2QFY2015 Result Update | Banking October 22, 2014 Punjab National Bank BUY Performance Highlights CMP Target Price Particulars (` cr) NII Pre-prov. profit PAT 2QFY15 4,151 2,876 575 1QFY15 4,380 3,125 1,405 % chg (qoq) (5.2) (8.0) (59.1) 2QFY14 4,016 2,535 505 % chg (yoy) 3.4 13.5 13.8 Source: Company, Angel Research Punjab National Bank (PNB) reported a weak set of numbers for 2QFY2015 with net interest income (NII) growth of 3.4% yoy, weighed down by a charge of `294cr on account of the funded interest term loan (FITL; on restructured loan). Higher slippages during the quarter deteriorated the asset quality of the bank. The tax rate was higher at 48.1% in 2QFY2015 as compared to 20.5% in 2QFY2014, which affected the earnings. Business growth remains steady; Asset quality worsens: During 2QFY2015, advances and deposits grew by 13.8% and 16.7% yoy respectively, resulting in business growth of 15.4% yoy. Domestic advances grew at a sluggish pace, ie at 9.5% yoy, whereas international advances grew by 57.3% yoy. As a result, the share of international advances went up to 13.8% as against 10.0% in 2QFY2014. Within domestic advances, the retail loan book grew by 19.7% yoy, aided by 20.4% and 29.3% yoy growth in housing and car loans, respectively. Industry loans grew by just 4.8% yoy, as the bank was cautious to lend to this segment. CASA deposits grew by 9.7% yoy and 4.8% qoq, with Savings deposits growing by 9.1% yoy. The domestic CASA ratio stood at 39.9% in 2QFY2015. The NIM fell by 24bp qoq and 29bp yoy to 3.18%, on account of FITL and also due to higher contribution of retail loans in the total loan book. Other income excl. treasury grew at a healthy pace of 56.3% yoy due to higher recoveries from written off accounts of `483cr during the quarter as compared to `69cr in 2QFY2014. The asset quality weakened as Gross NPA and Net NPA increased by 17bp and 24bp qoq to 5.65% and 3.26%, respectively. The bank reported slippages of `3,974cr, with slippage ratio of 4.5% in 2QFY2015. The provisioning expenses increased by 90.6% qoq to `1,768cr, of which `1,638cr was provided for NPA. Out of `1,638cr, `961cr is a regulatory provision and `677cr is over and above the regulatory provision for NPA. As a result, the NPA coverage ratio improved to 59.1% in 2QFY2015 as compared to 55.27% in 2QFY2014. Slippage, out of restructuring, was `1,276cr during the quarter. Fresh restructuring during the quarter was higher at `3,282cr as compared to `2,769cr in 2QFY2014. The restructuring book stood at `36,376cr as on 2QFY2015. `932 `1,087 Investment Period 12months Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code Banking 33,727 1.7 1068/474 48,610 10 26,576 7,928 PNBK.NS PNB@IN Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters 58.9 MF / Banks / Indian Fls 19.6 FII / NRIs / OCBs 17.4 Indian Public / Others Abs. (%) 4.1 3m 1yr 3yr Sensex 3.4 27.2 58.3 PNB 3.2 27.8 (5.4) Outlook and valuation: PNB’s 2QFY2015 results were below expectations, mainly on account of continued asset quality woes. Going forward, as the economy improves and asset quality gets better, the