Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone Yardeni Research, Inc. February 9, 2015 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 [email protected] Debbie Johnson 480-664-1333 [email protected] Mali Quintana 480-664-1333 [email protected] Please visit our sites at www.yardeni.com blog.yardeni.com thinking outside the box Table Of Contents Table Of Contents Money Aggregates: Eurozone Money Aggregates: Eurozone Countries Money Aggregates: Eurozone, France Money Aggregates: Germany, Greece Money Aggregates: Ireland, Italy Money Aggregates: Netherlands, Portugal Money Aggregates: Spain February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Money Aggregates: Eurozone Figure 1. 9900 9600 9900 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE Dec (billion euros, sa) 9600 9300 9300 9000 9000 8700 8700 8400 8400 8100 8100 M2 (9633.7) 7800 7800 7500 7500 7200 7200 6900 6900 6600 6600 6300 6300 6000 6000 5700 5700 yardeni.com 5400 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5400 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: European Central Bank and Haver Analytics. Figure 2. 20 20 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE M1 (7.8) (yearly percent change, sa) M2 (3.5) M3 (3.6) 15 15 10 10 Dec 5 5 0 0 yardeni.com -5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -5 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: European Central Bank and Haver Analytics. Page 1 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Money Aggregates: Eurozone Countries Figure 3. 30 25 30 M2 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE (yearly percent change) 25 France (Dec=3.6) Greece (Dec=-0.1) Ireland (Dec=-5.4) Portugal (Nov=0.7) 20 15 Germany (Dec=4.8) Italy (Dec=3.6) Netherlands (Dec=-0.2) Spain (Dec=2.3) 20 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 -5 -5 -10 -10 -15 -15 yardeni.com -20 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -20 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Bank of Greece, Duetsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, Banco de Portugal, Banca d’ Italia, Banco de Espana, De Nederlandsche Bank, Central Statistics Office Ireland, and Haver Analytics. Figure 4. 45 40 45 M3 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE (yearly percent change) 40 France (Dec=3.7) Greece (Dec=-0.3) Ireland (Dec=20.2) Portugal (Nov=0.1) 35 30 25 Germany (Dec=4.7) Italy (Dec=2.4) Netherlands (Dec=-0.2) Spain (Dec=2.8) 35 30 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 -5 -5 -10 -10 -15 -15 -20 -20 yardeni.com -25 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -25 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Bank of Greece, Duetsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, Banco de Portugal, Banca d’ Italia, Banco de Espana, and Haver Analytics. Page 2 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Money Aggregates: Eurozone, France Figure 5. 20 20 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE M1 (7.8) (yearly percent change, sa) M2 (3.5) M3 (3.6) 15 15 10 10 Dec 5 5 0 0 yardeni.com -5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -5 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: European Central Bank and Haver Analytics. Figure 6. 20 20 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: FRANCE M1 (7.1) (yearly percent change) M2 (3.6) M3 (3.7) 15 15 10 10 Dec 5 5 0 0 -5 -5 yardeni.com -10 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -10 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Banque de France and Haver Analytics. Page 3 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Money Aggregates: Germany, Greece Figure 7. 30 30 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: GERMANY M1 (8.1) (yearly percent change, sa) M2 (4.8) 25 25 M3 (4.7) 20 20 15 15 10 10 Dec 5 5 0 0 yardeni.com -5 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -5 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Duetsche Bundesbank and Haver Analytics. Figure 8. 30 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: GREECE M1 (3.5) (yearly percent change) 25 M2 (-0.1) M3 (-0.3) 20 15 10 Dec 5 0 -5 -10 -15 yardeni.com 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -20 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Bank of Greece and Haver Analytics. Page 4 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Money Aggregates: Ireland, Italy Figure 9. 45 45 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: IRELAND M1 (2.2) (yearly percent change) M2 (-5.4) 35 35 M3 (20.2) 25 25 15 15 5 5 Dec -5 -5 -15 -15 yardeni.com -25 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -25 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Central Statistics Office Ireland and Haver Analytics. Figure 10. 20 20 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: ITALY M1 (8.9) (yearly percent change) M2 (3.6) M3 (2.4) 15 15 10 10 Dec 5 5 0 0 -5 -5 yardeni.com -10 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -10 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Banca d’Italia and Haver Analytics. Page 5 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Money Aggregates: Netherlands, Portugal Figure 11. 25 25 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: NETHERLANDS M1 (1.9) (yearly percent change) M2 (-0.2) 20 20 M3 (-0.2) 15 15 10 10 5 5 Dec 0 0 -5 -5 yardeni.com -10 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -10 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: De Nederlandsche Bank and Haver Analytics. Figure 12. 20 20 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: PORTUGAL M1 (14.6) (yearly percent change) M2 (0.7) 15 Nov M3 (0.1) 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 -5 -5 -10 -10 yardeni.com -15 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -15 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Banco de Portugal and Haver Analytics. Page 6 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Money Aggregates: Spain Figure 13. 30 30 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: SPAIN M1 (11.4) (yearly percent change) M2 (2.3) 25 25 M3 (2.8) 20 20 15 15 Dec 10 10 5 5 0 0 -5 -5 yardeni.com -10 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -10 2015 * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Banco de Espana and Haver Analytics. Page 7 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Copyright (c) Yardeni Research, Inc. 2015. All rights reserved. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein. 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