 BusinessNZ Manufacturing PMI Jan -- 57.7 -- 02/16 Performance Services Index Jan -- 56.5 -- 02/19 ANZ Consumer Confidence Index Feb -- 128.9 -- Source: Bloomberg 9 Fixed Income & Economic Research Weekly Market Highlights Hong Leong Bank Berhad Fixed Income & Economic Research, Global Markets Level 6, Wisma Hong Leong 18, Jalan Perak 50450 Kuala Lumpur Tel: 603-2773 0469 Fax: 603-2164 9305 Email: [email protected] DISCLAIMER This report is for information purposes only and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular recipient. 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