bank would likely report better numbers. At the current market price, the stock trades at 0.8x FY2016E ABV. We recommend a Buy rating on the stock. Key financials Y/E March (` cr) NII % chg Net profit % chg NIM (%) EPS (`) P/E (x) P/ABV (x) RoA (%) RoE (%) FY2013 14,857 10.8 4,748 (2.8) 3.3 134.3 7.5 1.3 1.0 16.5 FY2014 16,146 8.7 3,342 (29.6) 3.2 92.3 11.0 1.2 0.6 10.2 Source: Source: Company, Angel Research Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report FY2015E 17,609 9.1 4,084 22.2 3.0 112.8 8.0 1.0 0.7 11.3 FY2016E 20,319 15.4 5,506 34.8 3.0 152.1 5.9 0.8 0.8 13.8 Vaibhav Agrawal 022 – 3935 7800 Ext: 6808 [email protected] Umesh Matkar 022 – 3935 7800 Ext: 6839 [email protected] 1 Punjab National Bank | 2QFY2015 Result Update Exhibit 1: 2QFY2015 performance Particulars (` cr) 2QFY15 1QFY15 % chg (qoq) 2QFY14 % chg (yoy) FY2014 FY2013 % chg Interest earned 11,462 11,589 (1.1) 10,734 6.8 43,223 41,898 3.2 - on Advances / Bills 8,654 8,836 (2.1) 8,023 7.9 32,393 31,860 1.7 - on investments 2,609 2,599 0.4 2,568 1.6 10,266 9,528 7.7 137 93 48.4 101 36.1 362 326 11.2 - on balance with RBI & others - on others 61 62 (0.8) 41 48.0 202 184 9.8 Interest Expended 7,311 7,209 1.4 6,718 8.8 27,077 27,046 0.1 Net Interest Income 4,151 4,380 (5.2) 4,016 3.4 16,146 14,853 8.7 Other income 1,558 1,236 26.0 899 73.3 4,577 4,220 8.5 Other income excl. treasury 1,330 1,017 30.8 851 56.3 3,843 3,500 9.8 - Fee Income 591 735 (20) 531 11.3 2,380 2,169 9.7 - Treasury Income incl. MF Div. 228 219 4.1 48 375.0 734 720 1.9 - Recov. from written off a/cs 483 91 430.8 69 600.0 514 422 21.8 - Others 256 191 33.9 251 2.0 949 909 4.4 Operating income 5,710 5,616 1.7 4,915 16.2 20,723 19,072 8.7 Operating expenses 2,834 2,491 13.8 2,380 19.1 9,338 8,165 14.4 - Employee expenses 2,034 1,767 15.1 1,659 22.6 6,510 5,675 14.7 - Other Opex 799 723 10.5 721 10.8 2,828 2,490 13.5 Pre-provision Profit 2,876 3,125 (8.0) 2,535 13.5 11,384 10,907 4.4 Provisions & contingencies 1,768 928 90.6 1,899 (6.9) 6,694 4,386 52.6 - Provisions for NPAs 1,638 1,336 22.6 1,005 63.0 4,518 3,336 35.4 130 (408) (131.8) 894 (85.5) 1,394 941 48.2 - Other Provisions PBT 1,108 2,198 (49.6) 636 74.2 4,691 6,522 (28.1) Provision for Tax 533 793 (32.8) 131 307.9 1,348 1,774 (24.0) PAT 575 1,405 (59.1) 505 13.8 3,343 4,748 (29.6) Effective Tax Rate (%) 48.1 36.1 1201bp 20.5 2754bp 28.7 27.2 154bp Source: Company, Angel Research October 22, 2014 2 Punjab National Bank | 2QFY2015 Result Update Exhibit 2: 2QFY2015 performance analysis Particulars 2QFY15 1QFY15 % chg (qoq) 2QFY14 % chg (yoy) Advances (` cr) 3,57,093 3,47,485 2.8 3,13,852 13.8 Deposits (` cr) 4,73,511 4,44,920 6.4 4,05,699 16.7 75.4 78.1 (269)bp 77.4 (195)bp 29,497 27,057 9.0 26,175 12.7 Saving deposits (` cr) 1,42,079 1,36,586 4.0 1,30,207 9.1 CASA deposits (` cr) 1,71,576 1,63,643 4.8 1,56,382 9.7 Reported CASA ratio (%) 39.9 39.9 (1)bp 40.7 (81)bp CAR (%) 11.8 11.5 27bp 11.6 17bp 8.7 8.8 (12)bp 9.0 (27)bp Cost of deposits 6.1 6.1 3bp 6.4 (30)bp Yield on advances 9.9 10.3 (38)bp 10.4 (54)bp Yield on investments 8.0 8.0 2bp 7.9 10bp 8.00 8.26 (26)bp 8.4 (41)bp Cost of funds 5.1 5.1 (4)bp 5.3 (16)bp Reported NIM 3.18 3.4 (24)bp 3.5 (29)bp Cost-to-income ratio 49.6 44.4 528bp 48.4 120bp 20,752 19,604 5.9 16,526 25.6 Credit-to-Deposit Ratio (%) Current deposits (` cr) Tier 1 CAR (%) Profitability Ratios (%) Yield on funds Asset quality Gross NPAs (` cr) Gross NPAs (%) 5.65 5.48 17bp 5.1 51bp Net NPAs (` cr) 11,618 10,464 11.0 9,609 20.9 Net NPAs (%) 3.3 3.0 24bp 3.1 19bp 59.1 60.0 (90)bp 55.3 383bp Slippage ratio (%) 4.5 3.4 105bp 3.9 56bp Credit cost (%) 1.2 1.0 19bp 0.8 36bp Provision Coverage Ratio (%) Source: Company, Angel Research Business growth remains steady Business for the bank grew at a steady pace during the quarter with advances and deposits growing by 13.8% and 16.7% yoy, respectively. Within advances, while MSME and retail advances registered a healthy growth of 24.3% and 19.7% yoy, respectively, the corporate loan book de-grew by 3.1% yoy. Within retail advances, secured products like housing and car/vehicle loans grew at a healthy pace of 20.4% and 29.3% yoy, respectively. Overseas advances grew by 57.3% yoy and now constitute ~14% of the bank’s total loan book. On the liabilities front, current deposits registered an increase of 12.7% yoy, while saving deposits grew at a moderate pace of 9.1% yoy. CASA deposits grew by 9.7% and the CASA ratio fell to 39.9%. Term deposit grew by 14.0% yoy, much higher than CASA deposits. October 22, 2014 3 Punjab National Bank | 2QFY2015 Result Update Exhibit 3: Business growth remains steady Dep. yoy chg (%) Exhibit 4: CASA ratio lowers yoy CDR (%, RHS) 80.0 20.0 6.5 1.2 9.7 9.0 13.1 15.3 13.9 12.1 13.8 16.7 76.0 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 9.0 35.0 6.0 34.0 33.0 - 74.0 Source: Company, Angel Research 12.0 36.0 36.2 75.4 9.7 9.1 9.0 36.8 10.0 37.0 38.3 78.0 77.4 5.0 CASA yoy growth (%, RHS) 15.0 38.3 77.4 77.5 Calculated CASA ratio (%) 15.6 12.7 38.0 78.1 15.0 39.0 38.5 Adv. yoy chg (%) 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3.0 - 32.0 Source: Company, Angel Research NIM fell by 24bp qoq on lower yield on advances The bank’s cost of deposits increased sequentially by 3bp to 6.14% for the quarter, though the term deposit cost was down to 7.2% from 7.6% in 1QFY2015. The bank’s yield on advances went down by 38bp qoq to 9.9% mainly on account of FITL to the extent of `294cr. Overall, the yield on funds for the bank fell by 26bp qoq to 8.0%. The reported NIM for the bank fell by 24bp qoq to 3.18%. Going forward, the Management expects the NIM to be around 3.25-3.30% for FY2015. Exhibit 5: Yield on advances lower by 38bp qoq... Exhibit 6: ..hence, NIM fell by 24bp qoq to 3.18% (%) (%) 11.0 3.6 10.5 10.44 10.60 10.0 3.42 3.4 10.28 9.94 3.57 3.47 9.9 3.2 3.2 3.18 3 9.5 2.8 2.6 9.0 2QFY14 3QFY14 Source: Company, Angel Research 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 Source: Company, Angel Research Non-interest income (excluding treasury) grows at healthy pace During 2QFY2015, the non-interest income (excl. treasury) grew 56.3% yoy on back of higher recoveries from written off accounts and higher treasury income. Recoveries went up by 600% yoy to `483cr, whereas treasury income grew to `228cr as compared to `48cr in 2QFY2014 with healthy growth in dividend from mutual funds. Overall the other income for the bank grew by 73.3% yoy to `1,558cr. October 22, 2014 4 Punjab National Bank | 2QFY2015 Result Update Exhibit 7: CEB and Recoveries aid non-interest income performance Particulars (` cr) 2QFY15 1QFY15 % chg (qoq) 2QFY14 % chg (yoy) CEB 591 735 (19.6) 531 11.3 Treasury incl. MF Dividend 228 219 4.1 48 375.0 Forex 128 97 32.0 161 (20.5) Recoveries 483 91 430.8 69 600.0 Others 128 94 35.9 91 41.1 Other income 1,558 1,236 26.0 900 73.2 Other income excl. treasury 1,330 1,017 30.8 852 56.1 Source: Company, Angel Research Asset quality continues to witness pressure During 2QFY2015, the asset quality worsened with Gross NPA ratio down to 5.65% as compared to 5.48% in 1QFY2015. The slippages during the quarter have been higher at `3,974cr, consisting of `3,565cr of fresh slippages and `409cr of increase in existing slipped accounts. Out of the fresh slippages, `1,276cr has come from slippage in the restructured assets. The Provision Coverage Ratio improved from 55.3% in 2QFY2014 to 59.1% in 2QFY2015, as the bank made provisions of `677cr, complying with regulatory requirements. 0.6 3.0 4.5 1.0 3.4 0.2 5.8 1.0 1.9 0.4 4.0 2.0 2.0 - 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 Source: Company, Angel Research 1QFY15 2QFY15 59.0 4.0 58.0 57.0 56.0 55.3 55.0 3.3 3.0 61.0 60.0 5.7 0.8 58.6 5.0 59.1 59.1 3.0 4.0 PCR (%, RHS) 60.0 5.5 1.0 0.9 Net NPAs (%) 2.9 0.8 1.2 Gross NPAs (%) 6.0 5.3 1.0 1.4 2.8 1.2 6.0 5.0 Credit cost (%, RHS) 5.0 1.3 3.1 Slippages (%) 7.0 Exhibit 9: ...resulting in higher NPA ratio qoq 5.1 Exhibit 8: Slippages ratio rises qoq - 54.0 53.0 52.0 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 Source: Company, Angel Research; Cost-to-income ratio increases on higher employee expenses and lower net interest income Operating expenses for the bank increased by 19.1% yoy, mainly on account of 22.6% yoy growth in employee expenses. The bank has revised employee related provisions, factoring in a hike of 15%. Interest income was lower on account of FITL to the extent of `294cr as on 2QFY2015. As a result, the cost to income ratio increased by 120bp yoy to 49.6% in 2QFY2015. October 22, 2014 5 Punjab National Bank | 2QFY2015 Result Update Exhibit 10: Steady branch expansion continues 6,200 8,000 50.0 6,000 40.0 6,100 4,000 6,075 6,200 6,340 6,351 5,900 6,019 6,000 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 5,800 October 22, 2014 1.9 1.7 1.5 30.0 1.0 20.0 2,000 - Source: Company, Angel Research 2.0 10.0 49.6 7,954 Opex to average assets (%, RHS) 2.5 2.0 1.8 2.0 44.4 6,698 7,717 60.0 41.2 6,577 6,940 Cost-to-income ratio (%) 10,000 47.6 6,300 ATMs (RHS) 48.4 Branches 6,400 Exhibit 11: Cost ratios increase qoq 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 - 0.5 - Source: Company, Angel Research 6 Punjab National Bank | 2QFY2015 Result Update Outlook and valuation PNB’s 2QFY2015 results were below expectations, mainly on account of continued asset quality woes. Going forward, as the economy improves and asset quality gets better, the bank would likely report better numbers. At the current market price, the stock trades at 0.8x FY2016E ABV. We recommend a Buy rating on the stock. Exhibit 12: Recommendation summary CMP (`) Tgt. price (`) Upside (%) FY2016E P/ABV (x) FY2016E Tgt. P/ABV (x) FY2016E P/E (x) FY2014-16E EPS CAGR (%) FY2016E RoA (%) FY2016E RoE (%) 896 1,014 13.2 3.5 4.0 17.2 21.4 1.9 22.3 Buy 1,578 1,881 19.2 2.0 2.5 13.8 16.2 1.5 15.6 Buy 624 742 19.0 1.9 2.3 10.7 13.9 1.6 19.0 423 501 18.4 2.0 2.4 11.7 16.8 1.8 18.0 2,585 2,974 15.1 1.4 1.4 10.6 29.0 0.8 13.9 - - 1.4 - 11.2 13.1 1.2 13.2 25 36 40.9 0.9 1.2 5.9 6.8 0.9 15.0 884 1,021 15.5 0.9 1.0 6.3 15.5 0.8 14.2 932 1,087 16.7 0.9 1.0 6.1 28.3 0.8 13.8 81 101 24.4 0.6 0.8 4.3 13.1 0.7 15.0 Buy 268 317 18.5 0.6 0.7 4.4 19.5 0.6 12.9 UnionBk Accumulate 220 235 6.7 0.7 0.8 5.0 25.2 0.6 13.5 CanBk Neutral 391 - - 0.7 - 5.2 19.1 0.6 12.4 IDBI# Buy 66 76 15.6 0.4 0.5 4.9 38.7 0.5 8.9 DenaBk Buy 61 75 24.0 0.5 0.6 4.0 22.0 0.6 11.5 Company Reco. HDFCBk Accumulate ICICIBk* YesBk AxisBk Buy SBI* Buy FedBk Neutral 141 SIB Buy BOB Buy PNB Buy UcoBk Buy BOI Source: Company, Angel Research; Note:*Target multiples=SOTP Target Price/ABV (including subsidiaries), #Without adjusting for SASF Company Background Punjab National Bank is the country's third-largest PSU bank, with a balance sheet size of around `5.6lakh cr and a pan-India network of around 6,351 branches. The bank's network is primarily spread across north India, ie in Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh. Almost 63% of its branches are based in rural and semi-urban hinterland, which results in a large legacy of low-cost CASA deposits. October 22, 2014 7 Punjab National Bank | 2QFY2015 Result Update Income statement Y/E March (` cr) Net Interest Income - YoY Growth (%) Other Income FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E 11,807 13,414 14,857 16,146 17,609 20,319 39.3 13.6 10.8 8.7 9.1 15.4 3,613 4,203 4,216 4,577 5,302 5,436 0.1 16.3 0.3 8.6 15.9 2.5 15,420 17,617 19,073 20,723 22,911 25,755 27.6 14.2 8.3 8.7 10.6 12.4 6,364 7,003 8,165 9,338 10,803 11,962 33.6 10.0 16.6 14.4 15.7 10.7 9,056 10,614 10,908 11,384 12,108 13,793 - YoY Growth (%) Operating Income - YoY Growth (%) Operating Expenses - YoY Growth (%) Pre - Provision Profit - YoY Growth (%) Prov. & Cont. - YoY Growth (%) 23.6 17.2 2.8 4.4 6.4 13.9 2,492 3,577 4,386 6,694 5,727 5,575 75.3 43.6 22.6 52.6 (14.4) (2.7) 6,564 7,037 6,522 4,690 6,381 8,218 - YoY Growth (%) 11.2 7.2 (7.3) (28.1) 36.0 28.8 Prov. for Taxation 2,130 2,153 1,774 1,348 2,297 2,712 32.5 30.6 27.2 28.7 36.0 33.0 4,434 4,884 4,748 3,342 4,084 5,506 13.5 10.2 (2.8) (29.6) 22.2 34.8 Profit Before Tax - as a % of PBT PAT - YoY Growth (%) Balance sheet Y/E March (` cr) Share Capital Reserve & Surplus Deposits - Growth (%) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E 317 339 354 362 362 362 21,192 27,476 32,323 35,533 38,706 43,005 312,899 379,588 391,560 451,397 5,23,620 6,07,399 25.5 21.3 3.2 15.3 16.0 16.0 Borrowings 20,399 26,074 28,726 37,412 41,927 48,343 Tier 2 Capital 11,190 11,190 10,895 10,623 11,340 11,056 Other Liab. & Prov. 12,328 13,524 15,019 15,093 17,968 20,761 Total Liabilities 378,325 458,192 478,877 550,420 6,33,923 7,30,926 Cash Balances 23,777 18,493 17,886 22,246 26,181 30,370 Bank Balances 5,914 10,335 9,249 22,973 26,458 30,507 95,162 122,703 129,896 143,785 1,69,245 1,92,314 242,107 293,775 308,725 349,269 3,98,167 4,61,873 29.7 21.3 5.1 13.1 14.0 16.0 Fixed Assets 3,106 3,169 3,358 3,420 3,820 4,273 Other Assets 8,259 9,718 9,763 8,727 10,051 11,589 378,325 458,192 478,877 550,420 6,33,923 7,30,926 27.5 21.1 4.5 14.9 15.2 15.3 Investments Advances - Growth (%) Total Assets - Growth (%) October 22, 2014 FY11 8 Punjab National Bank | 2QFY2015 Result Update Ratio analysis Y/E March FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E Profitability ratios (%) NIMs 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.0 41.3 39.8 42.8 45.1 47.2 46.4 RoA 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.8 RoE 24.4 21.1 16.5 10.2 11.3 13.8 CASA Ratio 38.5 35.3 39.2 38.3 38.1 37.9 Credit/Deposit Ratio 77.4 77.4 78.8 77.4 76.0 76.0 CAR 12.4 12.6 12.3 11.5 11.2 10.6 8.4 9.3 9.4 9.0 8.8 8.5 Gross NPAs 1.8 2.9 4.3 5.3 5.7 6.0 Net NPAs 0.8 1.5 2.3 2.8 3.0 2.7 Slippages 2.3 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.3 2.8 Cost to Income Ratio B/S ratios (%) - Tier I Asset Quality (%) Loan Loss Prov. /Avg. Assets 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 73.2 62.7 58.8 59.1 61.5 65.0 EPS 139.9 144.0 134.3 92.3 112.8 152.1 ABVPS (75% cover.) 628.2 733.3 802.2 845.2 924.8 1,060.5 22.0 22.0 27.0 0.0 21.5 28.5 PER (x) 6.6 6.4 6.8 9.9 8.0 5.9 P/ABVPS (x) 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8 Dividend Yield 2.4 2.4 2.9 0.0 2.4 3.2 NII 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0 (-) Prov. Exp. 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.8 Adj. NII 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.8 2.0 2.2 Treasury 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Int. Sens. Inc. 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.2 Other Inc. 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 Op. Inc. 3.8 3.4 3.1 2.7 2.9 3.0 Opex 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 PBT 1.9 1.7 1.4 0.9 1.1 1.2 Taxes 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 RoA 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.8 Provision Coverage Per Share Data (`) DPS Valuation Ratios DuPont Analysis October 22, 2014 Leverage 18.6 18.0 16.3 15.7 16.4 17.1 RoE 24.4 21.1 16.5 10.2 11.3 13.8 9 Punjab National Bank | 2QFY2015 Result Update Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. 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Disclosure of Interest Statement Punjab National Bank 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors Ratings (Returns): October 22, 2014 Buy (> 15%) Reduce (-5% to -15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) 10
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